Connect with us

Trading

NZD/JPY LONG-TERM UPTREND ON RBNZ RATE HIKE BIAS

Published

on

NZD/JPY LONG-TERM UPTREND ON RBNZ RATE HIKE BIAS 3

The Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) decided to increase interest rates by 0.25% in this month’s monetary policy statement. Governor Stephen Poloz mentioned that future policy changes will depend on economic data but he emphasized that inflationary pressures are likely to stay strong for the next couple of years. This suggests that the New Zealand central bank will be maintaining its hawkish bias and would be willing to hike rates again in order to keep inflation contained.

NZD/JPY LONG-TERM UPTREND ON RBNZ RATE HIKE BIAS 4NZD/JPY staged a strong rally right after the announcement as bulls were pleased to hear that the RBNZ is staying upbeat on the economy. The rate hike was expected by many but the inflation outlook took some by surprise. The 4-hour chart shows that the pair has successfully bounced off support around the 87.50 minor psychological level and may be on its way to test the previous highs near 90.00.

NZD/JPY LONG-TERM UPTREND ON RBNZ RATE HIKE BIAS

NZD/JPY LONG-TERM UPTREND ON RBNZ RATE HIKE BIAS

On the other hand, Japan is facing a downbeat economic outlook as the recently implemented sales tax hike threatens to weigh on consumer spending and overall economic growth. Take note though that a Japanese news source mentioned that the government is considering loosening lending restrictions in the country in order to give small businesses easier access to funding, possibly an effort to make up for the slack to be caused by the sales tax increase.

As expected, the RBNZ also tried to talk down the New Zealand dollar, citing that the overvalued currency might wind up hurting exports and inflation. However, this didn’t trigger much of a reaction since this statement has been repeated over and over since the past few rate statements.

In the unlikely event of a downside break from the 87.50 area of interest, which could be spurred by a significant run in risk aversion, NZD/JPY could make its way back down to the next visible support zone around 86.00. A break below this level could push it down to 84.00 then to the previous lows around 81.50.

Meanwhile, support from upbeat economic data from New Zealand could even lead NZD/JPY to make new highs past 90.00. At this point though, the RBNZ might start to jawbone again and attempt to trigger a deprecation for the Kiwi. After all, further gains in their currency could make exports more expensive in the international market and thereby weaken demand.

Prepared by Aayush Jindal, Chief Technical Strategist at Capital Trust Markets

To keep yourself updated with the latest financial news, visit the official website of Capital Trust Markets

Capital Trust Markets is an online Forex brokerage firm, headquartered in New Zealand. It was established in 2013, with an emphasis on providing the most excellent customer services in the industry. The trading environment offered to investors and traders is unparalleled – devoid of all common mistakes usually prevalent in the financial trading industry. The focused determination to provide the highest quality products, services, and support to clients and customers is what truly sets Capital Trust Markets apart from every other major brokerage firm.

Trading

Barclays announces new trade finance platform for corporate clients

Published

on

Barclays announces new trade finance platform for corporate clients 5

Barclays Corporate Banking has today announced that it is working with CGI to implement the CGI Trade360 platform. This new platform will provide an industry leading end-to-end global trade finance solution for Barclays clients in the UK and around the world.

With the CGI Trade360 platform, Barclays will provide clients with greater connectivity and visibility into their supply chains, allowing them to optimise working capital efficiency, funding and risk mitigation. By utilising cloud based functionality for corporate banking clients, Barclays will also be able to offer a leading client user experience through easy access and real-time integration to essential information, combined with the latest trade solutions as the industry-wide shift to digitisation continues to accelerate.

This move underpins Barclays commitment to supporting the trade and working capital needs of their clients and reinforces a commitment to innovation that has been central to the bank for more than 300 years.

James Binns, Global Head of Trade & Working Capital at Barclays, said: “We are delighted to announce our move to the CGI Trade360 platform and to have started the implementation process. We have a longstanding partnership with CGI, and the CGI Trade360 platform will mean we can continue delivering the best possible trade solutions and service to our clients for many years to come.”

Neil Sadler, Senior Vice President, UK Financial Services, at CGI, said: “Having worked closely with Barclays for the last 30 years, we knew we were in an excellent position to enhance their systems. Not only do we have a history with them and understand how they work, but part of the CGI Trade360 solution includes a proof of concept phase, which is essentially seven weeks of meetings and workshops with employees across the globe to guarantee the product’s efficiency and answer all queries. We’re delighted that Barclays chose to continue working with us and look forward to supporting them over the coming years.”

Continue Reading

Trading

What’s the current deal with commodities trading?

Published

on

What’s the current deal with commodities trading? 6

By Sylvain Thieullent, CEO of Horizon Software

The London Metal Exchange (LME) trading ring has been the noisy home of metals traders buying and selling for over a hundred years. It’s the world’s oldest and largest metals market and is home to the last open outcry trading floor. Recently however, the age-old trading ring, though has been closed during the pandemic and, just a few weeks ago, the LME announced that it will remain so for another six months and that it is taking steps to improve its electronic trading. This news fits in with a growing narrative in commodities about a shift to electronic trading that has been bubbling away under the surface.

