Finance
Hungary's Opposition Tisza Party Widens Lead Over Orban's Fidesz, Poll Says
Published by Global Banking & Finance Review®
Posted on March 25, 2026
2 min readLast updated: March 25, 2026
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A March Median poll shows Hungary’s opposition Tisza Party widening its lead to 23 points over Viktor Orbán’s Fidesz among decided voters ahead of the April 12 election, signaling a potentially record‑high turnout and a major challenge to Orbán’s 16‑year rule.
Tisza Party Expands Poll Lead Over Fidesz Ahead of Hungary Election
Hungary's Political Landscape Shifts Ahead of April Election
Poll Results Show Growing Support for Tisza
BUDAPEST, March 25 (Reuters) - Hungary's centre-right opposition Tisza party has widened its lead over Prime Minister Viktor Orban's Fidesz in March, a poll showed on Wednesday, ahead of an April 12 election where the veteran nationalist is seeking re-election.
Orban, seeking to retain his 16-year grip on power, is facing a strong challenger for the first time in a parliamentary vote, with the outcome having major implications not only for Hungary but for Europe and its far-right political forces.
The poll, published by new site hvg.hu, showed Tisza gaining ground while Fidesz's support was stagnating despite numerous voter-pleasing measures announced by the government after three years of economic stagnation.
Tisza's Rapid Rise in Popularity
Tisza, which was only launched in 2024, has widened its lead over Fidesz to 23 percentage points among decided voters, up from a 20-point lead in a February survey, pollster Median said.
Led by former government insider Peter Magyar, Tisza had the support of 58% of decided voters, up from 55% a month ago. Fidesz was supported by 35%, unchanged from February.
When looking at the entire population, Tisza was supported by 46%, while Fidesz was backed by 30%, according to the survey conducted between March 17 and 20.
Voter Turnout and Other Parties
Median expects high turnout at the election as 89% of respondents said that they would cast a vote. At the last election in 2022, turnout was 70%.
"It is possible that we will see a record-high turnout," Endre Hann, head of Median, said in a podcast by hvg.hu.
The far-right Our Homeland (Mi Hazank) party was supported by 4% of decided voters, down from 6% in February. Parties must win at least 5% to get seats.
Pollster Track Records and Political Claims
Pollster Median has one of the strongest track records of accurate forecasts in Hungary. It correctly predicted Orban's landslide victory in the last election four years ago, though it slightly overstated opposition support.
While most polls have shown a Tisza lead, Fidesz points to surveys that still show Orban's party is on course to victory. Fidesz's opponents say these have mainly been conducted by institutes with financial or personal ties to the ruling party.
Reporting Credits
(Reporting by Anita KomuvesEditing by Gareth Jones)
Key Takeaways
- •Median’s survey (March 17–20) shows Tisza leading among decided voters by 58% to 35%, a 23‑point margin, up from 20 points in February. Fidesz remains unchanged. Among the full population, Tisza leads 46% to 30%. (apnews.com)
- •Median expects a record‑high turnout at the April 12 election, with 89% of respondents saying they’ll vote, compared to 70% turnout in 2022. (apnews.com)
- •Tisza, founded in 2020 and led by former Fidesz insider Péter Magyar since mid‑2024, has rapidly grown into Hungary’s most serious opposition force with a pro‑European, centre‑right platform. (en.wikipedia.org)
References
Frequently Asked Questions about Hungary's opposition Tisza party widens lead over Orban's Fidesz, poll says
1What percentage of decided voters support the Tisza party?
According to the poll, 58% of decided voters now support the Tisza party.
2How does the Fidesz party compare to Tisza in voter support?
Fidesz is supported by 35% of decided voters, unchanged from the previous month, trailing Tisza by 23 percentage points.
3Which other party was mentioned and what is its support level?
The far-right Our Homeland (Mi Hazank) party is supported by 4% of decided voters, down from 6% in February.
4Who leads the Tisza party?
The Tisza party is led by former government insider Peter Magyar.
