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    1. Home
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    3. >Dollar hangs near six-week lows as investors bet on Iran peace deal
    Finance

    Dollar Hangs Near Six-Week Lows as Investors Bet on Iran Peace Deal

    Published by Global Banking & Finance Review®

    Posted on April 16, 2026

    3 min read

    Last updated: April 16, 2026

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    Tags:FinanceCurrency marketsGlobal Economics

    Quick Summary

    The U.S. dollar remains near six-week lows, pressured by optimism over a potential U.S.–Iran peace deal that lifted risk sentiment and reduced safe-haven demand. Renewed hopes about resumed talks in Pakistan and possible shipping assurances via the Strait of Hormuz are weighing on the greenback.

    US Dollar Holds Near Six-Week Lows as Iran Peace Deal Optimism Grows

    Market Reactions to Iran Peace Deal Developments

    By Jiaxing Li

    Dollar Weakness Amid Peace Optimism

    HONG KONG, April 16 (Reuters) - The U.S. dollar held near its lowest level since early March against major currencies on Thursday, as the White House's optimism over a peace deal with Iran buoyed sentiment and encouraged traders to shed safe-haven positions.

    Statements from US and Iran

    President Donald Trump said the U.S.-Israeli war on Iran was "close to over," while the White House expressed optimism about a deal, saying more in-person talks would likely take place in Pakistan again.

    A source briefed by Tehran told Reuters Iran could consider allowing ships to sail freely through the Omani side of the Strait of Hormuz if a deal was reached to prevent renewed conflict.

    Currency Movements and Market Sentiment

    Major Currency Performance

    The euro stood at $1.1808 and the sterling traded at $1.3569, both up about 0.1% for the day to hover near their highest level since February.

    The dollar index, which measures the currency's strength against six major peers, was steady at 98.027. It declined for eight straight sessions through Wednesday to give up most of the gains sparked by the Iran war, as a tentative ceasefire revived appetite for riskier currencies.

    Expert Commentary

    "Markets are now basically looking past the conflict and pricing that there's going to be some kind of settlement," said Khoon Goh, the head of Asia research at ANZ.

    "As markets are pricing out the war premium, we could see the dollar coming under further pressure and resuming the downtrend that has been established since basically last year."

    The dollar index is now just above the 98 level, a key near-term support, and a break below that could open up potential for further downside, he said. The index is down 0.7% for the week, poised for its second straight week of declines.

    Other Currencies in Focus

    The risk-sensitive Australian dollar fetched $0.7173 and the New Zealand dollar traded at $0.59139, both near one-month highs.

    The Japanese yen was slightly firmer at 158.78 after the country's finance minister said Japan and the U.S. agreed to intensify communication on exchange rates after her meeting with U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent on Wednesday.

    The offshore yuan traded at 6.8146 yuan per dollar, up about 0.04% in early Asian trade, ahead of the first-quarter GDP reading.

    (Reporting by Jiaxing Li in Hong Kong; Editing by Thomas Derpinghaus)

    References

    • Safe-haven dollar near six-week lows on hopes of fresh Iran talks By Reuters
    • Steep drop in oil prices after US-Iran ceasefire sends Wall Street and global markets soaring

    Table of Contents

    • Market Reactions to Iran Peace Deal Developments
    • Dollar Weakness Amid Peace Optimism
    • Statements from US and Iran

    Key Takeaways

    • •The dollar index stands near six-week lows (~98), pressured by renewed optimism around U.S.–Iran peace talks, with markets shedding war risk premia. (investing.com)
    • •Improved sentiment stems from President Trump’s comments hinting peace is 'close to over' and expectations of resumed in‑person talks in Pakistan, lifting currencies like the euro and sterling. (investing.com)

    Frequently Asked Questions about Dollar hangs near six-week lows as investors bet on Iran peace deal

    1Why is the US dollar near a six-week low?

    Optimism over a potential peace deal with Iran has encouraged traders to move away from safe-haven currencies like the US dollar.

    2How has the Iran peace deal affected global currency markets?

    The tentative peace deal has boosted risk appetite and led to gains in currencies such as the euro, sterling, and Australian dollar.

  • Currency Movements and Market Sentiment
  • Major Currency Performance
  • Expert Commentary
  • Other Currencies in Focus
  • •Oil prices have fallen sharply amid ceasefire hopes, easing inflation concerns; this in turn weakens the dollar’s appeal as a safe haven. (local10.com)
  • 3What is the current performance of the dollar index?

    The dollar index is steady at 98.027 after eight straight sessions of declines, hovering near a key support level.

    4Which global currencies are benefiting from the current market sentiment?

    The euro, sterling, Australian dollar, New Zealand dollar, and Japanese yen have all seen gains amid waning dollar strength.

    5What statements have influenced recent currency movements?

    Comments from President Trump, the White House, and Japan's finance minister have contributed to changes in currency positioning.

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