Something certainly is stirring in commodities. The crisis has affected different raw materials differently: a weakening dollar and rising inflation risks bode well for some commodities with precious metals being very attractive, as seen by gold reaching all-time highs. Oil on the other hand has had a tough year and experienced record lows from the Saudi-Russia pricing war. It has been a turbulent year, and now prices look set to soar. While a recent analyst report from Goldman Sachs predicts a bullish market in commodities for the year ahead, with the firm forecasting that it’s commodities index will surge 28%, led by energy (43%) and precious metals (18%).

Increasingly, therefore, it seems that 2020 is turning out to be a watershed moment for commodities, and it’s likely that the years ahead will bring about significant transformation. And whilst this evolution might have been forced in part by coronavirus, these changes have been building up for some time. Commodities are one of the last assets to embrace electronic trading; FX was the first to take the plunge in the 90s, and since then equities and bonds have integrated technology into their infrastructure, which has steadily become more advanced.

The slow uptake in commodities can be explained by several truths: the volumes are smaller and there is less liquidity, and the instruments are generally less exotic, essentially meaning it has not been essential for them to develop such technology – at least not until now. This means that, for the most part, the technology in commodities trading is a bit outdated. But that is changing. Commodities trading is on the cusp of taking steps towards the levels of sophistication in trading as we see in other asset classes, with automated and algo trading becoming ever prominent.

Yet, as commodities trading institutions are upgrading their systems, they will be beginning to discover the extent of the job at hand. It’s no easy task to upgrade how an entire trading community operates so there’s lots to be done across these massive organisations. It requires a massive technology overhaul, and exchanges and trading firms alike must be cautious in the way they proceed, carefully establishing a holistic, step-by-step implementation strategy, preferably with an agile, V-model approach.

The workflow needs to be upgraded at every stage to ensure a smooth end-to-end trading experience. So, in replacement of the infamous ring, these players will be looking to transform key elements of their trading infrastructure, including re-engineering of matching engines and improving communications with clearing houses.

However, these changes extend beyond technology. For commodities players to make a success of the transformation in their community, exchanges need to have highly skilled technology and change the very culture of trading. All of which is currently being done against a backdrop of lockdown, which makes things much more difficult and can slow down implementation.

What is clear is that coronavirus has definitely acted as a catalyst for a reformation in commodities. It is a foreshadowing of what lies ahead for commodities trading infrastructure because, a few years down the line, commodities trading could well be very different to how it is now, and the trading ring consigned to history.

Continue Reading

Trading

Afreximbank’s African Commodity Index declines moderately in Q3-2020

Published

on

Afreximbank’s African Commodity Index declines moderately in Q3-2020 7

African Export-Import Bank (Afreximbank) has released the Afreximbank African Commodity Index (AACI) for Q3-2020. The AACI is a trade-weighted index designed to track the price performance of 13 different commodities of interest to Africa and the Bank on a quarterly basis. In its Q3-2020 reading, the composite index fell marginally by 1% quarter-on-quarter (q/q), mainly on account of a pull-back in the energy sub-index. In comparison, the agricultural commodities sub-index rose to become the top performer in the quarter, outstripping gains in base and precious metals.

The recurrence of adverse commodity terms of trade shocks has been the bane of African economies, and in tracking the movements in commodity prices the AACI highlights areas requiring pre-emptive measures by the Bank, its key stakeholders and policymakers in its member countries, as well as global institutions interested in the African market, to effectively mitigate risks associated with commodity price volatility.

An overview of the AACI for Q3-2020 indicates that on a quarterly basis

  • The energy sub-index fell by 8% due largely to a sharp drop in oil prices as Chinese demand waned and Saudi Arabia cut its pricing;
  • The agricultural commodities sub-index rose 13% due in part to suboptimal weather conditions in major producing countries. But within that index
    • Sugar prices gained on expectations of firm import demand from China and fears that Thailand’s crop could shrink in 2021 following a drought;
    • Cocoa futures enjoyed a pre-election premium in Ghana and Côte d’Ivoire, despite the looming risk of bumper harvests in the 2020/21 season and the decline in the price of cocoa butter;
    • Cotton rose to its highest level since February 2020 due to the threat of storm Sally on the US cotton harvest, coupled with poor field conditions in the US;
    • Coffee rose 10% as La Nina weather conditions in Vietnam, the world’s largest producer of Robusta coffee, raised the possibility of a shortage in exports.
  • Base metals sub-index rose 9% due to several factors including ongoing supply concerns for copper in Chile and Peru and strong demand in China, especially as the State Grid boosted spending to improve the power network;
  • Precious metals sub-index, the best performer year-to-date, rose 7% in the quarter as the demand for haven bullion continued in the face of persistent economic challenges triggered by COVID-19 and heightening geopolitical tensions. In addition, Gold enjoyed record inflows into gold-backed exchange traded funds (ETFs) which offset major weaknesses in jewellery demand.

