Trading
Dollar falls on euro strength after ECB meeting as rates move
Published by Jessica Weisman-Pitts
Posted on October 28, 2021
4 min readLast updated: January 29, 2026
Global Banking & Finance Review®
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Published by Jessica Weisman-Pitts
Posted on October 28, 2021
4 min readLast updated: January 29, 2026
The euro surged against the dollar after the ECB meeting, driven by interest rate market moves and ECB President Lagarde's comments.
By David Henry and Tommy Wilkes
NEW YORK/LONDON (Reuters) – The euro rose sharply against the U.S. dollar on Thursday as foreign currency traders sorted through moves in the interest rate markets and comments by the European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde.
The euro rose nearly 0.7% to at $1.168 at 1425 GMT. The dollar index of major currencies fell 0.6% to 93.3560.
The volatility came in a busy day of central bank-driven activity that started in Australia and Japan and precedes a meeting of the U.S. Federal Reserve next week.
“The market is very much triggered and sensitive to inflation worries and this notion that central banks are behind the curve,” said Mazen Issa, senior currency strategist at TD Securities.
Exchange rate movements picked up on Wednesday when the Bank of Canada made hawkish comments. The markets had been on pause early at the start of the week.
A contributing factor to the volatility, Issa said, is the approaching end of the month when more investment managers rebalance their portfolios across currencies.
Currency traders are trying to predict the direction of interest rates and their inflation-adjusted differences across currencies.
Interest yield curves have flattened, suggesting to some that central banks will have to sacrifice some support for the pandemic recovery by allowing interest rates to rise to try to hold back inflation.
Before Lagarde spoke in a press conference, the euro moved little as the ECB, as expected, kept policy unchanged, reaffirming its plan to keep buying bonds and hold down interest rates for years to come.
But some saw Lagarde’s comments as not as forceful in affirming the ECB’s dovish position as the market expected.
Earlier on Thursday the Reserve Bank of Australia declined to buy a government bond at the heart of its stimulus programme and the Aussie dollar fell in response to speculation the central bank will allow rates to rise earlier than expected. [L1N2RO015]
The Aussie initially fell 0.5% after the RBA statement but soon erased those losses and was 0.3% against the U.S. dollar at 1425 GMT.
The Bank of Japan, as expected, stuck with its dovish stance at its meeting and the yen showed no reaction.
Against the yen the dollar gained about 0.4% to 113.38 per dollar.
The BoJ cut its consumer inflation forecast for the year ending in March 2022 to 0% from 0.6% and, as expected, the overall takeaway reinforced market bets it will lag other central banks in dialling back crisis-mode policies.
A U.S. government report of third-quarter gross domestic product showed no immediate impact on the dollar. The report had been expected to be weak but not matter much to the greenback because more recent economic data has been stronger.
In cryptocurrencies, bitcoin rose 5% to $61,423.
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Currency bid prices at 10:25AM (1425 GMT)
Description RIC Last U.S. Close Pct Change YTD Pct High Bid Low Bid
Previous Change
Session
Dollar index
93.3560 93.8980 -0.57% 3.751% +93.9680 +93.3500
Euro/Dollar
$1.1680 $1.1604 +0.66% -4.40% +$1.1683 +$1.1582
Dollar/Yen
113.3800 113.8050 -0.36% +9.74% +113.8600 +113.3200
Euro/Yen
132.41 132.03 +0.29% +4.33% +132.4800 +131.5800
Dollar/Swiss
0.9132 0.9182 -0.53% +3.23% +0.9194 +0.9129
Sterling/Dollar
$1.3798 $1.3740 +0.43% +1.01% +$1.3801 +$1.3723
Dollar/Canadian
1.2343 1.2364 -0.13% -3.04% +1.2382 +1.2338
Aussie/Dollar
$0.7543 $0.7520 +0.31% -1.95% +$0.7543 +$0.7479
Euro/Swiss
1.0665 1.0653 +0.11% -1.31% +1.0670 +1.0641
Euro/Sterling
0.8462 0.8440 +0.26% -5.32% +0.8466 +0.8423
NZ
Dollar/Dollar $0.7204 $0.7171 +0.46% +0.32% +$0.7206 +$0.7153
Dollar/Norway
8.3300 8.4215 -1.06% -2.96% +8.4410 +8.3325
Euro/Norway
9.7309 9.7693 -0.39% -7.03% +9.7977 +9.7246
Dollar/Sweden
8.5391 8.5845 +0.20% +4.18% +8.6046 +8.5406
Euro/Sweden
9.9750 9.9555 +0.20% -1.01% +9.9855 +9.9582
(Reporting by David Henry in New York and Tommy Wilkes in London. Editing by Christina Fincher and Barbara Lewis)
The article discusses the euro's rise against the dollar following the ECB meeting and its impact on currency trading.
The ECB meeting and President Lagarde's comments led to a sharp increase in the euro against the dollar.
Central bank activities, interest rate predictions, and portfolio rebalancing contributed to currency volatility.
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