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    1. Home
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    3. >Investors raise risk bets but cash flashes 'sell signal' - BofA survey
    Finance

    Investors Raise Risk Bets but Cash Flashes 'sell Signal' - BofA Survey

    Published by Global Banking & Finance Review®

    Posted on November 18, 2025

    2 min read

    Last updated: January 21, 2026

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    Tags:Surveyequityvaluationsemerging marketsfinancial markets

    Quick Summary

    BofA's survey signals a sell alert as investors increase risk exposure, with cash holdings at 3.7%. Concerns over market valuation and AI bubble risks are highlighted.

    BofA Survey Signals Sell Alert as Investors Increase Risk Exposure

    Investor Sentiment and Market Trends

    MILAN (Reuters) -Global investors lifted equity and commodity allocations in November, but cash holdings fell to just 3.7%, triggering Bank of America's "sell signal" and raising concerns that bullish positioning could act as a headwind for risk assets, its monthly fund manager survey showed on Tuesday.

    The November survey warned that frothy markets may face further downside without a Federal Reserve rate cut in December, with emerging markets and banks seen as most exposed to a risk-off move in the final quarter of 2025.

    An AI bubble was the biggest tail risk for 45% of respondents, and a record share of investors said companies are "overinvesting", a sign spending by hyperscalers may need to slow down. Positioning remains crowded in technology, with 54% naming "long Magnificent 7" - the seven largest Wall Street stocks by market value - as the most crowded trade. 

    Equity and Commodity Allocations

    The survey, titled “Cash poor, capex rich, rate-cut needy”, showed investors are net 34% overweight global stocks, the highest since February, and most overweight commodities since September 2022.  

    Concerns Over Market Valuation

    Macro sentiment improved this month, with global growth expectations turning positive for the first time this year and 53% forecasting a soft landing.

    Systemic Credit Event Risks

    Still, a record 63% believe equity markets are currently overvalued. And, asked about the most likely source of a systemic credit event, 59% mentioned private equity/private credit, the highest conviction since 2022.

    The global survey of 172 fund managers overseeing $475 billion was conducted between November 7 and 13. 

    (Reporting by Danilo Masoni; Editing by Amanda Cooper)

    Table of Contents

    • Investor Sentiment and Market Trends
    • Equity and Commodity Allocations
    • Concerns Over Market Valuation
    • Systemic Credit Event Risks

    Key Takeaways

    • •Investors increased equity and commodity allocations in November.
    • •Cash holdings fell to 3.7%, triggering BofA's sell signal.
    • •Emerging markets and banks are most exposed to risk-off moves.
    • •AI bubble is seen as the biggest tail risk by 45% of respondents.
    • •Record 63% of investors believe equity markets are overvalued.

    Frequently Asked Questions about Investors raise risk bets but cash flashes 'sell signal' - BofA survey

    1What is equity?

    Equity refers to the ownership interest in a company, represented by shares of stock. It signifies the value of ownership after all liabilities have been deducted.

    2What are emerging markets?

    Emerging markets are nations with social or business activity in the process of rapid growth and industrialization. They often present investment opportunities due to their potential for high returns.

    3What is a sell signal?

    A sell signal is an indication that an asset should be sold, often based on analysis of market trends or investor sentiment, suggesting a potential decline in value.

    4What are valuations?

    Valuations refer to the process of determining the current worth of an asset or company, often used by investors to assess investment opportunities.

    5What is investor sentiment?

    Investor sentiment is the overall attitude of investors toward a particular security or financial market, often influenced by market trends, news, and economic indicators.

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