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    1. Home
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    3. >LVMH shares seen lower as Iran war weighs on first‑quarter sales
    Finance

    Lvmh Shares Seen Lower as Iran War Weighs on First‑quarter Sales

    Published by Global Banking & Finance Review®

    Posted on April 14, 2026

    3 min read

    Last updated: April 14, 2026

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    Quick Summary

    LVMH’s Q1 2026 revenue came in at €19.12 billion, hit by a roughly 1 ppt negative impact from the Iran war. Shares were set to open lower amid concerns over broader luxury sector exposure.

    LVMH shares fall after Iran war hits first-quarter sales

    Impact of Middle East Conflict on LVMH and the Luxury Sector

    By Helen Reid

    April 14 (Reuters) - Shares in French luxury goods group LVMH fell as much as 3% on Tuesday after first-quarter sales were hit as the war in Iran dented spending by Middle Eastern shoppers, further delaying a long-awaited recovery for the luxury sector leader.

    Sales Decline and Regional Impact

    LVMH, which owns 75 brands including Louis Vuitton, Dior, and Tiffany & Co, said on Monday the conflict shaved at least 1 percentage point off global sales. The hit reflected weaker spending in Gulf shopping hubs such as Dubai, and fewer Middle Eastern shoppers travelling to Europe.

    LVMH shares are down 26% since the start of the year as hopes for a rebound in luxury demand have faded, with disruption and inflation caused by the war creating a new obstacle to growth.

    Market and Analyst Reactions

    "It remains clear that 2026 is still a transition year for LVMH," said Ben Lambert, European equities portfolio manager at Ninety One in London. "For the shares though that is already reflected in the valuation."

    'Broader Malaise' in the Luxury Sector

    Consumer Spending Trends

    Higher energy prices and mortgage rates are likely to curb demand from middle-class, or "aspirational", luxury consumers, said Kevin Thozet, portfolio adviser at Carmignac in Paris, while weaker stock markets could also dent spending by wealthy Americans.

    "The question is whether we are just kicking the can down the road because of what's happening in the Middle East, postponing expectations of a recovery by one or two quarters, or if it's something more material," said Thozet.

    Middle East Market Performance

    LVMH's finance chief Cecile Cabanis said mall traffic in the Middle East, which accounts for about 6% of group turnover, initially dropped by between 30% and 70%, with an average drop of about 50%. "What we see today is still that demand is very much down," she said.

    While LVMH only reports profit figures at half-year results in July, Cabanis flagged a likely bigger hit on profitability from the war, saying the Middle East is "quite a profitable market".

    Outlook for Other Luxury Brands

    Investors will watch for the war's impact on other luxury brands when Gucci owner Kering reports after the market close on Tuesday, and Hermes gives its first-quarter results Wednesday morning.

    Analyst Perspectives on Sector Health

    "LVMH is one of the best-managed groups in the sector, I think, and if they're doing all the right things and they're struggling to move the dial, then it speaks to the broader malaise in the sector," said Berenberg analyst Nick Anderson.

    Currency Effects on Sales

    A stronger euro against the dollar impacted LVMH's first-quarter sales and could also weigh on luxury demand as fewer tourists visit Europe and buy handbags or perfumes, Anderson said. "This will still be a big issue in the second quarter," he added.

    ($1 = 0.8501 euros)

    (Reporting by Helen Reid in London and Mateusz Rabiega in Gdansk. Editing by Danilo Masoni and Mark Potter)

    References

    • LVMH continues to achieve organic growth in the first
    • Exclusive-Luxury brands face profits squeeze as Iran conflict shrinks Dubai Mall sales By Reuters

    Table of Contents

    • Impact of Middle East Conflict on LVMH and the Luxury Sector

    Key Takeaways

    • •First‑quarter sales reached €19.12 billion despite a 1% hit from the Iran war, with organic growth of just +1 % versus ~1.5 % expected (globenewswire.com)
    • •The fashion & leather goods division fell 2 %—its seventh straight quarter of decline—with Europe down 3 % due to both the conflict and a strong euro ()

    Frequently Asked Questions about LVMH shares seen lower as Iran war weighs on first‑quarter sales

    1Why are LVMH shares expected to open lower?

    LVMH shares are seen lower due to first-quarter sales being impacted by the ongoing war in Iran, which reduced group sales by at least 1%.

    2How much did LVMH's quarterly revenue reach?

    LVMH reported quarterly revenue of 19.12 billion euros ($22.49 billion) for the first quarter.

    Sales Decline and Regional Impact
  • Market and Analyst Reactions
  • 'Broader Malaise' in the Luxury Sector
  • Consumer Spending Trends
  • Middle East Market Performance
  • Outlook for Other Luxury Brands
  • Analyst Perspectives on Sector Health
  • Currency Effects on Sales
  • globenewswire.com
  • •Luxury-sector sentiment is dented as mall sales in Dubai dropped 30–50 % and tourist traffic waned, intensifying investor worries across peers (investing.com)
  • 3What is the main uncertainty affecting luxury sector sentiment?

    The main uncertainty is the Middle East conflict's impact on macroeconomic conditions, consumer confidence, and global tourist flows.

    4How much did LVMH shares drop compared to the previous close?

    LVMH shares were down around 2.4% on Tradegate compared with the Euronext closing price on Monday.

    5Which analyst commented on the impact of the Middle East conflict?

    Citi analyst Thomas Chauvet commented on the uncertain impact of the Middle East conflict on LVMH and the luxury sector.

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