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    1. Home
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    3. >Hungary's Orban flags fourth year of 5% deficit as election spending bites
    Finance

    Hungary's Orban Flags Fourth Year of 5% Deficit as Election Spending Bites

    Published by Global Banking & Finance Review®

    Posted on February 6, 2026

    2 min read

    Last updated: February 6, 2026

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    Tags:GDPeconomic growthPublic FinanceFiscal consolidation

    Quick Summary

    Hungary's budget deficit is expected to be 5% of GDP in 2023 and 2024, posing economic challenges ahead of elections.

    Orban Signals Continued 5% Budget Deficit Amid Election Spending

    Hungary's Budget Deficit and Economic Outlook

    BUDAPEST, Feb 6 (Reuters) - Hungary's budget deficit could stay around 5% of output for the fourth successive year in 2027, Prime Minister Viktor Orban said on Friday, amid heavy pre-election spending and the lack of a clear strategy on how to curb the shortfall in a weak economy.

    Impact of Election Spending

    In power since 2010, Orban faces what could be the toughest challenge to his rule at an April election from a centre-right rival following three years of near-stagnation and the European Union's worst price surge after Russia's invasion of Ukraine.

    Credit Rating Concerns

    Orban has launched a string of voter-pleasing measures, which will cost 2.1% of economic output this year based on an estimate from Fitch Ratings, which cut Hungary's credit rating outlook to 'negative' last year on Orban's spending moves.

    Future Fiscal Strategies

    "Fiscal planning is sound," Orban told public radio. "The Hungarian economy can expect a budget deficit of some 5% last year, this year and I think next year as well."

    Orban last week denied the need for spending cuts after the April 12 ballot and said Hungary's deficit, which has exceeded government forecasts in recent years, would have to be lowered "calmly, slowly and gradually" as economic prospects improve.

    Fitch Ratings has said a sustained rise in Hungary's debt, the EU's largest outside the euro zone, or the lack of a credible deficit reduction strategy could lead to a ratings downgrade.

    S&P Global, which also has a negative outlook on Hungary's credit rating, on Thursday said potentially slower fiscal consolidation was a key risk for several central European countries -- projecting Hungary's deficit at 4% next year.

    "Our baseline assumption is that financial markets, EU fiscal rules, and recovering GDP growth will likely support fiscal consolidation in the medium term," it said.

    "However, the negative rating outlooks for Romania, Hungary, and Slovakia signal that risks to this assumption are particularly high for these countries."

    (Reporting by Krisztina Than and Anita Komuves; Writing by Gergely Szakacs; Editing by)

    Table of Contents

    • Hungary's Budget Deficit and Economic Outlook
    • Impact of Election Spending
    • Credit Rating Concerns
    • Future Fiscal Strategies

    Key Takeaways

    • •Hungary's budget deficit is projected at 5% of GDP for 2023 and 2024.
    • •Prime Minister Orban faces economic challenges ahead of elections.
    • •Fitch Ratings downgraded Hungary's credit outlook to 'negative'.
    • •Economic recovery strategies are crucial for Orban's administration.
    • •Fiscal policies are under scrutiny due to upcoming national elections.

    Frequently Asked Questions about Hungary's Orban flags fourth year of 5% deficit as election spending bites

    1What is GDP?

    Gross Domestic Product (GDP) is the total monetary value of all goods and services produced within a country's borders in a specific time period, indicating the size of its economy.

    2What is a credit rating?

    A credit rating is an assessment of the creditworthiness of a borrower, indicating the likelihood of default on debt obligations. It influences interest rates and borrowing costs.

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