Factbox-Key ECB Policymaker Comments in Run up to April 30 Meeting
Published by Global Banking & Finance Review®
Posted on April 24, 2026
4 min readLast updated: April 24, 2026
Add as preferred source on GooglePublished by Global Banking & Finance Review®
Posted on April 24, 2026
4 min readLast updated: April 24, 2026
Add as preferred source on GoogleECB policymakers broadly agree that April 30 won’t offer enough evidence to warrant a rate hike, emphasizing a data-dependent approach amid energy-driven inflation risks, with markets looking to June for possible action.

FRANKFURT, April 24 (Reuters) - The following are key comments from European Central Bank policymakers in the run-up to the April 30 meeting.
Markets see rates remaining unchanged this time but expect the ECB to signal that rate hikes will stay on the cards given an energy-driven inflation surge.
"So far, we have not seen energy prices rise far enough to push us squarely into our adverse scenario."
"This ... uncertainty about the duration of the shock and the breadth of pass-through argues for gathering more information before drawing firm conclusions for our monetary policy."
"We have a monetary policy stance that is broadly neutral and this means we can afford to take the time that is needed to analyse the character of this shock. We do not need to rush into action."
"We have to weigh our policy decisions very carefully and see which (scenario) prevails. We have to stay data-dependent. We have to think very carefully which data can give us information that inflation could become entrenched, and there could be second-round effects."
"I think the markets believe we will do what is needed."
"I know you care if it's (a rate change) going to be one meeting or another meeting, but in the grand scheme, which meeting it turns out to be that we make the decision ... that's detail."
"There is not enough clarity (about) what will happen in April, but I still keep the position that we should have all the optionality."
"Two weeks can bring a lot of new information, and we'll take it into account."
"What matters most is not the immediate increase in prices, but whether the shock has persistent effects on inflation and the general price level."
"Right now, the outlook is foggy."
"Calm judgment will prevail over haste, and no decisions are predetermined."
"At this point there is no hard data on (second-round effects) yet."
"It would also take some time for broader inflationary pressures to take hold."
"It might therefore be difficult to tell by the end of April if we need to be concerned about it."
"It's true we have not seen large second-round impacts materialise up to this point. But this doesn't mean it won't happen and when it does, we need to be ready to act."
"I find (market expectations for two rate hikes) to be reasonable. One move of 25 basis points wouldn't do much more than signalling."
"My impression is that at this juncture we could be veering towards the adverse scenario."
"If the adverse scenario would materialise, then two rate hikes anticipated by the market would be a reasonable expectation."
"So far, inflation expectations are quite well-anchored. We need to be patient, not rush any decision and see what the data tells us."
"We are between baseline and adverse scenarios, closer to the baseline scenario."
"To bet on April would be premature at this stage."
"We need to reach a sufficient level of data about the effect on underlying inflation and also the negative effect on demand."
(Reporting by Balazs Koranyi; Editing by Joe Bavier)
ECB policymakers are assessing inflation data, second-round inflation effects, and the persistence of energy-driven price increases before deciding on monetary policy.
Markets expect rates to remain unchanged but anticipate signals that rate hikes are possible if inflation persists.
Officials are weighing baseline versus adverse scenarios, monitoring inflation expectations, and remaining data-dependent in their policy decisions.
Policymakers stress the importance of gathering more data and not rushing decisions to ensure inflation is not becoming entrenched.
Markets foresee the possibility of two rate hikes, with ECB officials considering this outlook reasonable depending on inflation developments.
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