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UK economy shows unexpected growth of 0.3% in March

Published by Global Banking & Finance Review

Posted on May 14, 2026

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· Last updated: May 14, 2026

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UK economy shows unexpected growth of 0.3% in March

UK Economic Growth Surpasses Expectations in March

LONDON, May 14 (Reuters) - Britain's economy expanded unexpectedly in March to cap another strong first quarter, suggesting the economy was in slightly better shape as the Iran war escalated than many feared, official data showed on Thursday.

Monthly GDP Performance and Sector Contributions

Gross domestic product increased by 0.3% month-on-month in March, the Office for National Statistics (ONS) said, against expectations in a Reuters poll of economists for a 0.2% contraction.

Growth Across Key Sectors

The services sector, construction output and manufacturing all grew strongly.

Expert Opinions on Sustainability

"Many will be unconvinced that this momentum can be sustained throughout this year," said Scott Gardner, investment strategist at J.P. Morgan Personal Investing.

"The risk is that the energy price spike following the start of the Iran conflict will persist and lead to a rebound in inflation."

Business Surveys and Cost Pressures

Recent business surveys point to a rapid increase in cost pressures that is likely to weigh on corporate activity.

Quarterly Growth Trends and ONS Insights

For the first quarter as a whole, the economy expanded by 0.6% - marking the third year running of conspicuously strong growth in the first quarter.

ONS Analysis and Adjustments

The ONS on Thursday published a blog that acknowledged there may be post-pandemic shifts in the timing of spending in the economy, and nudged down its readings for the first quarters of 2024 and 2025.

Government Response

Finance minister Rachel Reeves said the data showed she had the right economic plan.

(Reporting by Andy Bruce and Suban Abdulla; Editing by Muvija M and Paul Sandle)

Key Takeaways

  • March 2026 GDP rose 0.3% month-on‑month versus forecasted −0.2% contraction, showing surprising strength (ons.gov.uk).
  • Q1 2026 growth at 0.6% matched consensus, reflecting momentum from late‑Q1 despite weak end‑2025 performance (ons.gov.uk).
  • Recent February data highlighted a broader pick‑up: 3‑month growth to February rose 0.5%, led by services and production, suggesting March’s expansion continued that trend (moneyweek.com).

References

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the UK economy's growth rate in March 2024?
The UK economy expanded by 0.3% in March 2024, according to official data.
What were economists expecting for UK GDP in March?
Economists had forecast a 0.2% month-on-month contraction in UK GDP for March.
How did the UK economy perform in the first quarter of 2024?
For the first quarter, the UK economy grew by 0.6%, matching expectations.
Which organization reported the GDP growth figures?
The Office for National Statistics released the UK GDP growth data for March and Q1.

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