Headlines
Denmark's left-wing bloc led by PM Frederiksen edges towards majority, polls show
Published by Global Banking & Finance Review®
Posted on February 27, 2026
2 min readLast updated: February 27, 2026
Quick Summary
New late-February polling suggests PM Mette Frederiksen’s left bloc is within striking distance of the 90-seat Folketing majority ahead of Denmark’s March 24, 2026 election, raising the prospect that the current cross-bloc coalition could end. The campaign is increasingly framing a trade-off between
Denmark Election: Left-Wing Bloc Led by Frederiksen Close to Majority, Polls Show
Opinion Polls Indicate Possible Shift in Danish Political Landscape
(Tweaks headline to add source)
Current Poll Results Ahead of Election
COPENHAGEN, Feb 27 (Reuters) - Fresh opinion polls ahead of Denmark's March 24 parliamentary election showed Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen's Social Democrats nearing a majority with left-wing parties, indicating an end to nearly four years of cross-partisan government.
The election will determine whether voters reward Frederiksen for her defence of Danish sovereignty over Greenland and international leadership or criticize her government for what opponents see as neglect of domestic concerns.
Survey Data from Epinion and Megafon
Two surveys showed the left-leaning bloc led by Frederiksen winning 87-88 seats in Denmark's 179-seat parliament, according to polls by Epinion and Megafon for broadcasters DR and TV2, just short of the 90 needed for a majority.
The right-leaning bloc led by Defence Minister Troels Lund Poulsen of the Liberal Party was projected to win 73 and 77 seats in the two polls.
Impact of Greenland and the Faroe Islands
Parliament includes four seats from Greenland and the Faroe Islands, which usually abstain from Danish domestic politics but could be decisive in a close race.
Background: Political Coalition and Declining Support
Parties have traditionally aligned in left and right blocs, but the 2022 election produced a cross-party coalition of the Social Democrats, the Liberal Party and the Moderates, led by Foreign Minister Lars Lokke Rasmussen, a former prime minister.
The coalition is set to lose its majority, with support down 13 and 15 percentage points in the two polls.
Debate Over Wealth Tax
The first leaders' debate on Thursday highlighted clear divisions over Frederiksen's proposal to introduce a wealth tax to fund education and welfare.
Opposition Liberal Alliance leader Alex Vanopslagh dismissed it as "pettiness,", while Moderates leader Rasmussen called it "stupid."
Critics cited Norway's wealth tax, saying it drove millionaires abroad and could undermine long-term growth, while supporters argue the measure would reduce inequality and fund social programmes.
Social Democrats' Polling and Election Prospects
Support for Frederiksen's Social Democrats has rebounded from a December low of 17% to 20.8% and 21.8% in the two polls. The party won 28% in the 2022 election.
(Reporting by Stine Jacobsen; Editing by Nivedita Bhattacharjee)
Key Takeaways
- •Math matters: Denmark’s Folketing has 179 seats and needs 90 for a majority; because Greenland and the Faroe Islands elect 2 MPs each, those four North Atlantic seats can become pivotal in a tight race. (en.wikipedia.org)
- •Coalition shake-up risk: The current system-defining fact is that Denmark has been governed since December 2022 by an unusual cross-bloc coalition (Social Democrats + Venstre + Moderates), formed after the 2022 election produced only a razor-thin bloc edge. A left-bloc near-majority now points to a plausible return to more traditional bloc politics. (en.wikipedia.org)
- •Wealth-tax fight has a Nordic precedent: Frederiksen’s wealth-tax push is colliding with a well-known regional cautionary tale—Norway’s wealth-tax debate, where critics highlight high-profile departures of wealthy residents (often to Switzerland) while supporters argue it funds the welfare state; evidence on the scale of broader “exodus” is contested. (apnews.com)
References
Frequently Asked Questions about Denmark's left-wing bloc led by PM Frederiksen edges towards majority, polls show
1What do recent polls indicate about Denmark's left-wing bloc?
Recent polls show the left-wing bloc led by PM Frederiksen winning 87-88 seats, just short of a parliamentary majority.
2How has support for the Social Democrats changed recently?
Support for the Social Democrats has increased from a December low of 17% to above 20% in recent opinion polls.
