Finance
IMF says Poland must prioritise curbing increase in debt
Published by Global Banking and Finance Review
Posted on November 24, 2025
2 min readLast updated: January 20, 2026
Global Banking and Finance Review
Company
Published by Global Banking and Finance Review
Posted on November 24, 2025
2 min readLast updated: January 20, 2026
IMF advises Poland to curb public debt increase, noting fiscal vulnerabilities despite strong growth. A 4% GDP fiscal adjustment by 2030 is recommended.
WARSAW (Reuters) -Poland must prioritise curbing the rapid increase in its public debt, the International Monetary Fund said on Monday, adding that it sees rising fiscal vulnerabilities over the medium term.
Strong growth in central Europe's largest economy, driven by wage gains and loose fiscal policy, has come partly at the expense of a sharply worse fiscal position, the IMF said, with Poland running one of the highest budget deficits in Europe.
"Staff now assesses Poland's risk of sovereign debt stress to be at medium compared to low in our previous assessment," the IMF said in a statement.
It said a widening in Poland's deficit was largely due to a surge in expenditure, which was now on a par with levels in advanced European economies, while revenues remained closer to those of peers in Central and Eastern Europe.
It said Poland's economic outlook was strong, with growth likely accelerating to 3.4% next year from the 3.2% expected in 2025, driven by faster EU-funded investments. Even so, the deficit would ease only marginally amid political gridlock.
"We see rising fiscal vulnerabilities over the medium term, despite a relatively strong growth outlook," the IMF said.
"Arresting the rapid rise in public debt should be a priority. Specifically, we recommend a cumulative fiscal adjustment of 4% of GDP by 2030, which is 2% of GDP more than in our baseline projection."
It said the recommended fiscal path would bring the medium-term deficit to 3% of output and stabilise public debt at what it called a "relatively high" 70% of gross domestic product.
The IMF also said that, after rate cuts worth 150 basis points this year, Poland's central bank should consider slowing the pace of monetary easing.
"We would advocate a wait-and-see approach to allow time to observe incoming data and seeing sustained disinflation towards the target. If core inflation continues to moderate, further easing might be possible."
(Reporting by Alan Charlish, Pawel Florkiewicz and Gergely Szakacs; Editing by Kevin Liffey)
Gross Domestic Product (GDP) is the total value of all goods and services produced within a country over a specific time period, used as a measure of economic performance.
Monetary policy involves the management of money supply and interest rates by a central bank to control inflation and stabilize the currency.
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