The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) is a group of oil-producing nations that coordinates and unifies petroleum policies to ensure stable oil markets.

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Headlines

Oil Settles 1.6% Lower After Gaza Ceasefire

Published by Global Banking & Finance Review®

Posted on October 9, 2025

3 min read

Last updated: January 21, 2026

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Oil settles 1.6% lower after Gaza ceasefire - Headlines news and analysis from Global Banking & Finance Review

Impact of Gaza Ceasefire on Oil Prices

By Arathy Somasekhar

Market Reactions to the Ceasefire

HOUSTON (Reuters) -Oil prices settled lower on Thursday after Israel and the Palestinian militant group Hamas signed an agreement to cease fire in Gaza.

OPEC's Role in Current Oil Prices

Brent crude futures closed down $1.03, or 1.6%, at $65.22 a barrel. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude was down $1.04, or 1.7%, at $61.51.

Geopolitical Factors Affecting Oil Markets

Israel and the Palestinian militant group Hamas signed an agreement on Thursday to cease fire and free Israeli hostages in exchange for Palestinian prisoners, in the first phase of U.S. President Donald Trump's initiative to end the war in Gaza.

Under the ceasefire deal, fighting will cease, Israel will partially withdraw from Gaza, and Hamas will free all remaining hostages it captured in the attack that precipitated the war, in exchange for hundreds of prisoners held by Israel.

"Crude futures are in a corrective phase as the Israel/Hamas conflict looks to be ending," said Dennis Kissler, senior vice president of trading at BOK Financial.

'WIDE-RANGING' IMPLICATIONS FOR OIL MARKETS

"The peace agreement is a major breakthrough in recent Middle Eastern history – its implications for oil markets could be wide-ranging, from the possibility of a decrease in the Houthis' attacks in the Red Sea to an increase in the likelihood of a nuclear deal with Iran..." Rystad Energy's Chief Economist Claudio Galimberti said in a note.

The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and allies in OPEC+ agreed on Sunday to a November output hike that was smaller than market expectations, easing oversupply concerns.

Prices had gained around 1% on Wednesday to reach a one-week high after investors viewed stalled progress on a Ukraine peace deal as a sign that sanctions against Russia, the world's second-largest oil exporter, would continue for some time.

Democratic and Republican bills to fund the U.S. government and end a shutdown have not secured the votes needed for passage in the Senate. A prolonged shutdown could dampen the economy and hurt oil demand.

Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi said he spoke to U.S. President Donald Trump on Thursday, adding they "reviewed good progress achieved in trade negotiations" and agreed to stay in close touch over the coming weeks. Trump has imposed a 50% tariff on most exports from India, among the highest for any U.S. trading partner. The tariffs were doubled on Indian goods from 25% over New Delhi's continued imports of Russian oil.

The U.S. also imposed sanctions on about 100 individuals, entities and vessels, including a Chinese independent refinery and terminal, that helped Iran's oil and petrochemicals trade, the administration of President Donald Trump said on Thursday.

(Reporting by Stephanie Kelly in London, Florence Tan in Singapore and Georgina McCartney in Houston. Editing by Mark Potter, Jane Merriman, Nick Zieminski, William Maclean and David Gregorio)

Oil Settles 1.6% Lower After Gaza Ceasefire

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