No sane person would jump into the forex market blindly. You might as well set your money on fire if that’s what you’re going to do. Sensible investors study the market carefully first, learn the ins and outs of currency trading — and even then, before they launch into it, they devise a smart forex trading strategy.

The market is constantly changing and is not always predictable, true. But you still need a strategy, one that allows for unknowns and surprises.

Your strategy should begin with how much money you can afford to lose. That may sound like a negative outlook — after all, the goal is to MAKE money, not lose it — but common sense tells you that the forex market is a gamble. There are precautions you can take that will make you less likely to lose your initial investment, but there’s no way to guarantee it. Your strategy must allow for the possibility that you’ll take a bath, and for that reason you should never invest more than you can afford to lose.

Another good tip for your trading strategy is to avoid putting all your investments in one currency. What’s the old saying about eggs and baskets? Yeah, don’t put ‘em all in one. Spreading them out makes it much, much less likely that you’ll be wiped out, the way you would if you relied on one currency and it bottomed out.

As you prepare your trading strategy, make yourself aware of what the market is doing right now. Is it trending upward, or downward? What’s the general mood among traders? They all have a strategy, too, and are eager to know what others are thinking.

Consider also what your timeline is. How long do you want to stay in the market before taking your profits and getting out?

Your strategy must also involve learning the timing of the business. Timing is everything: Too late or too early and your potential profit evaporates. As you learn to gauge the market and make trades at just the right time, your profits will increase. A good strategy will factor in this learning curve and allow for a few mistakes at first.

Above all, to prepared to accept surprises when it comes to forex trading. Strategy can only get you so far. The rest is ingenuity and a little bit of luck.