Repsol profit surges 57%, still below forecast - Finance news and analysis from Global Banking & Finance Review
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Repsol profit surges 57%, still below forecast

Published by Global Banking & Finance Review

Posted on April 30, 2026

3 min read

· Last updated: April 30, 2026

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Repsol plans to boost jet fuel output as Iran war disrupts global supply

Repsol's Financial Performance and Strategic Response

MADRID, April 30 (Reuters) - Spain’s Repsol plans to boost jet fuel output by 15% to 20% to offset supply disruptions linked to the Iran war, it said on Thursday, as first-quarter adjusted net profit rose about 57% on strong refining margins.

Spain's main refiner and oil producer reported adjusted net income of 873 million euros ($1.02 billion), slightly missing a company-provided forecast of 897 million euros, with analysts pointing to price lag effects in its downstream business.

Its refining margin in Spain more than doubled year-on-year to $10.9 per barrel, while adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortisation jumped 110% to 2.61 billion euros.

Impact of Middle East Conflict on Results

Repsol said volatility stemming from the Middle East conflict supported results. Higher oil prices have benefitted European energy companies. Brent crude averaged about $78.38 per barrel in the quarter, up from roughly $74.98 a year earlier, according to LSEG data and Reuters calculations.

Jet Fuel Production Plans

Repsol plans to increase jet fuel production at its five refineries in Spain, it said, as it aims to boost its refining margin.

Company Bolsters Crude Inventories

COMPANY BOLSTERS CRUDE INVENTORIES

Repsol allocated 1.2 billion euros in the quarter to build crude oil inventories and maximize feedstock availability.

Production Outlook and Venezuela Operations

The company expects to produce between 560,000 and 570,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day in 2026, which could increase, depending on improvement in Venezuela, it added. 

Venezuela has recently signed exploration and other deals with international producers, including Repsol and Italy's Eni, as it opens its oil industry to foreign investment following the ouster of President Nicolas Maduro by U.S. forces in January.

Venezuela Production Expansion

Repsol CEO Josu Jon Imaz said on an analyst call the company plans to boost gross crude oil output in Venezuela by 50% within 12 months and to triple it over the next three years. 

The company will receive the first crude shipment from Venezuela as payment for production this week, with additional cargoes expected going forward, it said.

Share Performance and Customer Measures

Its shares were up 1.9% by 1222 GMT, outpacing a 0.7% rise in a broader index of European energy companies.

Repsol, which has no assets in the Middle East, has applied discounts amounting to 35 million euros to date at its more than 3,300 service stations in Spain to mitigate the effect of fuel price volatility on customers, it added. 

Debt, Shareholder Remuneration, and Industry Comparison

Net debt at the end of the first quarter was 4.8 billion euros, over 300 million euros higher than the previous quarter. 

Repsol said it was on track to meet full-year commitments on shareholder remuneration. It is targeting shareholder distribution of 30% to 40% of operating cash flow.

Peer Actions and Analyst Commentary

France's TotalEnergies and Italy's Eni roughly doubled share buybacks, with Eni saying its decision stemmed from expectations that the war would keep energy prices higher for longer. 

Analyst Guidance

"In terms of guidance, Repsol has elected to maintain all guidance as a prudent approach to a volatile macro," RBC analysts said in a note.

($1=0.8576 euros)

(Reporting by Madrid and Gdansk bureaus and Stephanie Kelly in London; Editing by Andrei Khalip, Clarence Fernandez and Emelia Sithole-Matarise)

Key Takeaways

  • Adjusted Q1 net income surged ~57% to €873 million, but missed analyst forecast of €897 million
  • Refining margins—particularly in March—benefited from disruptions related to the Iran conflict (investing.com)
  • Repsol unveiled a 2026–2028 strategic plan allocating up to €10 billion in investments and boosting dividends 3% annually to €1.051 in 2026 (cincodias.elpais.com)

References

Frequently Asked Questions

How much did Repsol's adjusted net profit increase in Q1?
Repsol's adjusted net profit rose by nearly 57% in the first quarter.
What was Repsol's reported Q1 adjusted net income?
Repsol reported a Q1 adjusted net income of 873 million euros ($1.02 billion).
What drove the rise in Repsol's Q1 profit?
Stronger oil refining margins, especially in March, drove the profit increase.
Which external event impacted Repsol's refining margins?
The war in Iran contributed to soaring oil refining margins in March.

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