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    Finance

    Bitcoin on Thin Ice After Sinking in Flight From Risk

    Published by Global Banking & Finance Review®

    Posted on November 21, 2025

    4 min read

    Last updated: January 20, 2026

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    Tags:Cryptocurrenciesblockchainfinancial crisismarket capitalisationrisk management

    Quick Summary

    Bitcoin's price nears $80,000, sparking concerns of further losses. Analysts highlight market volatility and potential selloffs.

    Bitcoin Faces Uncertainty as Price Nears Critical Level

    By Rae Wee and Vidya Ranganathan

    SINGAPORE/LONDON (Reuters) -Bitcoin dropped to a seven-month low on Friday, closing in on the $80,000 level below which some analysts say much heavier losses are likely for the world's largest cryptocurrency.

    Bitcoin fell to $80,553, and ether hit a four-month low, as cryptocurrencies led a broad flight from riskier assets, spurred by investor worries over lofty tech valuations and uncertainty over near-term U.S. interest rate cuts.

        Cryptocurrencies are often viewed as a barometer of risk appetite and their slide highlights how fragile the mood in markets has turned in recent days, with high-flying artificial intelligence stocks tumbling and volatility spiking.

    Bitcoin is down 12% for the week. Its slide follows a stellar run this year that propelled it to a record high above $120,000 in October, buoyed by favourable regulatory changes towards crypto assets globally.

    But analysts say the market remains scarred by a record single-day slump last month that saw more than $19 billion of positions liquidated. 

    As it plunged through $100,000 last week and headed for $80,000 on Friday, some analysts said bitcoin was reaching levels that corporate and institutional investors on average paid for their tokens, and where they might have to sell to prevent losses.

    Bitcoin has erased all its year-to-date gains and is now down 12% for the year, while ether has lost close to 19%.

    "If it's telling a story about risk sentiment as a whole, then things could start to get really, really ugly, and that's the concern now," Tony Sycamore, a market analyst at IG, said of the fall in bitcoin.

    CRYPTO TREASURIES

    The plunge on Friday will compound problems for so-called crypto treasury companies, which have been big buyers of bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies this year.

    These companies hold the crypto on their balance sheets in the hope the price rises. Standard Chartered has estimated that a drop below $90,000 for bitcoin could leave half of these companies' holdings "underwater" - a term which typically refers to holding assets worth less than what was paid for them. 

    Analysts say the companies could be forced to raise new funds or sell down their crypto holdings, putting further downward pressure on prices.

    Listed companies collectively hold 4% of all the bitcoin in circulation, and 3.1% of ether, Standard Chartered estimates.

    "The procyclical nature of bitcoin treasury companies is fully obvious now, if it wasn’t obvious six months ago," Brent Donnelly, president at analytics firm Spectra Markets, said in a note.

    "They buy high and now some of them are selling low."

    Citi analyst Alex Saunders said $80,000 would be an important level as it is around the average level of bitcoin holdings in exchange-traded funds.

    About $1.2 trillion has been wiped off the market value of all cryptocurrencies in the past six weeks, according to market tracker CoinGecko. 

    Shares in the bitcoin buyers soared earlier this year but have fallen sharply in recent months. Strategy, the biggest of the treasury firms, has seen its shares tank 61% since a July peak, leaving them down nearly 40% year-to-date.

    JP Morgan said in a note this week that Strategy could be excluded from some MSCI equity indexes, which could spark forced selling by funds that track them.

    Japanese peer Metaplanet has tumbled about 80% from a June peak.  

    Donnelly notes that bitcoin selloffs in 2018 and 2022 saw prices drop around 75% to 80%, which if repeated could see a plunge to as low as $25,000.

    "I am not saying we are in crypto winter. Just offering a reminder that 75%/80% drawdowns have been part of the game in bitcoin," he wrote.

    (Reporting by Rae Wee, Niket Nishant and Vidya Ranganathan. Editing by Kevin Buckland and Mark Potter)

    Key Takeaways

    • •Bitcoin fell to a seven-month low, nearing $80,000.
    • •Cryptocurrencies are experiencing a broad flight from risk.
    • •Crypto treasury companies may face financial pressure.
    • •Market volatility highlights investor concerns.
    • •Bitcoin's price drop could trigger further selloffs.

    Frequently Asked Questions about Bitcoin on thin ice after sinking in flight from risk

    1What is Bitcoin?

    Bitcoin is a decentralized digital currency that allows for peer-to-peer transactions over the internet without the need for a central authority or intermediary.

    2What is a cryptocurrency?

    A cryptocurrency is a digital or virtual currency that uses cryptography for security and operates on a technology called blockchain.

    3What is market capitalisation?

    Market capitalisation refers to the total market value of a company's outstanding shares of stock, calculated by multiplying the share price by the total number of shares.

    4What is risk management?

    Risk management involves identifying, assessing, and prioritizing risks followed by coordinated efforts to minimize, monitor, and control the probability or impact of unfortunate events.

    5What is a financial crisis?

    A financial crisis is a situation in which the value of financial institutions or assets drops rapidly, often leading to widespread economic instability and loss of wealth.

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