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Hungarian Opposition Leads PM Orban's Fidesz, Poll Shows
Published by Global Banking & Finance Review®
Posted on April 10, 2026
2 min readLast updated: April 10, 2026
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A recent pre‑election poll by Publicus for Nepszava shows Hungary’s centre‑right Tisza party, led by Péter Magyar, ahead of Viktor Orbán’s governing Fidesz among decided voters (52% vs 39%), though high undecided share (25%) leaves outcome uncertain (sample size 1,000). Extra context: Tisza consiste
Hungarian Poll Shows Tisza Party Leads Fidesz Ahead of Key Election
Latest Poll Results and Election Outlook
Overview of the Poll Findings
BUDAPEST, April 10 (Reuters) - Hungary's centre-right Tisza party leads Prime Minister Viktor Orban's ruling Fidesz ahead of Sunday's parliamentary election, a poll published by newspaper Nepszava showed on Friday.
Nationalist Orban faces the biggest challenge to his rule in 16 years, although the large number of undecided voters means the outcome of the election is uncertain.
Support for Tisza and Fidesz
Tisza, led by former government insider Peter Magyar, had the support of 52% of decided voters, while 39% backed Fidesz, the poll conducted by Publicus Institute showed.
The survey, which had a sample size of 1,000, showed 38% support for Tisza among all voters, with Fidesz backed by 29%. Some 25% of respondents said they had not decided how they would vote.
Poll Data Table
Date Agency Fidesz Tisza Our Undecided
Homeland
Apr 7-9 Publicus 29% 38% 4% 25%
Mar Idea 30% 39% 4% 21%
29-Apr 4
Mar Iranytu 34% 41% 3% 18%
31-Apr 4
Mar 27-30 Publicus 30% 36% 4% 24%
Mar 23-28 21 Research 28% 40% 4% 26%
Centre
Mar 24-28 Zavecz 31% 39% 4% 20%
Mar 23-26 Republikon 31% 37% 4% 23%
Mar 17-20 Median 30% 46% 3% 18%
Reporting Credits
(Reporting by Anita Komuves; Editing by Toby Chopra)
Key Takeaways
- •Tisza party, under former Fidesz insider Péter Magyar, has surged as the strongest challenger to Orbán, showing double‑digit leads in several independent polls (euronews.com)
- •Tisza’s rise is built on grassroots efforts—‘Tisza islands’ network, volunteer newspaper distribution and populist campaigning—to penetrate rural strongholds long held by Fidesz (en.wikipedia.org)
- •Despite polling advantage, a high proportion of undecided voters and Hungary’s skewed institutional framework mean that even a Tisza lead doesn’t guarantee outright power or systemic reform (lemonde.fr)
References
Frequently Asked Questions about Hungarian opposition leads PM Orban's Fidesz, poll shows
1What percentage of decided voters support the Tisza party?
52% of decided voters support the Tisza party according to the latest poll.
2How many voters remain undecided in the poll?
About 25% of respondents said they had not decided how they would vote.
3Who is the leader of the Tisza party?
The Tisza party is led by Peter Magyar, a former government insider.
4What is the sample size of the poll conducted by Publicus Institute?
The poll had a sample size of 1,000 respondents.