Graph depicting Germany's economic growth forecast amid geopolitical risks - Global Banking & Finance Review
This image illustrates the German government's economic growth forecast, highlighting a 1% growth prediction for next year, amid geopolitical risks and policy critiques. Relevant for readers interested in investing and finance trends.
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GERMAN GOV’T ADVISERS SEE 1 PCT GROWTH NEXT YEAR

Published by Gbaf News

Posted on November 13, 2014

1 min read
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German Economic Advisers Predict Modest Growth

BERLIN (AP) – The German government’s independent panel of economic advisers is forecasting growth of just 1 percent next year, undercutting officials’ predictions, and criticizing some government policies.

2014 and 2015 Growth Forecasts Lowered

In a report Wednesday, the panel also cut its 2014 growth forecast to 1.2 percent from its 1.9 percent prediction in March. The government recently forecast growth of 1.2 percent this year and 1.3 percent next year.

Key Risks Impacting Economic Outlook

The advisers pointed to “geopolitical risks” such as the Ukraine crisis and weak eurozone growth. They also said the government’s labor and social policies, such as plans to introduce a minimum wage next year, may have hit confidence.

Merkel Responds to Economic Concerns

Chancellor Angela Merkel pointed to “geopolitical challenges” and questioned how a policy that hasn’t yet taken effect could be blamed for slowing the economy.

Key Takeaways

  • Germany’s independent economic advisers forecast just 1% GDP growth next year, below official estimates.
  • The panel also downgraded its 2014 forecast to 1.2% from 1.9% earlier this year.
  • They cited geopolitical risks and government labour and social policies, including the upcoming minimum wage, as dampening confidence.
  • Chancellor Merkel questioned attributing slowdown to a policy not yet implemented.

References

Frequently Asked Questions

What growth rate did the advisers forecast for next year?
They forecast just 1% GDP growth for next year.
How did the 2014 forecast change?
They cut the 2014 growth forecast from 1.9% in March to 1.2%.
What risks did the advisers highlight?
They pointed to geopolitical risks like the Ukraine crisis and weak eurozone growth.
What government policies did they criticize?
They criticized labour and social policies, such as the planned introduction of a minimum wage, saying they may have hit confidence.
How did Chancellor Merkel respond?
She noted the geopolitical challenges and questioned how a policy that hasn't yet taken effect could slow the economy.

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