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    1. Home
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    3. >Ukraine has enough diesel for March, but April uncertain, says consultancy
    Finance

    Ukraine Has Enough Diesel for March, but April Uncertain, Says Consultancy

    Published by Global Banking & Finance Review®

    Posted on March 23, 2026

    2 min read

    Last updated: March 23, 2026

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    Tags:FinanceEnergyMarketsUkraine

    Quick Summary

    Ukraine’s diesel supply is secure through March with imports near 17,000 mt daily, totaling ~522,000 mt—on par with March 2025—but April supplies remain uncertain amid surging prices and indecision from suppliers.

    Ukraine Diesel Imports Cover March Needs, Future Supplies in Question

    Current Status and Future Outlook of Ukraine's Diesel Market

    March Diesel Supply Secured

    KYIV, March 23 (Reuters) - Ukraine's diesel market is supplied through to the end of March, and daily imports have risen by 3% to nearly 17,000 metric tons, but supplies for April are uncertain amid rising prices, analysts at Enkorr consultancy said on Monday.

    Impact of Russian Missile Strikes

    After Russian missile strikes virtually destroyed Ukraine's domestic refining capacity, the country became almost entirely dependent on imported fuel, sourcing supplies from western, central and southern Europe.

    Import Volumes and Projections

    At the current pace of imports, the monthly total could reach 522,000 tons in March, almost the same volume as in March 2025.

    Uncertainty for April Supplies

    However, there is no clarity on the situation in April, with suppliers delaying decisions until the last moment, Enkorr said in a report.

    Ukraine's energy ministry did not immediately respond to a request for comment.

    Supplier Hesitation and Market Sentiment

    "Talks are ongoing, but so far no one is naming specific volumes, guarantees or, let alone, premiums," the consultancy quoted one trader as saying.

    Price Increases and Market Concerns

    Another trader added that wholesale diesel prices had jumped by nearly 50% in less than a month because of the Middle East war. There are concerns of further increases if the war persists.

    Potential for Increased Biodiesel Feedstock Production

    Government Response and Agricultural Shifts

    Ukraine's deputy economy minister told Reuters last week that the country could boost rapeseed plantings by a third to 1.5 million hectares if the conflict in Iran drags on, as soaring global fuel prices lift demand for biodiesel feedstocks.

    Reporting Credits

    (Reporting by Pavel PolityukEditing by Alexandra Hudson)

    Table of Contents

    Key Takeaways

    • •Ukraine is importing nearly 17,000 metric tons of diesel per day, sufficient for March (≈522,000 tons monthly)
    • •Domestic refining remains crippled; reliance on imports from Europe persists
    • •April outlook is cloudy as suppliers delay commitments and diesel prices have surged due to Middle East conflict

    Frequently Asked Questions about Ukraine has enough diesel for March, but April uncertain, says consultancy

    1Is Ukraine's diesel supply secure for March 2024?

    Yes, current imports ensure Ukraine's diesel market is supplied through the end of March 2024.

    2Why is Ukraine dependent on imported diesel?

    Ukraine relies on imports after Russian missile strikes destroyed its domestic refining capacity.

    Current Status and Future Outlook of Ukraine's Diesel Market
  • March Diesel Supply Secured
  • Impact of Russian Missile Strikes
  • Import Volumes and Projections
  • Uncertainty for April Supplies
  • Supplier Hesitation and Market Sentiment
  • Price Increases and Market Concerns
  • Potential for Increased Biodiesel Feedstock Production
  • Government Response and Agricultural Shifts
  • Reporting Credits
  • 3
    Where does Ukraine source its diesel imports?

    Ukraine imports diesel from western, central, and southern Europe.

    4Are wholesale diesel prices rising in Ukraine?

    Yes, wholesale diesel prices have jumped by nearly 50% in less than a month due to the Middle East conflict.

    5What factors cause uncertainty for Ukraine's diesel supply in April?

    Uncertainty is due to rising prices and suppliers delaying decisions about volumes and guarantees.

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