Regarding the outlook for commodity prices, the AACI highlights the generally conservative market sentiment with consensus forecasts predicting prices to stay within a tight range in the near term with the exception of Crude oil, Coffee, Crude Palm Oil, Cobalt and Sugar.

Dr Hippolyte Fofack, Chief Economist at Afreximbank, said:

“Commodity prices in Q3-2020 have largely been impacted by COVID-19. The pandemic has exposed global demand shifts that have seen the oil industry incur backlogs and agricultural commodity prices dwindle in the first half of the year. The outlook for 2021 is positive however conservative the markets still are. We hope to see an increase in global demand within Q1 and Q2 – 2021 buoyed by the relaxation of most COVID-19 disruptions and restrictions.’’

Continue Reading
Editorial & Advertiser disclosureOur website provides you with information, news, press releases, Opinion and advertorials on various financial products and services. This is not to be considered as financial advice and should be considered only for information purposes. We cannot guarantee the accuracy or applicability of any information provided with respect to your individual or personal circumstances. Please seek Professional advice from a qualified professional before making any financial decisions. We link to various third party websites, affiliate sales networks, and may link to our advertising partners websites. Though we are tied up with various advertising and affiliate networks, this does not affect our analysis or opinion. When you view or click on certain links available on our articles, our partners may compensate us for displaying the content to you, or make a purchase or fill a form. This will not incur any additional charges to you. To make things simpler for you to identity or distinguish sponsored articles or links, you may consider all articles or links hosted on our site as a partner endorsed link.

Call For Entries

Global Banking and Finance Review Awards Nominations 2020
2020 Global Banking & Finance Awards now open. Click Here

Latest Articles

The Coming AI Revolution 8 The Coming AI Revolution 9
Technology24 hours ago

The Coming AI Revolution

By H.P Bunaes, CEO and founder of AI Powered Banking. There is a revolution in AI coming and it’s going...

Q&A with Joe Steele, Head of Workplace Technology at Starling Bank 10 Q&A with Joe Steele, Head of Workplace Technology at Starling Bank 11
Interviews1 day ago

Q&A with Joe Steele, Head of Workplace Technology at Starling Bank

In just under a year, many businesses had no choice but to go online and with digital transformation on the rise...

How financial services organisations are using data to underpin future growth 12 How financial services organisations are using data to underpin future growth 13
Technology1 day ago

How financial services organisations are using data to underpin future growth

By John O’Keeffe, Director of Looker EMEA at Google Cloud In addition to the turmoil caused by the COVID-19 pandemic, a...

Three questions the financial services industry must answer in 2021 14 Three questions the financial services industry must answer in 2021 15
Top Stories1 day ago

Three questions the financial services industry must answer in 2021

Xformative, a Mastercard Start Path recipient, shares what these questions mean for fintech partners and their innovations This year, fintechs...

A quarter of banking customers noted an improvement in customer service over lockdown, research shows 16 A quarter of banking customers noted an improvement in customer service over lockdown, research shows 17
Banking1 day ago

A quarter of banking customers noted an improvement in customer service over lockdown, research shows

SAS research reveals that banks offered an improved customer experience during lockdown A quarter (27%) of banking customers noted an...

Is Digital Transformation the Key to Business Survival in the New World? 18 Is Digital Transformation the Key to Business Survival in the New World? 19
Business1 day ago

Is Digital Transformation the Key to Business Survival in the New World?

After a turbulent year, enterprises are returning to the prospect of a new world following an unprecedented pandemic. Around the...

Virtual communications: How to handle difficult workplace conversations online 20 Virtual communications: How to handle difficult workplace conversations online 21
Business1 day ago

Virtual communications: How to handle difficult workplace conversations online

Have potentially difficult conversation at work, like discussing a pay rise, explaining deadline delays or going through performance reviews are...

Black Friday payment data reveals rapid growth of ‘pay later’ methods like Klarna 22 Black Friday payment data reveals rapid growth of ‘pay later’ methods like Klarna 23
Finance1 day ago

Black Friday payment data reveals rapid growth of ‘pay later’ methods like Klarna

Payment processor Mollie reveals the most popular payment methods for Black Friday Mollie, one of the fastest-growing payment service providers,...

Brand guidelines: the antidote to your business’ identity crisis 24 Brand guidelines: the antidote to your business’ identity crisis 25
Business2 days ago

Brand guidelines: the antidote to your business’ identity crisis

By Andrew Johnson, Creative Director and Co-Founder. How well do you really know your business? Do you know which derivative of your...

COVID-19 creates long and winding road for startups seeking investment 26 COVID-19 creates long and winding road for startups seeking investment 27
Investing2 days ago

COVID-19 creates long and winding road for startups seeking investment

By Jayne Chan, Head of StartmeupHK, Invest Hong Kong Countless technology and other companies describe themselves as innovators, disruptors or...

Newsletters with Secrets & Analysis. Subscribe Now