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    1. Home
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    3. >Hungary election polls show opposition Tisza widening lead over Orban's Fidesz
    Finance

    Hungary Election Polls Show Opposition Tisza Widening Lead Over Orban's Fidesz

    Published by Global Banking & Finance Review®

    Posted on April 1, 2026

    3 min read

    Last updated: April 1, 2026

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    Quick Summary

    New polling shows Hungary’s centre‑right Tisza party, led by Peter Magyar, widening its lead over Viktor Orbán’s Fidesz ahead of the April 12 election, though a significant share of voters remain undecided.

    Hungary Election Polls: Tisza Party Extends Lead Over Orban's Fidesz

    Latest Poll Results and Analysis

    Overview of Recent Polls

    BUDAPEST, April 1 (Reuters) - Hungary's centre-right Tisza party widened its lead over Prime Minister Viktor Orban's ruling Fidesz ahead of an April ‌12 parliamentary election, two ​opinion polls showed on Wednesday, although a large share of voters remained undecided.

    Veteran nationalist Orban faces the biggest challenge to ‌his rule in 16 years, although the outcome of the election remains uncertain uncertain due to the many undecided voters, according to opinion polls.

    21 Research Centre Poll Findings

    Tisza Party Gains Momentum

    Centre-right Tisza, led by former government insider Peter Magyar, had the support of 56% of decided ​voters, up from 53% in early March, while 37% backed ​Fidesz, down from 39% three weeks ago, a poll by 21 Research ⁠Centre showed.

    Some 26% of respondents did not know who to back.

    The poll, conducted between March 23 and 28 with a sample size of 1,500, showed Tisza leading Fidesz by 19 percentage points, up from a 14-point lead in the earlier poll.

    Published by news site 24.hu, the survey ‌showed ⁠40% support for Tisza among all voters, with Fidesz backed by 28%.

    Zavecz Research Poll Insights

    One-Fifth of Voters Remain Undecided

    ONE-FIFTH UNDECIDED IN SECOND POLL

    Another poll, published Tuesday and conducted by Zavecz Research, showed that Tisza widened its lead to 13 points among decided ​voters from 12 points in a February poll.

    Conducted between March 24 ​and 28, the poll showed 51% of voters supported Tisza, ​up from 50% in February, while 38% backed Fidesz, unchanged from a month ​earlier.

    Zavecz showed 39% support for Tisza among all voters, while Fidesz was backed by 31%. They said that 20% of respondents were undecided, and the survey had a sample size of 1,000 people.

    Tisza Party's Campaign Promises

    Key Policy Pledges

    Magyar ​has said his Tisza party would curb corruption, unlock billions of euros in frozen European Union funds ‌to boost ⁠the economy, and firmly anchor Hungary in the EU and NATO.

    Poll Reliability and Additional Parties

    Debate Over Poll Credibility

    While ⁠most polls have shown a Tisza lead, Fidesz points to other surveys that still show it on course to victory, though ​its opponents say these have mainly been conducted by institutes ​with financial ⁠or personal ties to the ruling party.

    Independent Polling Institutes

    21 Research Centre and Zavech Research are both independent of political parties and gathered responses by phone calls and online questionnaires.

    Other Parties' Prospects

    Both surveys showed that the far-right Our Homeland (Mi Hazank) could be the only other party to pass the 5% threshold required for entry ⁠into parliament.

    21 Research Centre put support for Our Homeland at 5% ​among decided voters, and Zavecz at 4%.

    (Reporting by Anita KomuvesEditing by Bernadette Baum)

    References

    • A youth-led push for change threatens Orbán's 16-year rule in Hungary's elections

    Table of Contents

    Key Takeaways

    • •Tisza leads among decided voters: 56% vs 37% (21 Research Centre poll); among all voters, 40% vs 28%, with 26% undecided (apnews.com)
    • •Závecz Research poll shows Tisza at 51% vs Fidesz 38% among decided voters; 20% undecided, total support 39% vs 31% (apnews.com)
    • •Broader context: Youth overwhelmingly support Tisza (65% under‑30 backing) (apnews.com)

    Frequently Asked Questions about Hungary election polls show opposition Tisza widening lead over Orban's Fidesz

    1How much support does the Tisza party have among decided voters?

    Tisza has the support of 56% of decided voters according to the 21 Research Centre, and 51% according to Zavecz Research.

    2Who leads the Tisza party and what are its goals?

    Peter Magyar leads the Tisza party, which aims to reduce corruption, unlock EU funds, and anchor Hungary in the EU and NATO.

    3Which other parties might pass the 5% threshold for Hungary's parliament?
    • Latest Poll Results and Analysis
    • Overview of Recent Polls
    • 21 Research Centre Poll Findings
    • Tisza Party Gains Momentum
    • Zavecz Research Poll Insights
    • One-Fifth of Voters Remain Undecided
    • Tisza Party's Campaign Promises
    • Key Policy Pledges
    • Poll Reliability and Additional Parties
    • Debate Over Poll Credibility
    • Independent Polling Institutes
    • Other Parties' Prospects

    The far-right Our Homeland (Mi Hazank) party is the only other party projected to possibly pass the 5% threshold required for parliamentary entry.

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