Finland's Outokumpu core earnings miss market forecast in Q1 - Finance news and analysis from Global Banking & Finance Review
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Finland's Outokumpu core earnings miss market forecast in Q1

Published by Global Banking & Finance Review

Posted on May 12, 2026

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· Last updated: May 12, 2026

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Steelmaker Outokumpu's profit misses market view as Europe drags

Outokumpu's First-Quarter Financial Performance and Market Dynamics

By Jagoda Darlak

First-Quarter Results Overview

May 12 (Reuters) - Finland's Outokumpu reported a first-quarter core profit below market expectations on Tuesday, driven by weak profitability in its European business, though it said the stainless steel market dynamics had improved in the quarter.

The steelmaker's shares fell around 2% in early trading.

EBITDA Performance

Its adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortisation (EBITDA) rose 32% to 65 million euros ($76 million) in the January-March quarter, but missed analysts' forecast of 70 million euros in a Vara Research poll.

European Steel Market Context

Challenges Facing European Steelmakers

Long pressured by weak domestic demand, elevated energy costs and low-priced Asian imports, European steelmakers stand to gain from tighter EU protections such as a carbon levy on high-emission imports and a trade policy to halve import quotas, set to be implemented from July 1.

CEO Statement on Market Dynamics

"In the first quarter, stainless steel market dynamics improved, driven by seasonality and the Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM) impacts in Europe," CEO Kati ter Horst said in a statement.

Stainless Steel Deliveries and Outlook

Quarterly Deliveries and Expectations

Outokumpu's stainless steel deliveries rose by 27% quarter-on-quarter to 465,000 metric tons, and are expected to be at least flat or increase by up to 10% in the second quarter. Analysts had expected 457,100 tons for the first quarter.

Profitability in the European Business

While profitability in the European business, Outokumpu's largest, improved from the previous quarter's historically low levels thanks to higher delivery volumes, the region's adjusted EBITDA, a loss of 13 million euros, still ended well below analysts' expectations.

Impact of Supply Chain Issues

The result was negatively impacted by the backlog related to the implementation of a new supply chain solution, the company said.

Future Outlook

Outokumpu expects its adjusted EBITDA to be higher in the second quarter compared to the first.

($1 = 0.8502 euros)

(Reporting by Jagoda Darlak in Gdansk, editing by Milla Nissi-Prussak)

Key Takeaways

  • Adjusted EBITDA rose 32% to €65 million in Q1 versus forecasts of €70 million, signaling a miss despite recovery signs.
  • EU’s new steel safeguard regulation—cutting import quotas by ~47% and doubling out‑of‑quota tariffs to 50%—will take effect July 1 2026, benefiting European producers like Outokumpu.
  • The Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM), enforced from January 2026, adds a carbon levy on imported steel, narrowing the cost gap versus EU production.

Frequently Asked Questions

What were Outokumpu's Q1 adjusted EBITDA earnings?
Outokumpu's Q1 adjusted EBITDA rose 32% to 65 million euros.
Did Outokumpu's Q1 earnings meet analyst expectations?
No, earnings were below analysts' forecast of 70 million euros according to a Vara Research poll.
How have market dynamics changed for Outokumpu in Q1?
Outokumpu noted that stainless steel market dynamics had improved in the first quarter.
What challenges have European steelmakers faced recently?
Steelmakers have dealt with weak domestic demand, elevated energy costs, and low-priced Asian imports.
What upcoming EU measures could benefit steelmakers?
The EU plans tighter protections such as a carbon levy and a policy to halve import quotas from July 1.

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