Dollar Hangs Near Six-Week Lows as Investors Bet on Iran Peace Deal
Published by Global Banking & Finance Review®
Posted on April 16, 2026
3 min readLast updated: April 16, 2026
Add as preferred source on GooglePublished by Global Banking & Finance Review®
Posted on April 16, 2026
3 min readLast updated: April 16, 2026
Add as preferred source on GoogleThe U.S. dollar remains near six-week lows, pressured by optimism over a potential U.S.–Iran peace deal that lifted risk sentiment and reduced safe-haven demand. Renewed hopes about resumed talks in Pakistan and possible shipping assurances via the Strait of Hormuz are weighing on the greenback.
By Jiaxing Li
HONG KONG, April 16 (Reuters) - The U.S. dollar held near its lowest level since early March against major currencies on Thursday, as the White House's optimism over a peace deal with Iran buoyed sentiment and encouraged traders to shed safe-haven positions.
President Donald Trump said the U.S.-Israeli war on Iran was "close to over," while the White House expressed optimism about a deal, saying more in-person talks would likely take place in Pakistan again.
A source briefed by Tehran told Reuters Iran could consider allowing ships to sail freely through the Omani side of the Strait of Hormuz if a deal was reached to prevent renewed conflict.
The euro stood at $1.1808 and the sterling traded at $1.3569, both up about 0.1% for the day to hover near their highest level since February.
The dollar index, which measures the currency's strength against six major peers, was steady at 98.027. It declined for eight straight sessions through Wednesday to give up most of the gains sparked by the Iran war, as a tentative ceasefire revived appetite for riskier currencies.
"Markets are now basically looking past the conflict and pricing that there's going to be some kind of settlement," said Khoon Goh, the head of Asia research at ANZ.
"As markets are pricing out the war premium, we could see the dollar coming under further pressure and resuming the downtrend that has been established since basically last year."
The dollar index is now just above the 98 level, a key near-term support, and a break below that could open up potential for further downside, he said. The index is down 0.7% for the week, poised for its second straight week of declines.
The risk-sensitive Australian dollar fetched $0.7173 and the New Zealand dollar traded at $0.59139, both near one-month highs.
The Japanese yen was slightly firmer at 158.78 after the country's finance minister said Japan and the U.S. agreed to intensify communication on exchange rates after her meeting with U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent on Wednesday.
The offshore yuan traded at 6.8146 yuan per dollar, up about 0.04% in early Asian trade, ahead of the first-quarter GDP reading.
(Reporting by Jiaxing Li in Hong Kong; Editing by Thomas Derpinghaus)
Optimism over a potential peace deal with Iran has encouraged traders to move away from safe-haven currencies like the US dollar.
The tentative peace deal has boosted risk appetite and led to gains in currencies such as the euro, sterling, and Australian dollar.
The dollar index is steady at 98.027 after eight straight sessions of declines, hovering near a key support level.
The euro, sterling, Australian dollar, New Zealand dollar, and Japanese yen have all seen gains amid waning dollar strength.
Comments from President Trump, the White House, and Japan's finance minister have contributed to changes in currency positioning.
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