Finance

ArcelorMittal sees EU steel imports staying high

Published by Global Banking & Finance Review

Posted on April 30, 2026

2 min read

· Last updated: April 30, 2026

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ArcelorMittal sees EU steel imports staying high

ArcelorMittal Predicts EU Steel Imports to Stay High Before Tighter Quotas

EU Steel Import Trends and Market Impact

By Javi West Larrañaga

Current Import Levels and Market Behavior

April 30 (Reuters) - Steel imports into the European Union should remain high in the second quarter as buyers rush material into the bloc before tighter safeguards take effect, ArcelorMittal's finance chief said on Thursday.

Genuino Christino said imports were still elevated at the start of the second quarter even after easing in the first.

Quarterly Import Analysis

"We saw imports coming down in quarter one, but evidence suggests that imports, at least at the beginning of quarter two, are still elevated," he said on a call with analysts.

Upcoming Trade Policy Changes

The EU is expected to start a new trade policy in July that will halve steel import quotas. Christino said higher freight rates and longer shipping times linked to disruption from the war in the Middle East were unlikely to delay arrivals.

Industry Warnings and Market Share

The European Steel Association, known as Eurofer, warned in March that imports reached a record 29% share of the EU steel market in the third quarter of 2025.

ArcelorMittal Financial Performance

Quarterly Earnings Overview

The Luxembourg-based company posted first-quarter core earnings of $1.68 billion, narrowly beating analysts' average estimate of $1.65 billion, according to data compiled by LSEG.

Reporting and Editorial Credits

(Reporting by Javi West Larrañaga in Gdansk; Editing by Matt Scuffham)

Key Takeaways

  • EU steel imports reached a record 29% of consumption in Q3 2025 as domestic production fell to historic lows, underscoring import pressure. (eurofer.eu)
  • A new EU safeguard deal agreed in mid‑April will reduce tariff‑free steel import quotas by ~47% to 18.3 million tonnes annually from July 2026, and raise out‑of‑quota duties to 50%. (2eu.brussels)
  • ArcelorMittal posted stronger‑than‑expected Q1 results—EBITDA of $1.68 billion versus $1.65 billion consensus—as higher steel prices and upcoming policy support buoyed outlook. (globalbankingandfinance.com)

References

Frequently Asked Questions

Why are EU steel imports expected to stay high in the second quarter?
Buyers are rushing material into the EU before stricter trade quotas take effect in July, according to ArcelorMittal's finance chief.
What changes are coming to EU steel import quotas?
The EU is expected to halve steel import quotas starting in July as part of its new trade policy.
Did higher freight rates or shipping disruptions delay EU steel imports?
No, ArcelorMittal's finance chief said higher freight rates and longer shipping times have not delayed arrivals.
How did ArcelorMittal perform financially in the first quarter?
ArcelorMittal reported first-quarter core earnings of $1.68 billion, slightly above analysts’ expectations.
What share of the EU steel market did imports reach recently?
Imports reached a record 29% share of the EU steel market in the third quarter of 2025, according to Eurofer.

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