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    1. Home
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    3. >Russia’s VTB posts 11% profit drop in Jan–Feb, warns March will be more turbulent
    Finance

    Russia’s Vtb Posts 11% Profit Drop in Jan–Feb, Warns March Will Be More Turbulent

    Published by Global Banking & Finance Review®

    Posted on March 26, 2026

    1 min read

    Last updated: March 26, 2026

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    Quick Summary

    VTB, Russia’s second-largest bank, reported an 11% year‑on‑year drop in net profit for January–February 2026 to 68.8 billion roubles (~USD 849 million). Management cautions that March faces heightened turbulence amid Middle East conflict and yuan settlement challenges, as the central bank recently c

    VTB Sees 11% Profit Decline in Jan–Feb, Warns March Will Be More Volatile

    VTB's Financial Performance and Economic Outlook

    Profit Decline in Early 2024

    MOSCOW, March 26 (Reuters) - Russia's second-largest bank VTB on Thursday reported an 11% year-on-year decline in its net profit for January-February to 68.8 billion roubles ($849.17 million).

    Market Conditions and Volatility

    Calm Start to the Year

    The first two months of the year were calm, First Deputy CEO Dmitry Pyanov said, adding that March will be more turbulent due to the war in the Middle East and a worsening situation with yuan settlements.

    Central Bank Policy Response

    Pyanov said weak economic activity may prompt the Russian central bank to cut rates more actively. It last reduced its key rate by 50 basis points to 15% on March 20.

    Rouble Outlook and Fiscal Policy

    Impact of Oil Prices and Fiscal Rule

    Positive Scenario for the Rouble

    Pyanov said high oil prices and the decision to delay adjustments to the government's fiscal rule until 2027 were shaping a positive scenario for the rouble in 2026.

    ($1 = 81.0205 roubles)

    (Reporting by Elena Fabrichnaya, writing by Anna Peverieri; Editing by Mark Trevelyan)

    Table of Contents

    • VTB's Financial Performance and Economic Outlook
    • Profit Decline in Early 2024

    Key Takeaways

    • •VTB’s net profit fell 11% y‑o‑y to 68.8 billion roubles in Jan–Feb 2026 (~USD 849 million).
    • •March expected to be more volatile due to Middle East tensions and yuan settlement disruptions. Central bank lowered key rate to ~15.5 %, signaling potential further easing.
    • •High oil prices and delayed adjustments to Russia’s fiscal rule until 2027 support a favorable outlook for the rouble amid weak economic activity.

    Frequently Asked Questions about Russia’s VTB posts 11% profit drop in Jan–Feb, warns March will be more turbulent

    1How much did VTB's profit decline in January-February 2024?

    VTB reported an 11% year-on-year decline in net profit for January-February 2024, totaling 68.8 billion roubles.

    2What factors may cause turbulence in March for VTB?

    VTB cited the war in the Middle East and worsening yuan settlements as reasons for anticipated turbulence in March.

    Market Conditions and Volatility
  • Calm Start to the Year
  • Central Bank Policy Response
  • Rouble Outlook and Fiscal Policy
  • Impact of Oil Prices and Fiscal Rule
  • Positive Scenario for the Rouble
  • 3How could weak economic activity affect Russia's central bank policies?

    Weak economic activity may prompt the Russian central bank to cut rates more actively.

    4What is shaping a positive scenario for the rouble in 2026?

    High oil prices and delaying fiscal rule adjustments until 2027 are contributing to a positive outlook for the rouble in 2026.

    5What recent action did the Russian central bank take regarding interest rates?

    On March 20, the Russian central bank reduced its key rate by 50 basis points to 15%.

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