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Hungary's opposition leads in polls, far-right party gains support
Published by Global Banking & Finance Review®
Posted on March 4, 2026
3 min readLast updated: March 4, 2026
Quick Summary
Hungary’s opposition Tisza Party leads Fidesz by about 10 points among decided voters; the far‑right Our Homeland is also rising and poised to enter parliament.
Hungary's Opposition Extends Poll Lead as Far-Right Party Rises Before Election
Latest Opinion Polls and Political Landscape Ahead of Hungary's Election
Overview of Recent Poll Results
BUDAPEST, March 4 (Reuters) - Hungary's centre-right Tisza party leads Prime Minister Viktor Orban's governing Fidesz before an April 12 election, while the far-right Our Homeland is gaining support, two opinion polls showed on Wednesday.
Nationalist Orban faces the biggest challenge to his rule in 16 years although the outcome of the vote remains highly uncertain, with opinion polls showing that many voters are still undecided.
Zavecz Research Poll Findings
The poll by Zavecz Research, conducted between February 22 and 28, shows that Tisza widened its lead to 12 points among decided voters from 10 points in a January poll.
The poll, published by news site 24.hu late on Tuesday, showed 50% of decided voters supported Tisza, up from 48% in January, while 38% backed Fidesz, down from 39% a month earlier.
Zavecz showed 38% support for Tisza among all voters, while Fidesz was backed by 32%.
According to their data, some 20% of respondents said that they still did not know who to back, down from 23% in February.
Tisza Party's Platform and Leadership
Tisza is led by former government insider Peter Magyar who has said his party would curb corruption, unlock billions of euros in frozen European Union funds to boost the economy, and firmly anchor Hungary in the EU and NATO.
Publicus Institute Poll and Additional Insights
A second poll, published by newspaper Nepszava on Wednesday and conducted by Publicus Institute, showed 47% of decided voters supporting Tisza and 39% backing Fidesz, as support for both parties was down 1 percentage point since a January poll.
While most polls have shown a Tisza lead, Fidesz points to other surveys that still show it on course to victory, though its opponents say these have mainly been conducted by institutes with financial or personal ties to the ruling party.
Rise of the Far-Right and Parliamentary Threshold
Both polls showed that the far-right Our Homeland (Mi Hazank) would be the only other party to pass the 5% threshold required for entry into parliament.
Zavecz Research put support for Our Homeland at 7% among decided voters, up from 5% a month ago. Publicus said that 6% of decided voters back the far-right party, up from 5% in January.
Reporting Credits
(Reporting by Anita Komuves; Editing by Toby Chopra)
Key Takeaways
- •Tisza, led by Peter Magyar, holds a ~10‑point lead among decided voters (around 50% vs 38%) and commands ~38% of overall voter support, with 20% undecided.
- •Our Homeland (Mi Hazank), the far‑right party, is gaining support — polling at 6–7% among decided voters, enough to surpass the 5% parliamentary threshold.
- •The election on April 12 marks Viktor Orbán’s strongest challenge in 16 years; polls remain volatile and relative to methodology, with EU funding and democratic concerns heightening stakes.
Frequently Asked Questions about Hungary's opposition leads in polls, far-right party gains support
1How much support does the Tisza party have among decided voters?
Tisza has support from 50% of decided voters according to Zavecz Research, and 47% according to Publicus Institute.
2Is Prime Minister Viktor Orban's Fidesz party trailing in the polls?
Yes, Fidesz is currently trailing Tisza, with 38% to 39% of decided voters' support.
3What is the voter support for the far-right Our Homeland party?
Recent polls show Our Homeland at 6-7% support among decided voters, allowing it to clear the parliament threshold.
4Are many Hungarian voters still undecided?
Yes, around 20% of respondents in the Zavecz poll said they were still undecided, down from 23% in February.
