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    Finance

    Stocks dip and oil climbs as Trump ramps up Iran threats

    Published by Global Banking & Finance Review®

    Posted on February 20, 2026

    3 min read

    Last updated: February 20, 2026

    Stocks dip and oil climbs as Trump ramps up Iran threats - Finance news and analysis from Global Banking & Finance Review
    Tags:currenciesprivate equity

    Quick Summary

    Asian stocks fell as oil rose on rising Middle East risks after Trump’s warnings to Iran. A Blue Owl redemption halt hit private equity shares, while the dollar firmed ahead of Nvidia’s earnings and Fed cues.

    Table of Contents

    • Market Moves and Key Drivers
    • Asia Stocks Weaken
    • Private Equity Rout: Blue Owl Fallout
    • Brent at 6-1/2 Month Highs
    • Oil Rally on Iran Deadline
    • Positioning Ahead of Major Earnings
    • U.S. Retail and Trade Data
    • Dollar’s Weekly Gain and FX Moves
    • Euro Softens, Yen Weakens
    • Aussie Holds, Kiwi Slips
    • Fed Minutes Show Division
    • 10-Year Near 4.06%
    • Treasury Yields and Rate-Cut Debate
    • Investor Caution and Sentiment

    Stocks Slip, Oil Rises as Trump Intensifies Threats Against Iran

    By Tom Westbrook

    Market Moves and Key Drivers

    SINGAPORE, Feb 20 (Reuters) - Stocks fell in Asia on Friday, the dollar headed for its largest weekly gain in four months and oil prices were rising as a U.S. military build up in the Middle East and a rout in private equity stocks sent ripples of nerves across markets.

    Asia Stocks Weaken

    Japan's Nikkei dropped 1%. Hong Kong's Hang Seng slipped 0.3% on return from the Lunar New Year break.

    Private Equity Rout: Blue Owl Fallout

    Overnight on Wall Street listed private equity stocks took a beating after one manager, Blue Owl, sold assets and permanently stopped quarterly redemptions from one of its funds, stoking wider concerns about valuations and liquidity in the sector.

    Blue Owl stock finished about 6% lower and shares in larger rivals Apollo Global Management and Blackstone fell more than 5%. [.N]

    Brent at 6-1/2 Month Highs

    Oil Rally on Iran Deadline

    Benchmark Brent crude futures touched 6-1/2 month peaks above $72 a barrel as U.S. President Donald Trump set a deadline of 10 to 15 days for Iran to make a deal over its nuclear program or "really bad things" will happen. [O/R]

    Positioning Ahead of Major Earnings

    Taken together, the news had investors shying away from risk, said Kenji Abe, chief strategist at Daiwa Securities in Tokyo, and positioning ahead of an earnings report from the world's most valuable company, Nvidia, next week.

    The chipmaker is close to finalising a $30 billion investment into OpenAI that will replace the long-term $100 billion commitment agreed upon by the companies last year, the Financial Times reported on Thursday, citing sources.

    U.S. Retail and Trade Data

    Walmart shares fell about 1.4% after new CEO John Furner offered a cautious outlook on the U.S. consumer.

    The U.S. trade deficit widened sharply in December, data showed and the goods shortfall in 2025 was the highest on record suggesting Trump's tariffs have had little impact.

    Dollar’s Weekly Gain and FX Moves

    DOLLAR NOTCHES WEEKLY GAIN

    In foreign exchange trade, the dollar was headed for its largest weekly rise in four months thanks to a patchwork of slightly stronger U.S. data and minutes from the Federal Reserve that suggested no hurry to lower interest rates. [FRX/]

    Euro Softens, Yen Weakens

    For the week the dollar is up about 0.9% on the euro, pushing the common currency to $1.1762. Morning moves were modest on Friday.

    Japan's yen was lower after data showed Japanese core inflation at 2% in January, its slowest pace in two years, possibly complicating the central bank's hiking path.

    For the week, the dollar is up 1.6% to 155.2 yen.

    Aussie Holds, Kiwi Slips

    The Australian dollar was holding its own at $0.7047 as a widening yield premium provided a buffer, while the kiwi was hamstrung by the fading chance of early rate hikes and headed for its largest weekly drop of 2026 so far. [AUD/]

    Fed Minutes Show Division
    10-Year Near 4.06%

    Treasury Yields and Rate-Cut Debate

    U.S. Treasuries were steady, with 10-year yields at 4.06%, while division evident in the Fed minutes over whether or how fast to cut rates has lifted two-year yields by five basis points over the week to 3.46%. [US/]

    Investor Caution and Sentiment

    "There does not seem to be much point in adding risk ahead of this weekend’s uncertainty surrounding the Middle East," saud Spectra Markets' President Brent Donnelly.

    "Today feels like a good day to stay out of trouble."

    (Reporting by Tom Westbrook; Editing by Kim Coghill)

    Key Takeaways

    • •Asian equities fell, with Japan’s Nikkei and Hong Kong’s Hang Seng slipping.
    • •Brent crude advanced to multi‑month highs amid heightened U.S.–Iran tensions.
    • •Private equity names slid after Blue Owl halted quarterly redemptions in a fund.
    • •The dollar headed for a strong weekly gain; the yen weakened as UST yields steadied.
    • •Traders are cautious ahead of Nvidia’s results and digesting Fed minutes.

    Frequently Asked Questions about Stocks dip and oil climbs as Trump ramps up Iran threats

    1What is the main topic?

    Markets turned risk‑off as Asian stocks dipped and oil prices climbed amid escalating Middle East tensions, with currency and credit markets reacting to the shift.

    2Why did oil prices rise?

    Brent crude climbed on fears of supply disruption after heightened U.S.–Iran rhetoric and a wider military buildup in the Middle East.

    3What hit private equity stocks?

    Shares fell after Blue Owl moved to halt quarterly redemptions in one of its funds, raising concerns about liquidity and valuations across the sector.

    4How did currencies and yields react?

    The dollar strengthened for the week on firm U.S. data and cautious Fed minutes; the yen weakened while Treasury yields were broadly steady.

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