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    1. Home
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    3. >BP says drop in refining margins to dent Q4 profit
    Finance

    Bp Says Drop in Refining Margins to Dent Q4 Profit

    Published by Global Banking & Finance Review®

    Posted on January 14, 2025

    2 min read

    Last updated: January 27, 2026

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    The image features the BP logo alongside financial charts, reflecting the company's warning about fourth-quarter profit impacts due to lower production and refining margins. This visual supports the article's focus on BP's strategic challenges and investor concerns.
    BP logo with financial charts illustrating Q4 profit concerns - Global Banking & Finance Review
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    Quick Summary

    BP forecasts a Q4 profit decline due to weak refining margins and lower production, with expected impacts on investor confidence.

    BP Expects Q4 Profit Decline Due to Refining Margins

    (Reuters) -BP warned on Tuesday that lower production, weak refining margins and sluggish trading would see its profit in the fourth quarter of 2024 fall from the previous three months.

    Since taking the helm a year ago, CEO Murray Auchincloss has scaled back the firm's energy transition strategy in an effort to boost profits and regain investor confidence as BP's share lags behind its competitors.

    A capital markets event previously scheduled for Feb. 11 in New York will instead take place on Feb. 26 in London, BP said, as Auchincloss is recovering from a planned medical procedure.

    BP said the drop in refining margins and a higher impact from turnaround and maintenance activity would result in a quarter-on-quarter drop in profit of up to $300 million, while realisations in its oil production and operations unit could lead to a further reduction of $200 million to $400 million. It also expects a drop in upstream production.

    The company's third quarter underlying replacement cost profit, the company's definition of net income, was $2.27 billion, already the weakest since the fourth quarter of 2020, when profits collapsed during the pandemic.

    Global demand for gasoline and diesel has fallen short of expectations, while the launch of new oil refineries in Asia and Africa has resulted in oversupply.

    Last week, Shell warned of weakness across multiple divisions, while Exxon Mobil signalled a $1.75 billion drop in fourth-quarter earnings.

    BP, which will release fourth quarter results on Feb. 11, expects its net debt at end-December to have fallen from the end of the previous quarter. Exploration write-offs are seen falling by $100 million to $200 million.

    (Reporting by Arunima Kumar in London; Editing by Savio D'Souza, Kirsten Donovan)

    Key Takeaways

    • •BP warns of a Q4 profit drop due to weak refining margins.
    • •CEO Murray Auchincloss scales back energy transition strategy.
    • •BP's Q3 profit was the weakest since Q4 2020.
    • •Global demand for gasoline and diesel is below expectations.
    • •BP's net debt is expected to fall by end-December.

    Frequently Asked Questions about BP says drop in refining margins to dent Q4 profit

    1What is the main topic?

    The main topic is BP's anticipated Q4 profit decline due to weak refining margins and production issues.

    2Why is BP's profit expected to drop?

    BP's profit is expected to drop due to lower refining margins, reduced production, and sluggish trading.

    3What are the implications for BP's investors?

    The profit decline may affect investor confidence as BP's share performance lags behind competitors.

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