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    1. Home
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    3. >Stocks struggle, oil jumps as Trump's Iran deadline looms
    Finance

    Stocks Struggle, Oil Jumps as Trump's Iran Deadline Looms

    Published by Global Banking & Finance Review®

    Posted on April 7, 2026

    4 min read

    Last updated: April 7, 2026

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    Quick Summary

    Global stocks tread water while oil remains elevated near $110 as investors await President Trump's looming Iran deal or strike deadline, with markets concerned by escalating tensions and uncertain outcomes. Defensive sentiment and haven flows keep equities cautious.

    Stocks Struggle and Oil Jumps Amid Trump's Looming Iran Deal Deadline

    By Ankur Banerjee

    Market Reactions to Middle East Tensions and Iran Deal Deadline

    SINGAPORE, April 7 (Reuters) - Global stocks wavered on Tuesday, while oil prices were perched near $110 per barrel as the prospect of escalation in the war in the Middle East and the looming deadline for a deal to be reached kept nervy investors on the sidelines.

    Impact of U.S.-Israel War on Iran

    Markets have been rattled since the U.S.-Israel war on Iran broke out at the end of February, with Tehran effectively closing the Strait of Hormuz, a key global oil transit chokepoint that has spurred inflation worries.

    Investor Sentiment and Trump’s Deadline

    While investors have pinned their hopes on a resolution to the war, the talks so far have yielded no progress, with U.S. President Donald Trump imposing a deadline of Tuesday 8 p.m. Eastern Time (0000 GMT Wednesday) for a deal to be reached.

    That has left markets biding time with the U.S. dollar holding onto its gains and oil prices rising.

    Oil and Stock Market Movements

    Brent crude futures rose 0.4% to $110.19 a barrel while U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures climbed 0.8% to $113.31.

    A record-breaking quarterly profit forecast from chipmaker Samsung Electronics helped lift investor mood a bit but markets remained focused on the Iran war.

    MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan was 0.4% higher. Japan's Nikkei was choppy as it erased early gains to trade 0.2% lower.

    U.S. stock futures slipped 0.55%, while European futures pointed to a higher open after being closed for holidays on Friday and Monday.

    Analyst Perspectives and Market Uncertainty

    "We are back on a Trump imposed countdown clock and there's no way to predict with any confidence what will happen," Kyle Rodda, senior markets analyst at Capital.com, said.

    "The more intrepid traders might make a bet one way or the other. Others will look to hedge risk or stay out entirely. But there's not much market participants can really do but wait and see."

    Iran’s Response and Geopolitical Risks

    Iran said it wanted a lasting end to the war, instead of a temporary ceasefire and pushed back against pressure to reopen the waterway, a conduit for about a fifth of the world's oil and natural gas supply.

    Trump warned Iran could be "taken out" if it did not meet his deadline for a deal, vowing to destroy Iranian power plants and bridges, brushing off concerns that such actions would be a war crime.

    "Any follow‑through on threats to target Iran’s power infrastructure would mark a significant escalation, raising the risk of retaliatory action that could further disrupt Gulf energy facilities," said Vasu Menon, managing director of investment strategy at OCBC in Singapore.

    Economic Implications and Inflation Concerns

    The conflict has spurred worries about stagflation - high inflation with weak or slow growth - upending the global rates outlook, with traders no longer pricing in any rate cuts from the Federal Reserve this year.

    Data on Monday showed U.S. services sector growth slowed in March, while prices paid by businesses for inputs increased by the most in more than 13 years, an early indication that the prolonged war with Iran was boosting inflationary pressure.

    U.S. inflation data is due later this week but for now investor attention will be on Trump's war deadline and whether a deal is agreed.

    Currency and Commodity Market Updates

    In currencies, the euro was steady at $1.1538. The dollar index, which measures the U.S. currency against six other units, was at 100.06, near its recent highs. The dollar has been the haven of choice among investors during the tumult. [FRX/]

    The Japanese yen last bought 159.91 per U.S. dollar in early trading, hovering near the crucial 160 level that traders have been watching out for to gauge whether Tokyo might intervene in the wake of strong recent comments from officials.

    Gold prices eased 0.17% to $4,640 per ounce in early trading.

    (Reporting by Ankur Banerjee in Singapore; Editing by Sonali Paul)

    References

    • Oil climbs anew on mixed signals about Iran war's future
    • US stocks drift higher ahead of Trump's deadline to bomb Iranian power plants
    • America's Top Banker Issues Dire Warning on Trump's War

    Table of Contents

    • Market Reactions to Middle East Tensions and Iran Deal Deadline
    • Impact of U.S.-Israel War on Iran

    Key Takeaways

    • •Oil prices have surged above $110 amid fears of prolonged disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz and potential escalation, marking one of the sharpest energy rallies in recent years. (axios.com)
    • •Global equities are volatile: Asia markets fluctuate, U.S. futures slip, and investors stay cautious awaiting the 8 p.m. ET deadline for Iran peace or further military action. (apnews.com)

    Frequently Asked Questions about Stocks struggle, oil jumps as Trump's Iran deadline looms

    1Why are global stocks struggling right now?

    Global stocks are struggling due to uncertainty related to the war between the U.S. and Iran, as well as a looming deadline imposed by President Trump for a resolution.

    2What is causing oil prices to rise?

    Oil prices are rising because the war in the Middle East has led Iran to close the Strait of Hormuz, disrupting a major oil transit route and increasing supply concerns.

  • Investor Sentiment and Trump’s Deadline
  • Oil and Stock Market Movements
  • Analyst Perspectives and Market Uncertainty
  • Iran’s Response and Geopolitical Risks
  • Economic Implications and Inflation Concerns
  • Currency and Commodity Market Updates
  • •Heightened geopolitical risk is fueling inflows into safe havens such as the U.S. dollar and defense stocks, while markets brace for persistent inflationary pressures and shifting monetary policy. (thedailybeast.com)
  • 3How is the Trump-imposed Iran deadline impacting markets?

    The deadline has left investors uncertain, causing volatility in stock and oil markets as they await potential escalations or a deal.

    4What are the inflation concerns related to the Iran conflict?

    The closure of a key oil transit route and rising oil prices have spurred worries about stagflation, with higher inflation and weaker economic growth.

    5How are currency markets reacting to the current situation?

    The U.S. dollar has become a haven for investors, maintaining its value near recent highs amid global uncertainties, while the Japanese yen trades close to intervention levels.

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