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UK equities extend drop as oil surge intensifies inflation concerns

Published by Global Banking & Finance Review

Posted on March 12, 2026

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· Last updated: April 1, 2026

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UK equities extend drop as oil surge intensifies inflation concerns
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By Tharuniyaa Lakshmi March 12 (Reuters) - Britain's main indexes extended losses on Thursday as a surge in oil prices heightened inflation worries amid the ongoing Middle East conflict and led

UK equities drop as oil surge intensifies inflation concerns

By Tharuniyaa Lakshmi

Market reaction to Middle East tensions and oil price surge

March 12 (Reuters) - UK stocks closed lower for a second straight day on Thursday after Iran stepped up attacks on oil and transport facilities across the Middle East, driving a surge in crude prices that stoked concerns about rising inflationary pressures.

Performance of major UK indices

The blue-chip FTSE 100 closed down 0.4%, while the mid-cap FTSE 250 fell 0.9%.

Oil price impact and energy sector gains

Oil prices climbed back to $100 after Iranian boats appeared to have attacked two fuel tankers in Iraqi waters and the country's supreme leader said the closure of the vital Strait of Hormuz should continue.

Energy stocks rally

The FTSE 350 energy index <.FTNMX601010> jumped 2.6% to a record high as crude prices gained almost 9%.

UK's vulnerability to energy shocks

Britain is seen as more exposed than many other Western countries to an energy price shock due to its stretched public finances and its heavy reliance on imported gas.

Inflation and interest rate outlook

"The longer the disruption goes on, the greater the impact on energy prices and in turn global inflation. This then has implications for interest rates too," said Danni Hewson, head of financial analysis at AJ Bell.

Bank of England policy expectations

Money markets have abandoned expectations of early Bank of England easing, with futures no longer pricing in a March cut, instead seeing a roughly 40% chance of a quarter-point rise in borrowing costs in December.

Broader economic and sector impacts

Housing market slowdown

A survey from RICS showed Britain's housing market has lost steam as demand faded from buyers concerned about the implications of the Middle East conflict and possible increases in mortgage rates on the back of energy price rises.

Banks and financial sector under pressure

Banks were among the worst-hit sectors in Europe as investors feared a hit to the economy from inflationary pressures. An index of UK banks dropped 4.8%.

Operational disruptions for major banks

HSBC this week closed its Qatar branches while Standard Chartered evacuated its Dubai office and told staff there to work from home, in a sign of how the conflict has rattled their day-to-day activities.

Individual stock movements

TP ICAP rose 10.7% to the top of the mid-cap index after the inter-dealer broker posted a 3.6% rise in annual pre-tax profit.

(Reporting by Tharuniyaa Lakshmi in Bengaluru; Editing by Shreya Biswas)

Key Takeaways

  • Brent crude topped $100 per barrel for first time since 2022 as Iran‑linked shipping attacks intensified, prompting release of 400 million barrels from IEA reserves—yet prices kept rising(apnews.com)
  • FTSE 100 fell ~0.4% and FTSE 250 ~0.3% as traders scaled back expectations of BoE rate cuts; December BoE hike odds climbed to ~54%(bbc.bm)
  • HSBC shares dipped after announcing closure of all Qatar branches amid regional tensions; contrastingly, TP ICAP gained ~7.3% after reporting higher annual pre‑tax profit(wtaq.com)

References

Frequently Asked Questions

Why are UK equities falling?
UK equities are dropping due to a surge in oil prices driven by Middle East conflict, increasing inflation concerns and reducing expectations of Bank of England rate cuts.
How are oil prices affecting inflation in the UK?
The sharp rise in oil prices is heightening inflation worries, as the UK relies heavily on imported energy, making it more susceptible to energy price shocks.
What are the new expectations for Bank of England rate changes?
Traders are now anticipating a 54% chance of a quarter-point rate hike by December, compared to no change expected previously.
Which sectors outperformed despite the market decline?
Defence, mining, and utilities were the few FTSE 350 sub-sectors that outperformed amid the broader market decline.
How did the Middle East conflict impact UK banking stocks?
HSBC shares fell 5.8% after closing all branches in Qatar due to safety concerns arising from the Middle East conflict.

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