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    Home > Finance > AEB lobby group forecasts modest 2.5% growth for Russia's car market
    Finance

    AEB lobby group forecasts modest 2.5% growth for Russia's car market

    Published by Global Banking & Finance Review®

    Posted on January 13, 2026

    1 min read

    Last updated: January 19, 2026

    AEB lobby group forecasts modest 2.5% growth for Russia's car market - Finance news and analysis from Global Banking & Finance Review
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    Tags:Automotive industryeconomic growthfinancial marketsinterest ratesconsumer perception

    Quick Summary

    The AEB predicts a 2.5% growth in Russia's car market by 2026, despite challenges like VAT hikes and high interest rates.

    Table of Contents

    • Overview of Russia's Car Market Growth
    • Factors Influencing Market Growth
    • Recent Sales Trends
    • Industry Challenges

    AEB lobby group forecasts modest 2.5% growth for Russia's car market

    Overview of Russia's Car Market Growth

    MOSCOW, Jan 13 (Reuters) - Sales of new cars in Russia are expected to rise by 2.5% to 1.4 million units in 2026, the Association of European Businesses (AEB) said on Tuesday.

    Factors Influencing Market Growth

    The weak growth forecast reflects increased valued-add tax (VAT) rates and scrappage fees, and the high level of interest rates, the lobby group said.

    Recent Sales Trends

    Sales of new passenger and light commercial vehicles dropped 17% last year, AEB said. Russian analytical agency Autostat, which covers only passenger car sales, said the market fell 15.6% in 2025.

    Industry Challenges

    "The significant decline in the market reflects the difficult situation in the industry, which is experiencing both external pressure in the form of sanctions restrictions and changes in internal regulation," said Alexey Kalitsev, chairman of AEB's Automobile Manufacturers Committee.

    (Reporting by Gleb Stolyarov; Editing by Mark Trevelyan)

    Key Takeaways

    • •AEB forecasts 2.5% growth in Russia's car market by 2026.
    • •Increased VAT and interest rates impact market growth.
    • •Car sales dropped 17% last year.
    • •Sanctions and regulations challenge the industry.
    • •Autostat reports a 15.6% decline in passenger car sales.

    Frequently Asked Questions about AEB lobby group forecasts modest 2.5% growth for Russia's car market

    1What is the automotive industry?

    The automotive industry encompasses all companies and activities involved in the manufacturing, design, marketing, and selling of motor vehicles.

    2What are interest rates?

    Interest rates are the cost of borrowing money, expressed as a percentage of the total amount borrowed, typically calculated on an annual basis.

    3What is economic growth?

    Economic growth refers to the increase in the production of goods and services in an economy over a period of time, often measured by GDP.

    4What are sales trends?

    Sales trends indicate the patterns and changes in consumer purchasing behavior over time, reflecting the performance of specific products or markets.

    5What are market challenges?

    Market challenges are obstacles that businesses face in their industry, which can include competition, regulatory changes, and economic conditions.

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