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    Home > Finance > German exports fall unexpectedly, industrial production rises
    Finance

    German exports fall unexpectedly, industrial production rises

    Published by Global Banking & Finance Review®

    Posted on January 9, 2026

    2 min read

    Last updated: January 20, 2026

    German exports fall unexpectedly, industrial production rises - Finance news and analysis from Global Banking & Finance Review
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    Tags:import and exportfinancial markets

    Quick Summary

    German exports fell by 2.5% in November, while industrial production rose by 0.8%, defying expectations. Imports from China increased significantly.

    Table of Contents

    • Overview of German Trade and Industry
    • Export and Import Trends
    • Industrial Production Insights
    • Analyst Predictions
    • Future Economic Outlook

    Unexpected Decline in German Exports Amid Rising Industrial Output

    Overview of German Trade and Industry

    By Maria Martinez

    Export and Import Trends

    BERLIN, Jan 9 (Reuters) - German exports unexpectedly fell in November as shipments to other European Union countries and the U.S. dropped, while industrial output rose despite expectations for a decline, official data showed on Friday.

    Industrial Production Insights

    Exports from Europe's biggest economy fell by 2.5% in November compared with the previous month, according to the federal statistics office. 

    Analyst Predictions

    Analysts polled by Reuters had expected no change. 

    Future Economic Outlook

    Imports were up 0.8% on a calendar- and seasonally-adjusted basis.

    The foreign trade balance showed a surplus of 13.1 billion euros ($15.26 billion) in November 2025, down from 17.2 billion euros in October and 20.0 billion euros in November 2024.

    EXPORTS TO THE US FALL, IMPORTS FROM CHINA UP

    Exports to the U.S. and EU countries both dropped by 4.2% on the month, while exports to countries outside the bloc declined by 0.2%.

    Compared with November 2024, U.S. exports were down 22.9% on a calendar- and seasonally-adjusted basis.

    The U.S. administration imposed a 15% import tariff on most goods from the EU under a deal reached with the 27-nation bloc in July.

    Imports from China rose 8.0% compared with the previous month.

    The influx of imports has gathered momentum since U.S. President Donald Trump imposed tariffs on China.

    INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION UNEXPECTEDLY RISES    

    German industrial production unexpectedly rose in November, growing by 0.8% from October, the federal statistics office also reported on Friday.

    Analysts polled by Reuters had predicted a 0.4% fall.

    German industrial orders climbed 5.6% on the previous month in November, driven by large-scale orders, data showed on Thursday.

    Franziska Palmas, senior Europe economist at Capital Economics, said the data confirmed that conditions in German industry improved towards the end of last year, but did not expect that upturn to last.

    "Given the significant structural headwinds facing the sector, we doubt this is the start of a sustained recovery and still expect German industrial output to decline in the medium term," Palmas said.

    ($1 = 0.8585 euros)

    (Additional reporting by Anastasiia Kozlova, Emanuele Berro and Bernadette Hogg in GdanskEditing by Miranda Murray and Tomasz Janowski)

    Key Takeaways

    • •German exports fell by 2.5% in November.
    • •Industrial production rose by 0.8% unexpectedly.
    • •Exports to the US and EU dropped significantly.
    • •Imports from China increased by 8.0%.
    • •Analysts doubt a sustained industrial recovery.

    Frequently Asked Questions about German exports fall unexpectedly, industrial production rises

    1What is an export?

    An export is a good or service produced in one country and sold to another. Exports are crucial for a country's economy as they contribute to national income.

    2What is an import?

    An import is a good or service brought into a country from abroad for sale. Imports can provide consumers with a wider variety of products.

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