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    1. Home
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    3. >Instant View: Investor reactions to Trump's speech on Iran war
    Finance

    Instant View: Investor Reactions to Trump's Speech on Iran War

    Published by Global Banking & Finance Review®

    Posted on April 2, 2026

    6 min read

    Last updated: April 2, 2026

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    Tags:FinanceMarketsGeopoliticsStocksOil

    Quick Summary

    President Trump’s April 2 speech on the Iran war—saying military objectives were nearly complete but promising 2–3 more weeks of strikes—triggered risk-off sentiment: equities dropped, the dollar strengthened, and oil prices rose amid lingering uncertainty.

    Investor reactions to Trump's speech on Iran war

    Market and investor responses to Trump's Iran war address

    April 2 (Reuters) - U.S. President Donald Trump told the nation in a televised speech on Wednesday night that the U.S. military had nearly completed the goals it had set out to accomplish in its war with Iran and that the conflict would soon be ending.

    He added that the U.S. would continue to hit targets in the Islamic Republic over the next two to three weeks. Stocks fell, the dollar firmed and oil rose after Trump's speech.

    Below are some reactions from investors and analysts:

    RUSSEL CHESLER, HEAD OF INVESTMENTS AND CAPITAL MARKETS, VANECK AUSTRALIA, SYDNEY:

    Market volatility and investor confidence

    "The markets are certainly not interpreting the speech as positive. If he was trying to inspire confidence in the markets, he has not done that. The key question in all investors' minds is ‘when is this going to be over?’, that is what is creating the volatility. When you think it's going to go for longer that is when you see markets starting to pull back.

    Dollar outlook and stagflation concerns

    "When you think it's going to come to an end soon then markets are going up. When you are dealing with these sorts of volatile markets you do see dollar strengthening, but I do think longer-term the dollar structurally will continue to decline. We are looking at a situation now where we are getting into a stagflation situation with lower growth and higher inflation expectations."

    PRASHANT NEWNAHA, SENIOR RATES STRATEGIST, TD SECURITIES, SINGAPORE:

    Strait of Hormuz and escalation risks

    "The only thing that really matters is whether the Strait of Hormuz will open soon. Trump's speech doesn't imply this is likely to happen as quickly as the markets were expecting. Threats that the U.S. will strike Iranian power plants if no deal is reached and that it will bring Iran back to the Stone Age points to further escalation.

    Market implications for USD and oil

    "Further, the risk of additional upstream counterattacks implies the strait is likely to be shut for at least another month and beyond that is anybody's guess. His comments on the duration of other wars was notable, in that even if the war with Iran lasts a few months, it's not as long as prior wars. Expect USD and oil to move higher while risk is shed."

    ZHIWEI ZHANG, CHIEF ECONOMIST AT PINPOINT ASSET MANAGEMENT, HONG KONG:

    Uncertainty and market reaction

    "The outlook is clearly still highly uncertain. The only certain message is that the war will continue at least two to three weeks, so there will be continued intensive bombing. The market didn't take it in a positive way as you can see that the oil price rebounded and the equity market futures declined. I think the hope for a very quick resolution is fading."

    DANNY KHOO, HEAD OF SALES TRADING, SAXO, SINGAPORE:

    Escalation risks and equity market response

    "Ahead of the press conference, markets expected Trump to outline a plan to wind down the war within the next two to three weeks. Instead, he warned that the U.S. would strike Iran 'extremely hard' over the coming weeks and threatened to target Iran's power infrastructure if no deal is reached."

    Investor sentiment post-speech

    "These remarks raised escalation risks and increased the potential for Iranian retaliation. Trump also noted that equity markets had not fallen as much as he had expected, saying 'it hasn't been that bad,' a comment that was followed by renewed selling pressure in equities."

    MIKE HOULAHAN, DIRECTOR, ELECTUS FINANCIAL LTD, AUCKLAND:

    Extended conflict and supply chain concerns

    "I don't think there was an awful lot in the speech per se, apart from the fact that they're going to keep bombing for the next two to three weeks. That pushes out the resolution timeframe farther.

    Impact on fuel supply and Australian markets

    "The next question is because he's extended it, confirmed it's going to take another two to three weeks, does that put added pressure on the fuel supply chain. We know Australia is getting a bit skinny in terms of supply - does that push them further into having to work from home?"

    MATT SIMPSON, SENIOR MARKET ANALYST, STONEX, BRISBANE:

    Oil prices and inflation outlook

    "Trump sounded pretty miserable for a man who has had so much winning in this war. With no plans to reopen the Strait of Hormuz that he effectively closed, oil prices are to remain high indefinitely. So we're just sat here waiting for the next round of inflation while Trump leaves with his tail between his legs."

