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    1. Home
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    3. >Iran war disrupting UK mortgage market at levels not seen since pandemic
    Finance

    Iran War Disrupting UK Mortgage Market at Levels Not Seen Since Pandemic

    Published by Global Banking & Finance Review®

    Posted on March 24, 2026

    2 min read

    Last updated: March 24, 2026

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    Quick Summary

    Britain's mortgage rates have surged—as seen since the pandemic and the 2022 mini‑budget crisis—driven by the Iran war’s impact on gilt and swap rates, prompting lenders to rapidly withdraw and reprice deals.

    Iran War Triggers UK Mortgage Market Turmoil Not Seen Since the Pandemic

    Impact of Iran Conflict on UK Mortgage and Financial Markets

    By Lawrence White

    Unprecedented Mortgage Rate Volatility

    LONDON, March 24 (Reuters) - The Iran conflict is causing price turmoil in Britain's mortgage market not seen since the disruption of the pandemic and the country's 2022 mini-budget crisis, data from Moneyfacts shows, underlining how the war is playing havoc with financial markets worldwide.

    Sharp Rise in Borrowing Costs

    Since the U.S. and Israel first struck Iran on February 28, Britain's borrowing costs have risen a stark 90 basis points (bps), to highs last seen in November 2023 when yields surged as the Bank of England hiked rates to combat inflation.

    Comparison to Previous Crises

    In the 24 days since the conflict began, the average two-year fixed rate mortgage has risen from 4.83% to 5.51% on March 24, the data from Moneyfacts showed, while five-year mortgages have risen 57 bps to 5.52%.

    That compares with a 28bps fall in two-year pricing during the COVID era as the Bank of England slashed rates to help the economy, and a much sharper 180 bps increase during the 2022 mini-budget fiasco, as international bond investors savaged the British government's plan to cut taxes through more borrowing.

    Bank and Lender Responses

    Mortgage Product Withdrawals

    The current disruption reflects the fact that British banks do not wait for interest rates to rise before repricing home loans but instead respond to expected hikes by cutting products from the market, often overnight, brokers said.

    Since the war in Iran began, a net 21% (1,780) of available residential mortgage products on the market have been withdrawn, Moneyfacts said. While that has not yet reached the 45% of products withdrawn seen during the COVID and mini-budget crises, brokers said banks will continue to reprice amid concern that the Bank of England's policy may now need to stay tighter for longer.

    (Reporting by Lawrence White, additional reporting by Alun John; Editing by Hugh Lawson)

    References

    • Iran conflict pushes up gilt rates – Mortgage Finance Gazette
    • United Kingdom involvement in the 2026 Iran war
    • Bank of England holds interest rates and hints of increases as Iran war jolts inflation outlook

    Table of Contents

    • Impact of Iran Conflict on UK Mortgage and Financial Markets
    • Unprecedented Mortgage Rate Volatility
    • Sharp Rise in Borrowing Costs

    Key Takeaways

    • •Since US‑Israel strikes on Iran began on February 28, UK two‑year fixed mortgage rates rose sharply (e.g. from ~4.83% to over 5.5%) due to higher gilt yields and swap rates (mortgagefinancegazette.com).
    • •Mortgage product availability has contracted strongly—withdrawals of around 1,500‑1,780 deals, or 21% of listings, though still below the ~45% pulled during COVID or the 2022 mini‑budget turmoil (en.wikipedia.org).

    Frequently Asked Questions about Iran war disrupting UK mortgage market at levels not seen since pandemic

    1How has the Iran conflict affected UK mortgage rates?

    Since the Iran conflict began, UK mortgage rates have surged, with two-year fixed rates rising from 4.83% to 5.51% in just 24 days.

    2What is driving the turmoil in the UK mortgage market?

    Increased borrowing costs and mortgage product withdrawals driven by expectations of tighter Bank of England policy amid the Iran conflict are causing the turmoil.

    Comparison to Previous Crises
  • Bank and Lender Responses
  • Mortgage Product Withdrawals
  • •The Bank of England held its base rate at 3.75% on March 19, amid rapidly evolving energy‑linked inflation risks, limiting cuts and reinforcing lender caution in the mortgage market (apnews.com).
  • 3How does the current disruption compare to past UK financial crises?

    The disruption is similar to the pandemic and the 2022 mini-budget crisis, but not yet at the same severity of mortgage product withdrawals.

    4How many mortgage products have been withdrawn since the Iran war started?

    A net 21% of available residential mortgage products (1,780 products) have been withdrawn from the market since the Iran conflict began.

    5Are UK banks waiting for official rate hikes before changing mortgage rates?

    No, UK banks often reprice home loans in anticipation of rate hikes, frequently withdrawing products overnight.

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