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Europe's reliance on US gas set to rise, research report says

Published by Global Banking & Finance Review

Posted on May 13, 2026

3 min read

· Last updated: May 13, 2026

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EU's rising reliance on US gas brings risks, regulators warn

EU's Growing Dependence on US LNG: Risks and Perspectives

By Kate Abnett

BRUSSELS, May 13 (Reuters) - The European Union's growing reliance on U.S. gas carries risks, including rising dependence on a single supplier, European energy regulators warned on Wednesday.

EU countries have tripled imports of U.S. liquefied natural gas since 2021 as they race to phase out Russian energy. Last year, the bloc sourced 58% of its LNG from the U.S., equivalent to about 25% of its total gas consumption.

Regulatory Warnings and Market Disruptions

"The EU's reliance on U.S. LNG may raise questions of dependency on a single supplying country," the EU Agency for the Cooperation of Energy Regulators said in a report.

ACER said the severe disruption to energy markets caused by the Iran war underlined the need to cut Europe's exposure to external shocks. It urged the EU to diversify supply sources to ensure that no single supplier, transit route or conflict could destabilise Europe's energy system and broader economy.

New Energy Dependence and Future Projections

'NEW ENERGY DEPENDENCE'

The U.S. is on track to become Europe's biggest gas supplier this year and could provide 80% of the EU's LNG by 2028, according to data published on Wednesday by the non-profit Institute for Energy Economics and Financial Analysis.

Calls for Diversification and Renewable Investments

Ramping up ⁠U.S. imports risks creating a "new energy dependence", IEEFA said, urging more investment in ⁠renewable energy and heat pumps to reduce exposure to volatile global fuel markets.

The EU is already the world's largest LNG importer, and its reliance on U.S. supplies is set to rise further as it moves ahead with a ban on Russian gas imports by September 2027 - a decision prompted by Russia's 2022 invasion of Ukraine, when Moscow slashed gas deliveries to Europe.

Political Perspectives and Transatlantic Relations

Some EU officials voiced concerns earlier this year about growing dependence on U.S. energy following U.S. President Donald Trump's push to take over Greenland.

Others argue reliance on the U.S. - a long-time ally and NATO member - is not comparable to the bloc's former dependence on Russia.

Statements from EU Officials

"Transatlantic relations are under scrutiny, and we have ups and downs... but of course, we need to continue to build and to strengthen this relationship," Romania's state secretary for energy Cristian-Silviu Busoi said.

"It's a more reliable partner than maybe others that could be our partners now. Because Russia will not be a partner anymore," Busoi told reporters on Wednesday.

(Reporting by Kate Abnett. Editing by Edmund Klamann and Mark Potter)

References

Frequently Asked Questions

What percentage of Europe's LNG imports are expected to come from the US by 2028?
Europe is forecast to import 80% of its liquefied natural gas from the United States by 2028.
Why is Europe increasing its LNG imports from the US?
Europe is boosting US LNG imports as it phases out Russian gas, seeking to diversify its energy sources and reduce reliance on Russia.
What are the risks of Europe relying heavily on US LNG?
Heavy reliance on a single supplier like the US increases risks of energy dependence and exposure to price volatility.
What alternatives does the IEEFA recommend for Europe?
The IEEFA recommends investing in renewable energy and heat pumps to lower exposure to global fuel market volatility.
When will the EU ban Russian LNG and pipeline gas imports?
The EU's ban on Russian LNG imports starts in January 2027, with pipeline gas banned from September 2027.

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