    JON WITHAAR, SENIOR PORTFOLIO MANAGER, PICTET ASSET MANAGEMENT, SINGAPORE:

    Lack of clarity and defensive market stance

    "We have no additional certainty or clarity around timeline from this address and this is what the market was looking for. The fact that we can expect 2-3 more weeks of action, boots on the ground were not ruled out and that threats to hit infrastructure were reiterated will put the market back on the defensive, particularly as we come into the long weekend."

    TONY SYCAMORE, MARKET ANALYST, IG, SYDNEY:

    De-escalation expectations and market variables

    "There was a base case here that you were going to see continued de-escalation, which we had seen over the past couple of days. By and large, we did see that, but I think the market wanted a little bit more.

    Stock and crude oil market reactions

    "There wasn't a lot new for me.

    "(The Strait of Hormuz) remains the variable in everybody's playbook.

    "When you look at the stock markets we're seeing a bit of a buy-the-rumour, sell-the-fact type reaction, and for crude oil the opposite."

    "But now there's another two to three weeks of uncertainty hanging overhead for markets."

    KAZUNORI TATEBE, CHIEF STRATEGIST AT DAIWA ASSET MANAGEMENT, TOKYO:

    Uncertainties and outlook for domestic equities

    "There was no mention in Trump's speech about the details on when the war ends or when the passage of the Strait of Hormuz will become possible. There are still uncertainties. So the domestic equities are not going to head for a further rise. We need another step forward, like the possibility for the opening of the strait. The positive side is that the war is not going to escalate."

    (Reporting by Ankur Banerjee and Gregor Stuart Hunter in Singapore, Junko Fujita and Satoshi Sugiyama in Tokyo. Jiaxing Li and Summer Zhen in Hong Kong, Scott Murdoch in Sydney; Compiled by Sumeet Chatterjee; Editing by Sam Holmes)

    References

    • Stocks, currencies on tenterhooks ahead of Trump address on Iran war – Reuters / Investing.com
    • (same Reuters source published via Reuters)

    Key Takeaways

    • •Markets reacted with caution: equities fell on missed clarity despite the nearing end of war and continued risk from unresolved issues like the Strait of Hormuz.
    • •Oil prices rose on renewed conflict uncertainty, while gold and defense sectors likely benefited from persistent geopolitical risk.
    • •Investors need more concrete developments—especially on reopening the Strait—as markets remain defensive ahead of the long weekend.

    Frequently Asked Questions about Instant View: Investor reactions to Trump's speech on Iran war

    1How did the markets respond to Trump's speech on the Iran war?

    Stocks fell, oil prices rose, and the dollar strengthened following President Trump's address about the Iran conflict.

    2What concerns did investors have after Trump's speech?

    Investors were concerned about ongoing uncertainty, lack of a clear timeline, and the possibility of further military action in Iran.

    Table of Contents

    • Market and investor responses to Trump's Iran war address
    • RUSSEL CHESLER, HEAD OF INVESTMENTS AND CAPITAL MARKETS, VANECK AUSTRALIA, SYDNEY:
    • Market volatility and investor confidence
    • Dollar outlook and stagflation concerns
    • PRASHANT NEWNAHA, SENIOR RATES STRATEGIST, TD SECURITIES, SINGAPORE:
    • Strait of Hormuz and escalation risks
    • Market implications for USD and oil
    • ZHIWEI ZHANG, CHIEF ECONOMIST AT PINPOINT ASSET MANAGEMENT, HONG KONG:
    • Uncertainty and market reaction
    • DANNY KHOO, HEAD OF SALES TRADING, SAXO, SINGAPORE:
    • Escalation risks and equity market response
    • Investor sentiment post-speech
    • MIKE HOULAHAN, DIRECTOR, ELECTUS FINANCIAL LTD, AUCKLAND:
    • Extended conflict and supply chain concerns
    • Impact on fuel supply and Australian markets
    • MATT SIMPSON, SENIOR MARKET ANALYST, STONEX, BRISBANE:
    • Oil prices and inflation outlook
    • JON WITHAAR, SENIOR PORTFOLIO MANAGER, PICTET ASSET MANAGEMENT, SINGAPORE:
    • Lack of clarity and defensive market stance
    • TONY SYCAMORE, MARKET ANALYST, IG, SYDNEY:
    • De-escalation expectations and market variables
    • Stock and crude oil market reactions
    • KAZUNORI TATEBE, CHIEF STRATEGIST AT DAIWA ASSET MANAGEMENT, TOKYO:
    • Uncertainties and outlook for domestic equities
    3What did analysts say about the potential for escalation?

    Analysts noted that the war is unlikely to escalate further, but uncertainty over the Strait of Hormuz remains an issue.

    4Did Trump's speech provide a clear end-date for the Iran conflict?

    No, the speech did not specify when the conflict would end, mentioning only two to three more weeks of action.

    5How did the news affect crude oil prices?

    Crude oil prices rose after President Trump's speech, reflecting market concerns over continued conflict.

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