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    1. Home
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    3. >Swedish central bank's Thedeen says inflation risks have increased, pointing to Middle East conflict 
    Finance

    Swedish Central Bank's Thedeen Says Inflation Risks Have Increased, Pointing to Middle East Conflict 

    Published by Global Banking & Finance Review®

    Posted on April 22, 2026

    1 min read

    Last updated: April 22, 2026

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    Swedish central bank's Thedeen says inflation risks have increased, pointing to Middle East conflict  - Finance news and analysis from Global Banking & Finance Review
    Tags:FinanceBankingMarkets

    Quick Summary

    Riksbank Governor Erik Thedeen flagged a higher-than-expected inflation risk driven by supply disruptions from the Middle East conflict, stressing that even if the Strait of Hormuz reopens soon, inflation and energy prices won’t ease instantly, and the bank may act to prevent inflation from straying

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    Table of Contents

    • Riksbank Governor Highlights Inflation Concerns Amid Global Tensions
    • Rising Inflation Risks Noted by Governor Erik Thedeen
    • Impact of Middle East Conflict on Global Supply Chains
    • Energy Prices and Inflationary Pressures
    • Potential Policy Response from the Riksbank

    Swedish Central Bank Warns of Higher Inflation Risks Linked to Middle East Conflict

    Riksbank Governor Highlights Inflation Concerns Amid Global Tensions

    Rising Inflation Risks Noted by Governor Erik Thedeen

    STOCKHOLM, April 22 (Reuters) - Swedish central bank Governor Erik Thedeen said on Wednesday the risk has risen somewhat that inflation could be higher than the Riksbank expected a few weeks ago.

    Impact of Middle East Conflict on Global Supply Chains

    Thedeen said in a statement the Middle East war is causing a negative supply disruption to the world economy, in turn increasing inflationary pressures.

    Energy Prices and Inflationary Pressures

    “Even if a formal agreement on the opening of the Strait of Hormuz were to materialise relatively soon, inflationary pressures and high energy prices will not level off at the stroke of a pen," he said.

    Potential Policy Response from the Riksbank

    If there is an increased risk of high inflation that could deviate permanently from the Riksbank's 2% target, the bank may need to act to prevent it from happening, he said.

    (Reporting by Anna Ringstrom, editing by Louise Rasmussen)

    Key Takeaways

    • •Thedeen warns that geopolitical tensions in the Middle East are causing supply disruptions that increase inflation risks beyond recent Riksbank forecasts, even if crucial shipping lanes reopen soon. (thepeninsulaqatar.com)
    • •Deputy Governor Per Jansson echoes the need for vigilance, noting spillover effects from the conflict and elevated energy prices, though current inflation is lower and risks now appear more contained than in 2022. (energynews.oedigital.com)
    • •Despite low starting inflation giving Sweden some policy margin, sustained global shocks could still push inflation above the 2% target—prompting the Riksbank to consider action if risks become persistent. (energynews.oedigital.com)

    References

    • friDAY 20 march 2026
    • Jansson, the deputy governor of the Swedish central bank, says that it is important to be alert about spillovers from Middle East conflict.
    • Bunge, Riksbank's Bunge, says that low inflation allows Sweden to have margins in the event of supply shocks.

    Frequently Asked Questions about Swedish central bank's Thedeen says inflation risks have increased, pointing to Middle East conflict 

    1Why does the Swedish central bank see increased inflation risks?

    The bank highlights negative supply disruptions from the Middle East conflict, which amplify inflationary pressures.

    2How could Middle East tensions affect Sweden's inflation?

    Disruptions in the region are driving up global energy prices and supply costs, potentially increasing Swedish inflation.

    3What action might the Riksbank take if inflation remains high?

    The Riksbank may intervene to steer inflation back to its 2% target if risks of persistently high inflation rise.

    4Will an agreement on the Strait of Hormuz immediately lower energy prices?

    According to the central bank governor, inflationary pressures and high energy prices will not subside instantly, even with an agreement.

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