Connect with us

Investing

Which type of portfolio might a young investor who is not afraid of risk choose?

Published

on

Which type of portfolio might a young investor who is not afraid of risk choose

A young investor with a high level of risk tolerance will find his calling in an aggressive investment strategy. This strategy is based on the premise that the investor is quite comfortable with taking high risks in order to increase the potential of high returns. This also means that such an investor should be willing to absorb a capital loss, if it occurs, on his way to superior portfolio performance. The hope of high capital appreciation far exceeds the worry about conserving the principal for such an investor.

The reason why some young investors may prefer this strategy even at the cost of some intra-period loss of capital is that their long investment horizon allows them the opportunity to ride out tough market situations which may erode their capital.

We can look at an aggressive investment strategy in two ways: via direct investment in financial markets or via fund vehicles like mutual funds and exchange-traded funds (ETFs).

The direct route:Though there is no set rule which differentiates an aggressive investment strategy from others, but over three-fourths of a portfolio’s investment in risky asset classes can be termed as aggressive. For this route, an investor needs to open an account with a broker post which he can invest in risky investment classes like equities, commodities, and high yield bonds. Among equities, products like futures and options are at top of the riskiness meter.

To elucidate the above, an allocation of 65% of the portfolio to stocks, 10% to commodities and the remaining to fixed income and cash can be termed as aggressive. The same can be said for 80% exposure to equities and 20% to bonds.

But an aggressive strategy is not just defined by exposure to the aforementioned asset classes and products. It is also determined by what kind of securities are held in those asset classes. For instance, in the 80-20 portfolio outlined above, if the 80% portion that is invested in stocks only comprises of large cap or blue-chip stocks then it will not be considered as aggressive as a portfolio which comprises of mid and small-cap stocks. Similarly, the only type of bonds which can be termed as aggressive are high yield bonds whose behaviour has been seen to mimic equities more than other bonds.

The fund route: For those young investors keen on using mutual funds to create an aggressively positioned portfolio, funds which invest in mid and small-cap stocks or follow a concentrated portfolio strategy are to be targeted. Funds which invest in riskier markets abroad like those classified as emerging and frontier markets are also worth considering.

Though ETFs are passive investments which simply aim to mirror their underlying benchmark, there are some which are much more aggressive than others. One such category comprises of those funds which mimic a smart-beta index which has been designed to outperform the market. Others include leveraged ETFs (which rise or fall 2 or three times the market movement) and inverse ETFs (which rise if markets fall and vice-versa).

A common thread between the two routes towards forming an aggressive strategy is active management. While moderate and conservative investors can be content pursuing a buy-and-hold strategy, aggressive investors need to undertake more portfolio changes in order to make the most of what markets have to offer at any given point of time. Higher portfolio turnover does mean higher costs, but the intent is to far outperform broad market indices so that the higher cost gets taken care of by favorable market movement.

Investing

Not company earnings, not data but vaccines now steering investor sentiment

Published

on

Not company earnings, not data but vaccines now steering investor sentiment 1

By Marc Jones and Dhara Ranasinghe

LONDON (Reuters) – Forget economic data releases and corporate trading statements — vaccine rollout progress is what fund managers and analysts are watching to gauge which markets may recover quickest from the COVID-19 devastation and to guide their investment decisions.

Consensus is for world economic growth to rebound this year above 5%, while Refinitiv I/B/E/S forecasts that 2021 earnings will expand 38% and 21% in Europe and the United States respectively.

Yet those projections and investment themes hinge almost entirely on how quickly inoculation campaigns progress; new COVID-19 strains and fresh lockdown extensions make official data releases and company profit-loss statements hopelessly out of date for anyone who uses them to guide investment decisions.

“The vaccine race remains the major wild card here. It will shape the outlook and perceptions of global growth leadership in 2021,” said Mark McCormick, head of currency strategy at TD Securities.

“While vaccines could reinforce a more synchronized recovery in the second half (2021), the early numbers reinforce the shifting fundamental between the United States, euro zone and others.”

The question is which country will be first to vaccinate 60%-70% of its population — the threshold generally seen as conferring herd immunity, where factories, bars and hotels can safely reopen. Delays could necessitate more stimulus from governments and central banks.

Patchy vaccine progress has forced some to push back initial estimates of when herd immunity could be reached. Deutsche Bank says late autumn is now more realistic than summer, though it expects the northern hemisphere spring to be a turning point, with 20%-25% of people vaccinated and restrictions slowly being lifted.

But race winners are already becoming evident, above all Israel, where a speedy immunisation campaign has brought a torrent of investment into its markets and pushed the shekel to quarter-century highs.

