Published by Global Banking & Finance Review®
Posted on January 14, 2026
1 min readLast updated: January 19, 2026
Add as preferred source on GoogleLula da Silva leads the 2026 Brazil election poll, surpassing rivals Flavio Bolsonaro and Tarcisio de Freitas in voting intentions.
SAO PAULO, Jan 14 (Reuters) - Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva is leading Senator Flavio Bolsonaro and Sao Paulo Governor Tarcisio de Freitas in voting intentions for this year's election, a Quaest poll commissioned by brokerage Genial showed on Wednesday.
* In a first round scenario, Lula would have 36% of thevote, against Flavio Bolsonaro's 23% and Freitas's 9%. * Lula would beat Flavio Bolsonaro 45%-38% in a run-off,compared with 46%-36% in a December poll. * The president would defeat Freitas 44%-39% in a potentialsecond round, compared with 45%-35% in the previous poll. * Quaest surveyed 2,004 people between January 8-11. Thepoll has a margin of error of 2 percentage points in eitherdirection.(Reporting by Gabriel Araujo and Eduardo Simoes; Writing by Isabel Teles)
The margin of error is a statistical term that indicates the amount of random sampling error in a survey's results, reflecting the range within which the true value is expected to lie.
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