Spotify forecasts second-quarter profit below estimates, shares fall - Finance news and analysis from Global Banking & Finance Review
Finance

Spotify forecasts second-quarter profit below estimates, shares fall

Published by Global Banking & Finance Review

Posted on April 28, 2026

3 min read

· Last updated: April 28, 2026

Add as preferred source on Google

Spotify's spending plan hurts profit outlook as Europe, North America growth lags

By Jaspreet Singh

Spotify's Financial Performance and Strategic Investments

April 28 (Reuters) - Spotify forecast second-quarter earnings below estimates on Tuesday, citing more spending on marketing for new features as growth in major markets of Europe and North America slowed, sending its shares down 11%.

Increased Spending and AI Investments

Co-CEO Gustav Soderstrom told Reuters that Spotify was investing heavily in new features, including marketing efforts and the computing power needed for artificial intelligence, rather than expanding its workforce.

Spotify has in recent years tried to boost profitability through price hikes, as well as added AI-powered features that improve discovery and engagement on its platform to ward off competition from Apple and Amazon's products.

Operating Income and Analyst Expectations

The company expects operating income of 630 million euros ($736.41 million) for the second quarter, below LSEG-compiled analysts' average estimate of 684 million euros.

That contrasted sharply with Spotify's record operating income of 715 million euros in the first quarter, which beat estimates of 681.6 million euros, driven by lower payroll taxes.

Impact of Payroll Taxes and Share Price

Such taxes, called social charges, are tied to the value of the company's share price, as lower stock prices can lead to a decline in charges. Spotify shares have fallen around 15% this year after rising about 30% in 2025.

Feature Rollouts and Operating Expenses

CFO Christian Luiga said Spotify is going to ship "a lot of features" during the middle of this year, driving up operating expenses over the next couple of quarters.

AI-Driven Features and User Experience

AI features Spotify has rolled out include adding voice interaction to its personalized music tool AI DJ and introducing AI Playlist for generating playlists using natural-language prompts.

Earlier this month, the company also expanded its Prompted Playlist feature, which lets users create playlists based on their listening habits, to include podcasts.

User Growth and Revenue Forecasts

Its monthly active users forecast of 778 million exceeded estimates of 773 million, while its prediction for a 6 million increase in premium subscribers to 299 million was below estimates of 302 million.

Premium subscribers rose 9% to 293 million in the first quarter. Its MAU net additions of 10 million brought the total to 761 million.

Revenue rose 8% to 4.53 billion euros for the quarter ended March 31. Its forecast of 4.8 billion euros for the current-quarter came in-line with estimates.

($1 = 0.8555 euros)

(Reporting by Jaspreet Singh in Bengaluru; Editing by Maju Samuel)

Key Takeaways

  • Operating income forecast of €630 million vs street estimate of €684 million signals profit slowdown amid tax relief drag (finance.yahoo.com)
  • Expected premium subscriber gain of 6 million (to 299 million) falls short of ~302 million consensus, despite MAUs beating slightly (finance.yahoo.com)
  • Investors remain watchful of margin trends and AI-driven engagement efforts following prior cost‑cutting and price hikes (finance.yahoo.com)

References

Frequently Asked Questions

How did Spotify's first-quarter results compare to expectations?
Spotify reported record Q1 operating income and exceeded estimates for monthly active users and revenue, but premium subscriber growth was slightly below expectations.
What new features has Spotify introduced recently?
Spotify has rolled out AI features such as AI DJ, AI Playlist, and expanded its Prompted Playlist feature, including support for podcasts.
How are payroll taxes affecting Spotify's financials?
Lower payroll taxes, which are linked to share price, helped Spotify achieve record operating income in Q1 as falling stock prices reduced these tax charges.

Tags

Related Articles

More from Finance

Explore more articles in the Finance category