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    1. Home
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    3. >UK shop price inflation edges up as Iran war adds to retailer concerns
    Finance

    UK Shop Price Inflation Edges up as Iran War Adds to Retailer Concerns

    Published by Global Banking & Finance Review®

    Posted on March 30, 2026

    2 min read

    Last updated: March 30, 2026

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    Tags:FinanceBankingMarkets

    Quick Summary

    UK shop price inflation rose modestly to 1.2% in the year to March, up from 1.1% in February, as tensions from the Iran war begin to feed through supply chains and elevate retailer cost pressures.

    UK Shop Price Inflation Increases Amid Rising Risks from Iran Conflict

    Overview of Recent Shop Price Inflation Trends

    LONDON, March 31 (Reuters) - British store chains raised their prices a bit more quickly this month and the Iran war risks further pushing up inflation, a retail industry group said on Tuesday.

    Shop price inflation edged up to 1.2% in the 12 months to March, above the 1.1% increase in February but below its three-month average of 1.3%, the British Retail Consortium said.

    Impact of Middle East Conflict on Inflation

    "Higher costs resulting from the conflict in the Middle East are starting to feed into supply chains. While retailers will work with their suppliers to mitigate the impact on prices as far as possible, inflation will rise," BRC's Chief Executive Helen Dickinson said.

    Survey Details and Market Context

    Key Findings from the BRC Survey

    • Food inflation: 3.4% ​in annual terms in March was down from ​3.5% a month earlier as prices of dairy fell
    • Non-food items: Prices rose by 0.1% after falling by 0.1% in the 12 months to February
    • Regulatory factors: New labour market and healthy foods laws could also ​increase retailers' costs ​and push ⁠up inflation, the BRC said

    Bank of England's Response

    Focus on Food Prices and Public Expectations
    • The Bank of England is keeping a close eye on food prices as it believes they influence ​public inflation ⁠expectations, which rose to their highest since 2023 in March

    Survey Timing and Geopolitical Context

    • The BRC survey was conducted between March 1 and March 7, shortly after the U.S.-Israeli attacks on Iran started

    (Reporting by Suban Abdulla Editing by William Schomberg)

    Table of Contents

    • Overview of Recent Shop Price Inflation Trends
    • Impact of Middle East Conflict on Inflation
    • Survey Details and Market Context

    Key Takeaways

    • •Shop price inflation edged up to 1.2% in March (versus 1.1% in February), though still below its three‑month average of 1.3% — according to the British Retail Consortium (BRC).
    • •Food inflation held steady at 3.4%, slightly down from 3.5% previously, driven by lower dairy prices; non‑food prices ticked up 0.1% after a 0.1% fall in February.
    • •Retailers warn that escalating Middle East conflict raises supply‑chain costs, while new labour and food‑regulation laws could push prices further; the Bank of England is watching food costs closely given their impact on consumer inflation expectations.

    Frequently Asked Questions about UK shop price inflation edges up as Iran war adds to retailer concerns

    1What was the UK shop price inflation rate for March 2024?

    UK shop price inflation edged up to 1.2% in the 12 months to March 2024, according to the British Retail Consortium.

    2How is the Iran conflict affecting UK inflation?

    The Iran war is contributing to higher supply chain costs, which could further push up inflation in the UK.

  • Key Findings from the BRC Survey
  • Bank of England's Response
  • Focus on Food Prices and Public Expectations
  • Survey Timing and Geopolitical Context
  • 3What happened to UK food inflation in March 2024?

    Annual food inflation in the UK for March 2024 was 3.4%, slightly down from 3.5% in February due to falling dairy prices.

    4How did non-food prices change in the UK in March 2024?

    Prices for non-food items rose by 0.1% in the 12 months to March after falling by 0.1% in February.

    5Why is the Bank of England monitoring food prices closely?

    The Bank of England is watching food prices closely because they influence public inflation expectations, which rose to their highest since 2023 in March.

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