Putin slams killing of Iran's Khamenei but offers little beyond condolences so far

Russia Reacts to the Death of Iranian Supreme Leader Khamenei

By Guy Faulconbridge and Vladimir Soldatkin

MOSCOW, March 1 (Reuters) - Russian President Vladimir Putin on Sunday condemned the killing of Iranian Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei as a "cynical" murder but he offered little in public to Moscow's ally beyond condolences.

Strategic Setback for Moscow

Khamenei is the third Russian ally to be toppled in the past 15 months, following the falls of Moscow‑backed leaders in Syria and Venezuela. His death leaves the Kremlin facing a strategic setback in a region where it has long sought greater influence.

Regional Instability and Moscow's Response

Russia says this weekend's U.S. and Israeli attacks have thrust the entire Middle East into the abyss, although some Iranian sources have said that they have had little real help from Moscow in the biggest crisis for Iran since the U.S.-backed Shah was toppled in the 1979 revolution. 

After Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu last year openly speculated that Israel could prompt regime change, Putin cautioned that Iranian society could consolidate around the political leadership there. 

Putin's Condolences and Relationship with Khamenei

Putin conveyed his condolences to the family of Khamenei, the government of Iran and the people of Iran in a note to President Masoud Pezeshkian, the Kremlin said.

Putin's Official Statement

"Please accept my deep condolences in connection with the murder of the Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran, Seyed Ali Khamenei, and members of his family, committed in cynical violation of all norms of human morality and international law," Putin said in the note.

Personal and Diplomatic Ties

Khamenei was killed on Saturday, aged 86, Iranian state media announced, in air strikes by Israel and the United States. Putin has long kept up contacts with Khamenei. 

His first visit outside the former Soviet Union since the start of the 2022 Ukraine war was to Tehran where he met Khamenei. Both wary of intercepts by U.S. intelligence, Putin and Khamenei would sometimes exchange written messages or communicate by envoy.

Another Russian Ally Falls

Challenges for Moscow

With Russian allies ousted in Syria and Venezuela, the fall of Khamenei poses a challenge for Moscow, though the Kremlin has shown little appetite to date for challenging U.S. President Donald Trump over Iran and has been more successful than the West predicted in negotiating with Syria's new rulers. 

Historical Parallels and Lessons

Fyodor Lukyanov, the influential editor-in-chief of Russia in Global Politics magazine, compared the "murder" of Khamenei to the 2011 killing of Libyan leader Colonel Muammar Gaddafi and the 2006 death by hanging of Iraq's Saddam Hussein.

Lukyanov said the wider lesson from the events in Iran was clear: "Negotiating with the Americans makes almost no sense." 

Complex Russia-Iran Relations

While Moscow has bought weapons from Iran for its war in Ukraine and signed a 20-year strategic partnership deal with Tehran earlier last year, their relationship since the 16th century, when Muscovy officially established relations with the Persian Empire, has at times been troubled.

The published strategic partnership does not contain a mutual defence clause, and Russia has repeatedly said that it does not want Iran to develop an atomic bomb, a step that Moscow fears would trigger a nuclear arms race across the Middle East. 

Putin's Tribute and Future Implications

"In our country, Ayatollah Khamenei will be remembered as an outstanding statesman who made a huge personal contribution to the development of friendly Russian-Iranian relations and bringing them to the level of a comprehensive strategic partnership," Putin said.

While it is unclear who will ultimately rule Iran after Khamenei, if there is a sustained supply disruption to oil from the Gulf then Russian oil revenues will increase, bolstering its war economy.

(Reporting by Vladimir Soldatkin and Guy Faulconbridge, Editing by William Maclean)