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    3. >InPost misses adjusted earnings estimates in fourth quarter
    Finance

    InPost Misses Adjusted Earnings Estimates in Fourth Quarter

    Published by Global Banking & Finance Review®

    Posted on March 18, 2026

    3 min read

    Last updated: March 18, 2026

    InPost misses adjusted earnings estimates in fourth quarter - Finance news and analysis from Global Banking & Finance Review
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    Tags:FinanceMarketsEarnings

    Quick Summary

    InPost’s Q4 adjusted EBITDA fell 4% year-on-year to PLN 1.10 billion, missing the consensus of PLN 1.21 billion. The shortfall reflects integration costs in the UK tied to its Yodel acquisition, weighing on earnings amid expansion.

    InPost sees flat 2026 earnings as Yodel integration costs weigh

    InPost's Financial Performance and Strategic Outlook

    By Mateusz Rabiega

    March 18 (Reuters) - Parcel locker company InPost said on Wednesday it expected no change in its core profit this year, after costs related to the Yodel acquisition in Britain weighed on fourth-quarter results.

    Fourth Quarter Earnings and Analyst Expectations

    Adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortisation were 1.10 billion zlotys ($298 million) in the fourth quarter, below analysts' median estimate of 1.21 billion zlotys provided by the company.

    Impact of Yodel Integration

    The result was hit by costs associated with the integration of Yodel, which is undergoing network optimisation and restructuring. These costs are expected to persist into 2026, though at a smaller scale.

    Performance in Britain and Ireland

    Quarterly adjusted EBITDA in Britain and Ireland was a loss just below 100 million zlotys, against a similarly sized profit a year before.

    Management Commentary and Market Outlook

    InPost founder and CEO Rafal Brzoska said he expected Britain to return to double-digit percent EBITDA growth in the medium term, while the breakeven point should come by the end of 2026.

    Analyst Reactions and Takeover Offer

    Both results and outlook were negative surprises, Erste Group analyst Piotr Bogusz said in a note, though he expected investor focus to stay on the takeover offer by a FedEx and Advent-led consortium. The Amsterdam-listed shares were little changed in early trading.

    The offer, made to InPost shareholders in February, values the Polish company at $9.2 billion and is aimed at expanding its reach across Europe. At least 80% of shareholders need to commit to the sale for it to go through.

    Growth Targets for 2026

    InPost said it aimed to increase its market share in 2026, with mid- to high-teens growth in processed parcel volumes and mid-teens growth in overall revenue.

    Home Market Hiccup

    In Poland, InPost's biggest market making up nearly half of its revenue, the company saw a 12% revenue rise to 2.09 billion zlotys.

    Parcel Volume Growth and Allegro Relationship

    It had earlier said fourth-quarter parcel volumes rose only 5% in its home market, partly reflecting a strained relationship with key client Allegro, which is building a rival delivery‑partner network.

    "We see that one-third of shipments initially chosen by users are affected by a change imposed by Allegro," Brzoska said in a press conference.

    ($1 = 3.6898 zlotys)

    (Reporting by Mateusz Rabiega in Gdansk, editing by Milla Nissi-Prussak)

    Table of Contents

    • InPost's Financial Performance and Strategic Outlook

    Key Takeaways

    • •Adjusted EBITDA of PLN 1.10 billion missed consensus of PLN 1.21 billion, a 4% decline year‑on‑year.
    • •Integration and accounting costs related to the UK business and Yodel acquisition pressured Q4 profitability.
    • •Despite the miss, InPost continues aggressive expansion in the UK via Yodel, aiming for EBITDA‑accretive synergies within 12 months.

    Frequently Asked Questions about InPost misses adjusted earnings estimates in fourth quarter

    1Why did InPost's adjusted earnings fall in the fourth quarter?

    InPost's adjusted earnings fell due to integration measures at its UK business and accounting costs related to the Yodel acquisition.

    2How much were InPost's adjusted Q4 earnings?

    InPost's adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortisation were 1.10 billion zlotys ($298 million) in the fourth quarter.

  • Fourth Quarter Earnings and Analyst Expectations
  • Impact of Yodel Integration
  • Performance in Britain and Ireland
  • Management Commentary and Market Outlook
  • Analyst Reactions and Takeover Offer
  • Growth Targets for 2026
  • Home Market Hiccup
  • Parcel Volume Growth and Allegro Relationship
  • 3
    Did InPost meet analysts' Q4 earnings expectations?

    No, InPost missed analysts' expectations with actual earnings of 1.10 billion zlotys versus a consensus estimate of 1.21 billion zlotys.

    4What were the main costs affecting InPost’s Q4 earnings?

    The main costs were related to UK business integration and accounting for the Yodel acquisition.

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