European corporates head for best earnings growth in three years
Finance

European corporates head for best earnings growth in three years

Published by Global Banking & Finance Review

Posted on May 7, 2026

2 min read

· Last updated: May 7, 2026

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European Corporates Head for Best Quarterly Earnings Growth in Three Years

Strong Earnings Growth Driven by Energy Majors

May 7 (Reuters) - Estimates for European blue-chip companies earnings are heading for their strongest growth since the first quarter of 2023, the latest LSEG I/B/E/S data showed on Thursday, thanks in part to soaring profits for energy majors.

Quarterly Earnings Performance

Earnings of European blue-chips are now expected to have grown 10.2% year-on-year in the first quarter, on average, based on results from 211 STOXX 600 companies and market estimates for those that are yet to report, the data showed.

Impact of Energy and Non-Energy Sectors

Though earnings of energy companies - expected to grow by a breathtaking 48.4% - skew the average, non-energy companies are

seen posting 5.7% higher earnings year-on-year.

Revenue Trends and Cost-Cutting Measures

• However, the outlook for revenues has worsened from last week's 0.7% increase

• STOXX 600 companies are now forecast to report a meagre 0.2% revenue growth

• Weak revenue growth coupled with higher earnings may be a sign that companies' efforts to cut costs and restructure businesses could be paying off

• According to the report, 60.2% of companies beat earnings estimates

Sector Highlights and Market Influences

• European energy majors have benefited from higher oil prices due to the war in the Middle East

• Though crude futures have fallen on hopes of a peace deal, they are still about 35% above pre-war levels

• The real estate sector, on the other hand, is expected to post earnings 14.3% below those of last year

Market Performance and Global Comparisons

• Europe's benchmark STOXX 600 index quickly lost most of its 2026 gains after the U.S. and Israel struck Iran in February

• It has since partially recovered, but it is still about 2% below pre-war levels

• Despite the turnaround, the outlook for STOXX 600 companies is in contrast with that of U.S. listed S&P 500 firms

• Earnings of S&P 500 companies are expected to rise 27.8%, mostly thanks to technology companies' 51.9% growth, according to a separate LSEG I/B/E/S note from Friday

(Reporting by Javi West Larrañaga in Gdansk; Editing by Matt Scuffham)

Key Takeaways

  • European blue‑chip earnings to grow 10.2% in Q1—the strongest since early 2023—powered by energy sector gains (48.4%) while non‑energy firms up 5.7%.
  • Revenue forecasts have weakened: STOXX 600 companies now expected to post only 0.2% revenue growth, signaling cost‑cutting and restructuring may be fueling earnings.
  • In contrast, U.S. S&P 500 firms are seen delivering much stronger Q1 earnings growth (~27.8%), led by tech, highlighting divergence in regional earnings dynamics.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the expected earnings growth for European blue-chip companies in Q1?
European blue-chip companies are expected to achieve a 10.2% year-on-year earnings growth in the first quarter.
Which sector is driving European earnings growth?
The energy sector is driving growth, with earnings expected to rise by 48.4% year-on-year.
How does earnings growth compare to revenue growth in European companies?
While earnings are rising strongly, STOXX 600 companies are only forecast to report 0.2% revenue growth.
What percentage of European companies beat their earnings estimates?
About 60.2% of companies have beaten their earnings estimates.
How does European corporate performance compare to U.S. firms?
STOXX 600 earnings are rising but are outpaced by S&P 500 companies, which are expected to see a 27.8% earnings increase, mainly due to technology sector growth.

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