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Finance

Morale among German firms in China improves despite Iran war, trade tensions, survey shows

Published by Global Banking & Finance Review

Posted on May 12, 2026

2 min read

· Last updated: May 12, 2026

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German Firms in China Report Rising Morale and Investments Despite Uncertainty

Business Sentiment and Investment Trends Among German Companies in China

Improved Outlook and Economic Expectations

BEIJING, May 12 (Reuters) - Business sentiment among German firms in China has improved compared to a year ago, a German business lobby group said on Tuesday, with companies planning more investments in the region despite uncertainty surrounding the war in Iran and trade.

According to a survey of 216 companies by the German Chamber of Commerce in China, 37% of respondents foresee an improvement in China's economy over the next six months, 22 percentage points higher than last year, while only 17% anticipate a deterioration - a sharp drop from 56% in 2025.

Investment Plans and Trends

Increasing Investments

Almost two thirds (61%) plan to increase investments in China within the next two years, up from 53% a year ago and marking the highest level since 2023.

Decreasing Investments

Some 11% plan to reduce investments, three percentage points lower than in 2025.

External Factors Impacting Business

Impact of the Iran War

Three quarters of the firms reported an impact on their business from the Iran war, mainly due to rising logistics costs.

Trade Tensions

U.S.–China Tensions

Trade tensions are also affecting companies' operations, with over two thirds (69%) reporting a hit from U.S.–China tensions and over half (59%) being impacted by EU–China tensions.

Financial Performance and Industry Outlook

Turnover and Profit Expectations

Despite this, 42% of surveyed firms expect their turnover to rise by year-end, compared to 29% in 2025, while 29% anticipate higher profits, a rise of 11 percentage points from last year.

Industry Development Expectations

A third (34%) expect an improvement in their industry's development, while another third (33%) expect conditions to worsen.

(Reporting by Christian Kraemer, writing by Linda Pasquini, editing by Friederike Heine)

Key Takeaways

  • 37% of German firms in China expect economic improvement in the next six months—up 22 points from last year—while only 17% anticipate a decline, down from 56% in 2025.
  • 61% plan to boost investments in China over the next two years—the highest level since 2023—while just 11% intend to cut back.
  • Despite disruptions—75% cite effects from the Iran war (especially rising logistics costs), 69% from U.S.–China tensions, and 59% from EU–China tensions—42% expect turnover growth by year‑end (vs. 29% in 2025), and 29% foresee higher profits (up 11 points).

References

Frequently Asked Questions

How has business sentiment among German firms in China changed?
Business sentiment among German firms in China has improved compared to the previous year, with more companies foreseeing economic improvement.
What percentage of German companies in China plan to increase investments?
61% of surveyed German companies plan to increase investments in China within the next two years.
How has the Iran war impacted German businesses in China?
The Iran war has affected three quarters of German firms in China, mainly through rising logistics costs.
What effects have trade tensions had on these companies?
U.S.–China and EU–China trade tensions have negatively impacted operations, with 69% and 59% of firms affected, respectively.
What are German firms' expectations for turnover and profits in China?
42% of firms expect their turnover to rise by year-end, and 29% anticipate higher profits, both up from the previous year.

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