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    1. Home
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    3. >Sterling lingers near one-month low ahead of BoE's Bailey
    Finance

    Sterling Lingers Near One-Month Low Ahead of BoE's Bailey

    Published by Global Banking & Finance Review®

    Posted on February 24, 2026

    3 min read

    Last updated: April 2, 2026

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    Tags:foreign exchangeinterest rates

    Quick Summary

    Sterling trades near a one‑month low as investors await BoE Governor Andrew Bailey’s testimony and assess new U.S. tariffs. Softer UK jobs and inflation data keep markets leaning toward two BoE cuts in 2026.

    Pound hovers near one-month low as BoE’s Bailey set to testify

    By Niket Nishant

    Sterling Near One-Month Low Ahead of BoE Testimony

    LONDON, Feb 24 (Reuters) - The pound was little changed on Tuesday after eking out modest gains in the last two sessions, as traders awaited testimony from Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey and monitored potential fallout from new U.S. tariffs.

    FX Levels Versus Dollar and Euro

    Sterling was trading at $1.3489 against the dollar, close to its lowest for a month. It was steady against the euro, which traded at 87.34 pence.

    Bailey’s Hearing and Rate Outlook

    Bailey is expected to address parliament's Treasury committee later in the day, where he may offer more insight into his decision to vote to leave rates unchanged at the BoE's meeting earlier this month.

    Market Pricing for Rate Cuts

    The Monetary Policy Committee held policy after a narrowly split vote. Markets show traders think the central bank will cut rates twice this year to take the benchmark rate to 3.25%.

    Economist Poll on Timing

    The timing of any cuts remains uncertain, however, according to a poll of economists conducted by Reuters. 

    "Commentary that he has seen enough to justify a March rate cut could firm up that pricing in money markets and even push the market to speculating on more than 50 basis points in BoE easing this year," ING's global head of markets Chris Turner said.

    External Risks: Tariffs and Politics

    TARIFFS, POLITICAL RISKS KEEP INVESTORS JITTERY

    U.S. Tariff Timeline and Uncertainty

    Investors are also contending with uncertainty over U.S. tariffs. An initial 10% tariff came into effect at a minute past midnight on Tuesday, according to a Customs notice. 

    It is unclear when U.S. President Donald Trump's promised increase to 15% might take effect.

    Domestic Data Shaping Sterling

    However, analysts have turned to domestic factors to assess sterling's appeal in recent weeks.

    Jobs and Inflation Readings

    Last week, data showed that Britain's jobless rate rose in the fourth quarter of 2025, while inflation in January hit its lowest since March last year, reinforcing bets on rate cuts which typically weigh on a currency.

    Manchester By-Election Watch

    Also on the radar is an election in Manchester's Gorton and Denton constituency on Thursday, seen as an important test for Prime Minister Keir Starmer and his Labour Party.

    Political Sentiment and Allegations

    Declining poll numbers and anger over allegations that his chosen U.S. ambassador, Peter Mandelson, once leaked government information to late sex offender Jeffrey Epstein, have given an edge to his rivals. Mandelson has denied wrongdoing.

    (Reporting by Niket Nishant. Editing by Amanda Cooper and Mark Potter)

    References

    • Sterling lingers near one‑month low ahead of BoE’s Bailey (Reuters via Investing.com)
    • Sterling nears one‑month low as investors bet on BoE rate cuts (Reuters via LSE.co.uk)

    Table of Contents

    Key Takeaways

    • •The pound is holding near a one‑month low as traders await remarks from BoE Governor Andrew Bailey to the Treasury Committee.
    • •Money markets continue to price roughly two BoE cuts in 2026, keeping pressure on sterling.
    • •Fresh U.S. tariffs add uncertainty for global trade and risk sentiment influencing GBP.
    • •Recent UK data showed a softer backdrop: higher Q4 2025 jobless rate and easing January inflation.
    • •Domestic politics, including the Gorton & Denton by‑election and Mandelson controversy, add to UK risk factors.

    Frequently Asked Questions about Sterling lingers near one-month low ahead of BoE's Bailey

    1What is the main topic?

    Sterling is hovering near a one‑month low as markets await BoE Governor Andrew Bailey’s testimony and weigh the impact of new U.S. tariffs and softer UK data.

    2Why is the pound under pressure?

    Expectations for BoE rate cuts in 2026, combined with softer UK labor and inflation figures and uncertainty from U.S. tariffs, are dampening sterling’s appeal.

  • Sterling Near One-Month Low Ahead of BoE Testimony
  • FX Levels Versus Dollar and Euro
  • Bailey’s Hearing and Rate Outlook
  • Market Pricing for Rate Cuts
  • Economist Poll on Timing
  • External Risks: Tariffs and Politics
  • U.S. Tariff Timeline and Uncertainty
  • Domestic Data Shaping Sterling
  • Jobs and Inflation Readings
  • Manchester By-Election Watch
  • Political Sentiment and Allegations
  • 3
    When could the BoE cut rates?

    Markets currently price in about two cuts in 2026, with timing dependent on incoming inflation and labor data and any guidance from Governor Bailey.

    4What political events are influencing sentiment?

    The Manchester Gorton & Denton by‑election and controversy surrounding former ambassador Peter Mandelson add domestic political risk to the UK outlook.

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