Oil Settles Down Over 4% on US-Iran De-Escalation, Easing Supply Worries

Oil settles down over 4% on US-Iran de-escalation, easing supply worries

Impact of US-Iran Relations on Oil Prices

By Shariq Khan

Current Oil Price Trends

NEW YORK, Feb 2 (Reuters) - Oil prices fell more than $3 per barrel on Monday after U.S. President Donald Trump said Iran was "seriously talking" with Washington, signaling a de-escalation of tensions with the OPEC member, while a stronger dollar and milder weather forecasts also pressured prices.

OPEC+ Decisions and Market Reactions

Brent crude futures fell $3.02, or 4.4%, to settle at $66.30 per barrel, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures fell $3.07, or 4.7%, to $62.14 per barrel.

Weather Effects on Oil Prices

Iran and the U.S. will resume nuclear talks on Friday, officials from both countries told Reuters.

On Saturday, Trump told reporters that Iran was "seriously talking", hours after Tehran's top security official Ali Larijani said arrangements for negotiations were underway.

The U.S. president had repeatedly threatened Iran with intervention if it did not agree to a nuclear deal or if it continued killing protesters. The threats underpinned oil prices throughout January, said Phillip Nova analyst Priyanka Sachdeva.

The U.S. dollar also strengthened as currency traders cheered Trump's nomination of Kevin Warsh as the next Federal Reserve chair. A stronger dollar makes dollar-denominated oil more expensive for investors using other currencies.

Forecasts of milder weather in the U.S. also pressured oil prices, as diesel futures pulled back sharply, Ritterbusch and Associates said. U.S. futures prices for diesel, used in heating and power generation, fell more than 6%.

Together with tensions in the Middle East, a polar vortex in the U.S. had helped U.S. WTI futures rise 14% and Brent gain 16% in January, PVM analysts said in a note.

With those issues fading in relevance, the focus is returning to a widely anticipated buildup of global oil inventories this year, they said.

At a meeting on Sunday, OPEC+ agreed to keep its oil output unchanged for March. In November, the grouping had frozen further planned increases for January through March 2026 because of seasonally weaker consumption.

(Reporting by Shariq Khan and Enes Tunagur in London; Additional reporting by Katya Golubkova in Tokyo and Sudarshan Varadhan in Singapore; Editing by Jan Harvey, Louise Heavens and David Gregorio)