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    Home > Finance > Italy business and consumer sentiment rise in October, beating forecasts
    Finance

    Italy business and consumer sentiment rise in October, beating forecasts

    Published by Global Banking and Finance Review

    Posted on October 28, 2025

    2 min read

    Last updated: January 21, 2026

    Italy business and consumer sentiment rise in October, beating forecasts - Finance news and analysis from Global Banking & Finance Review
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    Tags:GDPSurveyeconomic growth

    Quick Summary

    Italy's business and consumer sentiment improved in October, surpassing forecasts, with ISTAT's morale index rising to 94.3 and consumer confidence climbing to 97.6.

    Table of Contents

    • Overview of Italian Economic Sentiment
    • Business Morale Index
    • Consumer Confidence Trends
    • Economic Context and Forecasts
    • Credit Rating Improvements

    October Sees Rise in Italian Business and Consumer Sentiment

    Overview of Italian Economic Sentiment

    ROME (Reuters) -Italian business and consumer sentiment rose in October, data showed on Tuesday, beating analysts' forecasts in a boost for the euro zone's third-largest economy.

    Business Morale Index

    National statistics institute ISTAT's composite business morale index, combining surveys of the manufacturing, retail, construction and services sectors, rose to 94.3 this month from 93.7 in September.

    Consumer Confidence Trends

    The sub-index for manufacturing was also higher at 88.3 against 87.4 the month before, against a forecast of 87.5 in a Reuters survey of four analysts.

    Economic Context and Forecasts

    Morale also rose in the retail and construction trade, but eased in the service sector.

    Credit Rating Improvements

    Consumer confidence climbed in October for a second consecutive month to 97.6 from 96.8 in September, outpacing a median forecast of 97.0 in a Reuters' poll.

    "The increase was supported by expectations regarding both the general economic situation and household finances, as well as by assessments of the ability and opportunity to save and to purchase durable goods," ISTAT said in a statement.

    The improved business and consumer sentiment came against a background of renewed economic headwinds in Italy.

    The economy contracted by 0.1% in the second quarter from the previous three months and the government this month trimmed its growth estimates for this year and next to 0.5% and 0.7%, respectively, citing the impact of US trade tariffs.

    However, both Fitch and DBRS Morningstar have upgraded Italy's credit rating over the past two months, citing the country's political stability and improving public finances.

    (Reporting by Crispian Balmer, editing by Alvise Armellini)

    Key Takeaways

    • •Italian business and consumer sentiment rose in October.
    • •ISTAT's business morale index increased to 94.3.
    • •Consumer confidence climbed to 97.6, beating forecasts.
    • •Economic headwinds persist despite sentiment rise.
    • •Italy's credit rating upgraded by Fitch and DBRS Morningstar.

    Frequently Asked Questions about Italy business and consumer sentiment rise in October, beating forecasts

    1What is consumer confidence?

    Consumer confidence is a measure of how optimistic or pessimistic consumers are regarding their expected financial situation and the overall economy.

    2What is a credit rating?

    A credit rating is an assessment of the creditworthiness of a borrower, indicating the likelihood of default on debt obligations.

    3What is GDP?

    Gross Domestic Product (GDP) is the total monetary value of all goods and services produced within a country's borders in a specific time period.

    4What is a business morale index?

    A business morale index is a statistical measure that reflects the overall sentiment and confidence of businesses in the economy.

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