EU plan to phase out Chinese tech could cost bloc over $400 billion, Chinese study says
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EU plan to phase out Chinese tech could cost bloc over $400 billion, Chinese study says

Published by Global Banking & Finance Review

Posted on May 6, 2026

2 min read

· Last updated: May 6, 2026

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EU Plan to Phase Out Chinese Tech Could Cost Bloc $400 Billion, Study Finds

Impact and Reactions to EU Cybersecurity Proposals

Overview of the Proposed EU Cybersecurity Rules

BRUSSELS, May 6 (Reuters) - European Union proposals to tighten cybersecurity by phasing out equipment from Chinese suppliers risk costing the bloc over $400 billion in the next five years, with Germany facing nearly half of the burden, China's Chamber of Commerce to the EU (CCCEU) said on Wednesday.

Under new cybersecurity rules, the EU plans to phase out components and equipment from "high-risk" suppliers in critical sectors, a move criticised by China's telecoms giant Huawei, which is set to be among the affected companies.

China's Response and Demands

Beijing wants clauses ​that define "countries posing ⁠cybersecurity concerns" and "high risk" to be dropped from the proposed rules and last week threatened countermeasures against the EU if substantial changes are not made.

Financial Impact Assessment

Key Findings from the CCCEU and KPMG Study

A study for the CCCEU, carried out by KPMG, said the forced replacement of Chinese suppliers across 18 critical sectors would cost the EU 367.8 billion euros ($432.83 billion) between 2026 and 2030. The EU would have to replace hardware and write down assets and contend with lower efficiency and delayed digitalisation, the report said.

Sectors and Countries Most Affected

Two of the heaviest-hit sectors would be energy and telecoms, pillars of the EU's planned digital and green transitions.

Six EU countries would face losses of more than 10 billion euros - Germany, France, Italy, Spain, Poland and the Netherlands. For Germany, the bill would be 170.8 billion euros.

Legislative Process and Additional Recommendations

EU governments and the European Parliament are in the early ​stages of the lengthy legislative process required for the new rules ​to become law, a process likely to result in amendments.

The European Commission also recommended on Monday restricting the use of EU funds for projects involving power inverters from "high-risk suppliers", which it said might lead to a remote shutdown of an EU member's electricity networks.

Additional Information

($1 = 0.8498 euros)

(Reporting by Philip BlenkinsopEditing by Tomasz Janowski)

Key Takeaways

  • EU cybersecurity proposals targeting Chinese equipment across 18 critical sectors could cost the bloc €367.8 billion ($433 billion) over five years, per KPMG study for CCCEU citeturn0search?1turn0search?0
  • Germany is projected to shoulder nearly half of the total cost, estimated at €170.8 billion citeturn0search?1turn0search?0
  • Complementary EU measures include restricting funding for solar and energy storage projects using inverters from high‑risk suppliers (China, Russia, N. Korea, Iran), with deadlines and exemptions phased through to 2027 (euronews.com)

References

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the EU planning regarding Chinese technology suppliers?
The EU is proposing to tighten cybersecurity by phasing out equipment from Chinese suppliers in critical sectors.
How much could the phase-out of Chinese technology cost the EU?
A study estimates that the forced replacement of Chinese suppliers could cost the EU 367.8 billion euros ($432.83 billion) between 2026 and 2030.
Which EU countries will be most affected by the proposed phase-out?
Germany will face the largest burden, with an estimated cost of 170.8 billion euros. Six countries, including France, Italy, Spain, Poland, and the Netherlands, will each face losses of over 10 billion euros.
Why does the EU consider some suppliers 'high risk'?
Suppliers are considered 'high risk' due to concerns over cybersecurity threats potentially posed by certain countries, including China.
How could the ban impact the EU’s digital and green transitions?
The replacement could lower efficiency and delay digitalisation in sectors like energy and telecoms, which are central to the EU's digital and green transitions.

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