Aussie rallies as FX market risk appetite improves

By Saqib Iqbal Ahmed

NEW YORK (Reuters) – Easing Omicron COVID-19 variant worries and a timely booster shot of Chinese stimulus helped lift riskier currencies on Tuesday with the Australian dollar leading the charge.

Global stock markets and oil gained, leaving traders to dump safe-haven currencies and bonds, as markets took confidence from reports in South Africa earlier in the week saying that Omicron cases there had only shown mild symptoms.

On Sunday, the top U.S. infectious disease official, Anthony Fauci, told CNN “it does not look like there’s a great degree of severity” so far.

Developments in China contributed to the risk-on tone, as the People’s Bank of China (PBOC) said it would lower the amount of cash that banks must hold in reserve. This was its second such move this year and is seen as a way to release liquidity to support economic growth.

The Australian dollar, seen as a liquid proxy for risk appetite, gained ground on Tuesday after the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) expressed confidence that the emergence of the Omicron variant would not thwart economic recovery.

The Aussie rose to a five-day high, rebounding from the 13-month low touched last week, to trade up 0.6% at $0.7091.

“The Australian dollar is leading gains among the major currencies on the session following comments from the RBA indicating that it did not expect the Omicron variant to derail the recover,” Shaun Osborne, chief FX strategist at Scotiabank, said in a note.

“That seems to be developing into a broader working theory for markets as the variant appears — at the moment— to be more infectious but less deadly than the Delta (variant),” Osborne said.

The U.S. dollar was firmer versus its major currency peers, with the U.S. dollar Currency Index up 0.2% at 96.508, a 1-week high.

Data on Tuesday showed the U.S. trade deficit narrowed sharply in October as exports soared, potentially setting up trade to contribute to economic growth this quarter.

Sterling was pinned near 2021 lows against the U.S. dollar while it drifted higher against the euro on Tuesday thanks to a broadly sturdy greenback and growing expectations that the Bank of England will keep interest rates unchanged next week.

The rouble weakened marginally on Tuesday, with investors focused on a video call between Russian President Vladimir Putin and his U.S. counterpart Joe Biden later in the day, as the threat of new sanctions against Moscow lingered over the talks.

Major cryptocurrencies continued to recover following the weekend’s crash. Bitcoin was up around 2% at $51,019.55.

(Reporting by Saqib Iqbal Ahmed; Editing by Andrea Ricci)

By Saqib Iqbal Ahmed

NEW YORK (Reuters) – Easing Omicron COVID-19 variant worries and a timely booster shot of Chinese stimulus helped lift riskier currencies on Tuesday with the Australian dollar leading the charge.

Global stock markets and oil gained, leaving traders to dump safe-haven currencies and bonds, as markets took confidence from reports in South Africa earlier in the week saying that Omicron cases there had only shown mild symptoms.

On Sunday, the top U.S. infectious disease official, Anthony Fauci, told CNN “it does not look like there’s a great degree of severity” so far.

Developments in China contributed to the risk-on tone, as the People’s Bank of China (PBOC) said it would lower the amount of cash that banks must hold in reserve. This was its second such move this year and is seen as a way to release liquidity to support economic growth.

The Australian dollar, seen as a liquid proxy for risk appetite, gained ground on Tuesday after the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) expressed confidence that the emergence of the Omicron variant would not thwart economic recovery.

The Aussie rose to a five-day high, rebounding from the 13-month low touched last week, to trade up 0.6% at $0.7091.

“The Australian dollar is leading gains among the major currencies on the session following comments from the RBA indicating that it did not expect the Omicron variant to derail the recover,” Shaun Osborne, chief FX strategist at Scotiabank, said in a note.

“That seems to be developing into a broader working theory for markets as the variant appears — at the moment— to be more infectious but less deadly than the Delta (variant),” Osborne said.

The U.S. dollar was firmer versus its major currency peers, with the U.S. dollar Currency Index up 0.2% at 96.508, a 1-week high.

Data on Tuesday showed the U.S. trade deficit narrowed sharply in October as exports soared, potentially setting up trade to contribute to economic growth this quarter.

Sterling was pinned near 2021 lows against the U.S. dollar while it drifted higher against the euro on Tuesday thanks to a broadly sturdy greenback and growing expectations that the Bank of England will keep interest rates unchanged next week.

The rouble weakened marginally on Tuesday, with investors focused on a video call between Russian President Vladimir Putin and his U.S. counterpart Joe Biden later in the day, as the threat of new sanctions against Moscow lingered over the talks.

Major cryptocurrencies continued to recover following the weekend’s crash. Bitcoin was up around 2% at $51,019.55.

(Reporting by Saqib Iqbal Ahmed; Editing by Andrea Ricci)