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    1. Home
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    3. >Oil bounces back above $100 after US, Iran talks end in stalemate
    Finance

    Oil Bounces Back Above $100 After Us, Iran Talks End in Stalemate

    Published by Global Banking & Finance Review®

    Posted on April 12, 2026

    3 min read

    Last updated: April 12, 2026

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    Tags:FinanceMarketsOilCommodities

    Quick Summary

    Oil surged above $100/bbl as U.S.–Iran talks in Islamabad ended without resolution, prompting the U.S. Navy to prepare a blockade of the Strait of Hormuz. Brent rose ~7.5% to ~$102.31, and WTI jumped ~8.1% to ~$104.43 amid mounting supply fears.

    Oil jumps 8% to above $100 ahead of US blockade on Strait of Hormuz

    Market Reactions and Geopolitical Developments

    By Florence Tan

    Oil Prices Surge Amid Rising Tensions

    SINGAPORE, April 13 (Reuters) - Oil prices jumped above $100 a barrel on Monday as the U.S. Navy prepared a blockade of the Strait of Hormuz that could restrict Iranian oil shipments after the U.S. and Iran https://www.reuters.com/world/iran/ failed to reach a deal to end the war.

    Brent crude futures rose $7.60, or 7.98%, to $102.80 a barrel by 2310 GMT after settling 0.75% lower on Friday.

    U.S. West Texas Intermediate was at $104.88 a barrel, up $8.31, or 8.61%, following a 1.33% loss in the previous session.

    Analyst Perspectives on the Oil Market

    "The market is now largely back to conditions before the ceasefire, except now the U.S. will block the remaining up to 2 million barrels per day Iranian linked flows through the Strait of Hormuz as well," said Saul Kavonic, head of energy research at MST Marquee.

    US Blockade and Political Implications

    White House Statements and Strategic Moves

    President Donald Trump https://www.reuters.com/world/us/donald-trump/ said on Sunday the U.S. Navy would start blockading nL1N40U07M the Strait of Hormuz, raising the stakes after marathon talks with Iran failed to reach a deal to end the war, jeopardising a fragile two-week ceasefire.

    He added that the price of oil and gasoline nL1N40V03P may remain high through November's midterm elections, a rare acknowledgement of the potential political fallout from his decision to attack Iran six weeks ago.

    Military Actions and Market Impact

    U.S. Central Command said U.S. forces would begin implementing the blockade of all maritime traffic entering and exiting Iranian ports at 10 a.m. ET (1400 GMT) on Monday.

    "Not only does this restrain exports from Persian Gulf oil producers, but it will also restrict Iran’s ability to export oil and will exacerbate the supply disruptions the market is experiencing," ANZ analysts Brian Martin and Daniel Hynes said in a note.

    IG market analyst Tony Sycamore said the move would effectively choke off the flow of Iranian oil, forcing Tehran's allies and customers to apply the necessary pressure to get the waterway reopened.

    Regional Responses and Oil Flow Updates

    Iranian and Saudi Reactions

    Iran's Revolutionary Guards nS8N40E024 said on Sunday that any military vessels attempting to approach the Strait of Hormuz would be considered a violation of the two-week U.S. ceasefire and be dealt with harshly and decisively.

    Shipping Activity and Oil Movement

    Despite the stalemate, three supertankers nL1N40U04R fully laden with oil passed through the Strait of Hormuz on Saturday, shipping data showed. They appeared to be the first vessels to exit the Gulf since the ceasefire deal was struck last week.

    No other ships were spotted in the strait on Monday except for one Iran-flagged vessel anchored there, shipping data on LSEG showed.

    On Sunday, Saudi Arabia said it has restored full oil pumping capacity through the East-West pipeline nL1N40S100 to about 7 million barrels per day, days after providing an assessment of damage to its energy sector from attacks during the Iran conflict.

    (Reporting by Florence Tan; Editing by Chris Reese and Jamie Freed)

    References

    • US and Iran fail to reach deal after marathon peace talks in Pakistan
    • The Latest: Trump directs US Navy to blockade the Strait of Hormuz after Islamabad talks end
    • Oil prices sink and US stock futures jump as US and Iran agree to 2-week ceasefire

    Table of Contents

    • Market Reactions and Geopolitical Developments

    Key Takeaways

    • •Failure of U.S.–Iran talks in Pakistan heightened geopolitical risk in global oil supply, particularly through the Strait of Hormuz (about 20% of global oil transit) (e.g. Iran threatened continued restrictions) (lemonde.fr)
    • •The U.S. Navy’s preparation for a blockade further rattled markets, with analysts warning a prolonged closure could add a $10 risk premium—or push prices toward $200/barrel if the strait remains shut indefinitely ()

    Frequently Asked Questions about Oil bounces back above $100 after US, Iran talks end in stalemate

    1Why did oil prices rise above $100 a barrel?

    Oil prices surged due to the failure of US-Iran talks and heightened tensions, including the potential for a US blockade of the Strait of Hormuz.

    2What are the latest prices for Brent crude and West Texas Intermediate oil?

    Brent crude rose to $102.31 per barrel and West Texas Intermediate reached $104.43 per barrel.

    Oil Prices Surge Amid Rising Tensions
  • Analyst Perspectives on the Oil Market
  • US Blockade and Political Implications
  • White House Statements and Strategic Moves
  • Military Actions and Market Impact
  • Regional Responses and Oil Flow Updates
  • Iranian and Saudi Reactions
  • Shipping Activity and Oil Movement
  • apnews.com
  • •This rally follows a sharp price drop earlier in the week when a fragile two‑week ceasefire and promise to reopen Hormuz briefly eased supply concerns, but that regained fragility now underscores persistent volatility (apnews.com)
  • 3
    What caused the US Navy to prepare for a blockade of the Strait of Hormuz?

    The US Navy prepared for a blockade in response to failed negotiations between the US and Iran regarding the ongoing war.

    4How much did Brent crude and WTI oil prices increase?

    Brent crude gained $7.11 (7.47%), while West Texas Intermediate rose $7.86 (8.14%).

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