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    1. Home
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    3. >UK's main indexes head for biggest monthly drop since 2020 as Middle East conflict weighs
    Finance

    UK's Main Indexes Head for Biggest Monthly Drop Since 2020 as Middle East Conflict Weighs

    Published by Global Banking & Finance Review®

    Posted on March 31, 2026

    3 min read

    Last updated: March 31, 2026

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    Quick Summary

    UK stock indexes are headed for their worst monthly drop since 2020 amid mounting Middle East tensions, despite a relief-led bounce on hopes for conflict de-escalation.

    UK Stock Indexes Poised for Largest Monthly Decline Since 2020 on War Fears

    Market Reactions and Economic Impacts Amid Middle East Conflict

    March 31 (Reuters) - British stocks rose on Tuesday after a report said the U.S. was looking to bring the Middle East conflict to an end, but the main indexes were set for their worst monthly showing since 2020 as investors worried about the fallout from the war.

    Global Equities and Political Developments

    Global equities bounced after the Wall Street Journal reported U.S. President Donald Trump told aides he would be willing to halt the military campaign against Iran even if the Strait of Hormuz stayed largely closed.

    Performance of UK Stock Indexes

    The blue-chip index FTSE 100 rose 0.6% by 1057 GMT but was set to snap an eight‑month winning streak, while the mid-cap FTSE 250 climbed 1.1%, looking to end a three‑month run of gains.

    Sector Highlights and Market Movers

    • Energy Sector Volatility

      Most sub-indexes were in the green, except energy, which fell 0.3% after oil prices turned volatile as investors weighed the possibility that the five-week-long war could end. [O/R]

    • Precious Metals and Safe Haven Assets

      Precious metals miners rose 2.2% and provided the biggest boost to the index as gold prices climbed, with investors flocking to the safe haven amid inflation fears and expectations of a hawkish monetary policy response. [GOL/]

    • Retail and Inflation Concerns

      British shop price inflation ticked up to 1.2% in March, with the BRC warning that Middle East conflict-related cost pressures were starting to feed into supply chains and could push prices higher.

    Monetary Policy and Housing Market

    • Bank of England Monitoring Inflation

      The Bank of England is closely monitoring food prices, as public inflation expectations rose to their highest level since 2023 in March, reinforcing caution over the policy outlook.

    • Housing Market Trends

      Data from mortgage lender Nationwide showed that British house prices rose by more than expected in March, but the housing market is likely to slow as an increase in borrowing costs, triggered by the Iran war, impacts affordability.

    Corporate Highlights

    • Raspberry Pi's Strong Performance

      Raspberry Pi soared 26.8% after the single-board computer maker posted better-than-expected rise in annual adjusted core earnings.

    • Unilever's Potential Merger

      Unilever rose 0.2% after the consumer goods firm said it was in advanced talks to combine its food business with spice maker McCormick in a potential deal that would deliver $15.7 billion in cash and give shareholders majority control of the merged entity.

    (Reporting by Tharuniyaa Lakshmi in Bengaluru; Editing by Tasim Zahid)

    References

    • UK house price growth strongest since December 2024 but Iran war clouds outlook

    Key Takeaways

    • •FTSE 100 is ending an eight-month winning streak, forecasted to record its biggest monthly decline since 2020, driven by geopolitical uncertainty and oil volatility.
    • •FTSE 250 shows resilience with a 1.1% intraday gain, but remains on track for its first monthly loss in three months.
    • •Safe‑haven demand boosts precious metals miners (+2.2%), while energy stocks slump as oil prices turn choppy amid conflict-driven uncertainty.
    • •

    Frequently Asked Questions about UK's main indexes head for biggest monthly drop since 2020 as Middle East conflict weighs

    1Why are UK stock indexes experiencing their biggest monthly drop since 2020?

    UK indexes are declining due to investor concerns over the economic fallout from the ongoing Middle East conflict.

    2How has the Middle East conflict impacted British stocks?

    The conflict has introduced volatility, especially in the energy sector, and increased overall market uncertainty.

    Table of Contents

    • Market Reactions and Economic Impacts Amid Middle East Conflict
    • Global Equities and Political Developments
    • Performance of UK Stock Indexes
    • Sector Highlights and Market Movers
    • Energy Sector Volatility
    • Precious Metals and Safe Haven Assets
    • Retail and Inflation Concerns
    • Monetary Policy and Housing Market
    • Bank of England Monitoring Inflation
    • Housing Market Trends
    • Corporate Highlights
    • Raspberry Pi's Strong Performance
    • Unilever's Potential Merger
    House prices posted a stronger-than-expected monthly gain (+0.9% in March—the biggest since December 2024), though affordability pressures persist due to rising borrowing costs tied to the Iran war (mix929.com).
    3What sectors performed best amid current market conditions?

    Precious metals miners outperformed as investors turned to gold as a safe haven during market turbulence.

    4How are inflation and supply chain concerns affecting UK markets?

    Inflation fears rose due to supply chain pressures linked to the Middle East conflict, prompting caution from the Bank of England.

    5What recent data is influencing the UK housing market?

    Nationwide reported a surprising rise in house prices, although rising borrowing costs could soon slow the market.

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