(Graphic: Vaccinations per 100 people by country, https://fingfx.thomsonreuters.com/gfx/mkt/azgvolalapd/Pasted%20image%201611247476583.png)

SHOT IN THE ARM

Others such as South Africa and Brazil, slower to get off the ground, have been punished by markets.

Britain’s pound meanwhile is at eight-month highs versus the euro which analysts attribute partly to better vaccination prospects; about 5 million people have had their first shot with numbers doubling in the past week.

Shamik Dhar, chief economist at BNY Mellon Investment Management expects double-digit GDP bouncebacks in Britain and the United States but noted sluggish euro zone progress.

“It is harder in the euro zone, the outlook is a bit more cloudy there as it looks like it will take longer to get herd immunity (due to slower vaccine programmes),” he added.

The euro bloc currently lags the likes of Britain and Israel in terms of per capita coverage, leading Germany to extend a hard lockdown until Feb. 14, while France and Netherlands are moving to impose night-time curfews.

Jack Allen-Reynolds, senior European economist at Capital Economics, said the slow vaccine progress and lockdowns had led him to revise down his euro zone 2021 GDP forecasts by a whole percentage point to 4%.

“We assume GDP gets back to pre-pandemic levels around 2022…the general story is that we think the euro zone will recover more slowly than US and UK.”

The United States, which started vaccinating its population last month, is also ahead of most other major economies with its vaccination rollout running at a rate of about 5 per 100.

Deutsche said at current rates 70 million Americans would have been immunised around April, the threshold for protecting the most vulnerable.

Some such as Eric Baurmeister, head of emerging markets fixed income at Morgan Stanley Investment Management, highlight risks to the vaccine trade, noting that markets appear to have more or less priced normality being restored, leaving room for disappointment.

Broadly though the view is that eventually consumers will channel pent-up savings into travel, shopping and entertainment, against a backdrop of abundant stimulus. In the meantime, investors are just trying to capture market moves when lockdowns are eased, said Hans Peterson global head of asset allocation at SEB Investment Management.

“All (market) moves depend now on the lower pace of infections,” Peterson said. “If that reverts, we have to go back to investing in the FAANGS (U.S. tech stocks) for good or for bad.”

(GRAPHIC: Renewed surge in COVID-19 across Europe – https://fingfx.thomsonreuters.com/gfx/mkt/xegvbejqwpq/COVID2101.PNG)

(Reporting by Dhara Ranasinghe and Marc Jones; Additional reporting by Karin Strohecker; Writing by Sujata Rao; Editing by Hugh Lawson)

Continue Reading

Investing

BlackRock to add bitcoin as eligible investment to two funds

Published

on

BlackRock to add bitcoin as eligible investment to two funds 2

By David Randall

(Reuters) – BlackRock Inc, the world’s largest asset manager, is adding bitcoin futures as an eligible investment to two funds, a company filing showed.

The company said it could use bitcoin derivatives for its funds BlackRock Strategic Income Opportunities and BlackRock Global Allocation Fund Inc.

The funds will invest only in cash-settled bitcoin futures traded on commodity exchanges registered with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, the company said in a filing to the Securities and Exchange Commission on Wednesday.

A BlackRock representative declined to comment beyond the filings when contacted by Reuters.

Earlier this month, Bitcoin, the world’s most popular cryptocurrency, hit a record high of $40,000, rallying more than 900% from a low in March and having only just breached $20,000 in mid-December.

Bitcoin tumbled 10.6% in midday U.S. trading Thursday.

Other U.S.-based asset managers will likely follow BlackRock’s lead and add exposure to bitcoin in some form to their go-anywhere or macro strategies as the cryptocurrency market becomes more liquid and developed, said Todd Rosenbluth, director of mutual fund research at CFRA.

“It’s easy to see how strong the performance has been of late and look at a historical asset allocation strategy that would have included a slice of crypto and how returns would have been enhanced as a result,” he said. “Large institutional investors are going to be able to tap into the futures market in a way that a retail investor could not do.”

There is currently no U.S.-based exchange-traded fund that owns bitcoin, limiting the ability of most fund managers to own the cryptocurrency in their portfolios.

BlackRock Chief Executive Officer Larry Fink had said at the Council of Foreign Relations in December that bitcoin is seeing giant moves every day and could possibly evolve into a global market. (https://bit.ly/2XXFHrB)

(Reporting by David Randall; Additional reporting by Radhika Anilkumar and Bhargav Acharya in Bengaluru; Editing by Arun Koyyur and Lisa Shumaker)

Continue Reading

Investing

Bitcoin slumps 10% as pullback from record continues

Published

on

Bitcoin slumps 10% as pullback from record continues 3

LONDON (Reuters) – Bitcoin slumped 10% on Thursday to a 10-day low of $31,977 as the world’s most popular cryptocurrency continued to retreat from the $42,000 record high hit on Jan. 8.

