Economist Nathan Chow discusses the DBS RMB Index for winning enterprises - Global Banking & Finance Review
Nathan Chow, Vice President and Economist at DBS Bank, presents insights on the rebound of the DBS RMB Index for winning enterprises in 4Q 2013, highlighting increasing corporate demand for RMB services.
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DBS RMB INDEX FOR VVINNING ENTERPRISES REBOUNDS TO 54.7 IN 4Q 2013 AMID INCREASING BUSINESS NEEDS FOR RMB BY LOCAL CORPORATIONS

Published by Gbaf News

Posted on February 28, 2014

3 min read

· Last updated: April 17, 2014

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RMB Product Usage and Market Trends


Usage of RMB products and services at record highs and product scope widens as RMB development is decoupled from local economic outlook

 

Chris Leung, Executive Director and Senior Economist of Group Research, DBS Bank (Hong Kong) Limited, said the speed, breadth and depth of RMB development in Hong Kong have improved and decoupled from local economic and business performance

Chris Leung, Executive Director and Senior Economist of Group Research, DBS Bank (Hong Kong) Limited, said the speed, breadth and depth of RMB development in Hong Kong have improved and decoupled from local economic and business performance

Business Demand for RMB Rises in 4Q 2013

Business needs for RMB rebounded in 4Q 2013. The number of companies that had RMB customer orders/invoices in the last 12 months increased to 35% from 24% in 3Q 2013. Some 44% said that they would use RMB for these purposes in the next 12 months compared to 35% in the third quarter.

Usage of RMB products and services at record highs and product scope widens

Record Highs in RMB Services Adoption

A record 30% of companies said they are currently using or will consider using RMB payment and receivables services in the next 12 months, compared to 26% in the third quarter. Some 9% of companies, also a record high, said they are currently using or will consider using RMB trade services in the next 12 months, more than double the 4% recorded in the third quarter.

While most  companies only used simple RMB  spot  conversion  for their  daily  operations, companies using trade services showed growing interest in RMB investment, finance and hedging products. The percentage of respondents that had RMB investments in 4Q 2013 jumped to 8% from 1% in 3Q 2013. Some 7% of respondents had RMB financing in 4Q 2013, which was less than the 1% in 3Q 2013, while 12% of respondents were using RMB hedging products in 4Q 2013, versus only 3% in 3Q 2013. 

Nathan Chow, Vice President and Economist of Group Research, DBS Bank (Hong Kong) Limited, said the DBS RMB Index for VVinning Enterprises reading rebounded to 54.7 in the fourth quarter of 2013, amid increasing business needs for RMB by local corporations. Corporate use of RMB products and services at record highs and product scope widened

DBS RMB Index and Market Sentiment

Nathan Chow, Vice President and Economist of Group Research, DBS Bank (Hong Kong) Limited, said the DBS RMB Index for VVinning Enterprises reading rebounded to 54.7 in the fourth quarter of 2013, amid increasing business needs for RMB by local corporations. Corporate use of RMB products and services at record highs and product scope widened

Corporate usage of RMB is decoupled from local economic and business outlook

RMB Development Amidst Economic Uncertainty

“The general improvement in the usage of RMB services and products in the fourth quarter came despite findings showing slightly poorer business performance in the previous 12 months and a more pessimistic business performance outlook for the next 12 months. This means that the speed, breadth and depth of RMB development in Hong Kong hinge on factors other than local economic and business performance,” said Chris Leung, Executive Director and Senior Economist, Group Research, DBS Bank (Hong Kong) Limited.

“To put this into perspective, the fourth-quarter survey revealed that the initiation of RMB trade settlement is equally split among the Hong Kong companies, their overseas customers and their suppliers. This means that the preferences of overseas players also made a significant contribution to the RMB development of Hong Kong,” Chris Leung said. “As Hong Kong is an open economy, its offshore RMB development should be evaluated in the broader context of international RMB development.”

DBS releases the findings of DRIVE on a quarterly basis. Fieldwork for the 4Q 2013 report was conducted through telephone interviews with the business owners and decision makers of over

200 companies in Hong Kong.

Key Takeaways

  • The DBS RMB Index (DRIVE) for ‘VVinning Enterprises’ rose to 54.7 in 4Q 2013, up from 54.3 in 3Q 2013, signaling renewed business demand for RMB.
  • Corporate adoption of RMB services surged: 35% had RMB orders/invoices vs 24% prior quarter; 44% expected to use in next 12 months.
  • Usage of RMB products hit record highs: payments/receivables at 30%, trade services at 9%; investments (8%), financing (7%), hedging (12%) all rose sharply.
  • RMB usage growth was decoupled from local economic outlook, driven also by overseas partners and Hong Kong’s role in offshore RMB.
  • Survey was conducted via phone with over 200 Hong Kong companies; DBS releases DRIVE quarterly.

References

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the DRIVE index?
DRIVE (DBS RMB Index for VVinning Enterprises) is a composite index measuring RMB adoption among Hong Kong companies in local and global transactions via company surveys.
Why did the DRIVE index rebound in 4Q 2013?
The rebound to 54.7 in 4Q 2013 was driven by increased corporate use of RMB across orders, payments, trade, investments, financing and hedging, despite weaker business outlook.
Which RMB services saw record usage in 4Q 2013?
Record highs were seen in RMB payments/receivables (30%), trade services (9%), and increased usage in investments (8%), financing (7%), and hedging (12%).
Was RMB usage tied to Hong Kong’s economic performance?
No — RMB usage growth was decoupled from local economic performance and also driven by overseas customers and suppliers, reflecting Hong Kong’s offshore RMB role.

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