The pullback came amid growing concerns that bitcoin is one of a number of financial bubbles threatening the overall stability of global markets.

Fears that U.S. President Joe Biden’s administration could attempt to regulate cryptocurrencies have also weighed, traders said.

(Reporting by Julien Ponthus; editing by Tom Wilson)

Continue Reading
Editorial & Advertiser disclosureOur website provides you with information, news, press releases, Opinion and advertorials on various financial products and services. This is not to be considered as financial advice and should be considered only for information purposes. We cannot guarantee the accuracy or applicability of any information provided with respect to your individual or personal circumstances. Please seek Professional advice from a qualified professional before making any financial decisions. We link to various third party websites, affiliate sales networks, and may link to our advertising partners websites. Though we are tied up with various advertising and affiliate networks, this does not affect our analysis or opinion. When you view or click on certain links available on our articles, our partners may compensate us for displaying the content to you, or make a purchase or fill a form. This will not incur any additional charges to you. To make things simpler for you to identity or distinguish sponsored articles or links, you may consider all articles or links hosted on our site as a partner endorsed link.

Call For Entries

Global Banking and Finance Review Awards Nominations 2021
2021 Awards now open. Click Here to Nominate

Latest Articles

The Beaconsoft story and introducing its one-of-a-kind digital campaign intelligence platform 4 The Beaconsoft story and introducing its one-of-a-kind digital campaign intelligence platform 5
Interviews1 day ago

The Beaconsoft story and introducing its one-of-a-kind digital campaign intelligence platform

By Nigel Bridges, founding CEO of Beaconsoft Limited What were you doing prior to setting up Beaconsoft? Before setting up...

Top 8 Tax Scams to Watch Out For 6 Top 8 Tax Scams to Watch Out For 7
Finance2 days ago

Top 8 Tax Scams to Watch Out For

It is tax time and that means finding the best way to file your taxes and to get a refund...

Hisham Itani and Resource Group Recognized in the 2020 Global Banking & Finance Awards® 8 Hisham Itani and Resource Group Recognized in the 2020 Global Banking & Finance Awards® 9
Technology2 days ago

Hisham Itani and Resource Group Recognized in the 2020 Global Banking & Finance Awards®

Global Banking & Finance Review has awarded Hisham Itani the Chairman and CEO of Resource Group, Technology CEO of the...

Euro zone business activity shrank in January as lockdowns hit services 10 Euro zone business activity shrank in January as lockdowns hit services 11
Business2 days ago

Euro zone business activity shrank in January as lockdowns hit services

By Jonathan Cable LONDON (Reuters) – Economic activity in the euro zone shrank markedly in January as lockdown restrictions to...

Volkswagen's profit halves, but deliveries recovering 12 Volkswagen's profit halves, but deliveries recovering 13
Business2 days ago

Volkswagen’s profit halves, but deliveries recovering

BERLIN (Reuters) – Volkswagen reported a nearly 50% drop in its 2020 adjusted operating profit on Friday but said car...

Global chip shortage hits China's bitcoin mining sector 14 Global chip shortage hits China's bitcoin mining sector 15
Business2 days ago

Global chip shortage hits China’s bitcoin mining sector

By Samuel Shen and Alun John SHANGHAI/HONG KONG (Reuters) – A global chip shortage is choking the production of machines...

Iran's oil exports rise 'significantly' despite sanctions, minister says 16 Iran's oil exports rise 'significantly' despite sanctions, minister says 17
Business2 days ago

Iran’s oil exports rise ‘significantly’ despite sanctions, minister says

DUBAI/LONDON (Reuters) – Iran’s oil exports have climbed in recent months and its sales of petroleum products to foreign buyers...

Nissan to source more UK batteries as part of Brexit deal 'opportunity' 18 Nissan to source more UK batteries as part of Brexit deal 'opportunity' 19
Business2 days ago

Nissan to source more UK batteries as part of Brexit deal ‘opportunity’

By Costas Pitas LONDON (Reuters) – Nissan will source more batteries from Britain to avoid tariffs on electric cars after...

Muted recovery for UK retailers in December ends worst year on record 20 Muted recovery for UK retailers in December ends worst year on record 21
Business2 days ago

Muted recovery for UK retailers in December ends worst year on record

By David Milliken and Andy Bruce LONDON (Reuters) – British retailers struggled to recover in December from a partial coronavirus...

Chinese phone maker Honor partners with key chip suppliers after Huawei split 22 Chinese phone maker Honor partners with key chip suppliers after Huawei split 23
Business2 days ago

Chinese phone maker Honor partners with key chip suppliers after Huawei split

By David Kirton SHENZHEN, China (Reuters) – Chinese budget phone maker Honor said on Friday it had signed partnerships with...

Newsletters with Secrets & Analysis. Subscribe Now