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    1. Home
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    3. >German business activity surges to two-year-plus high in October, PMI shows
    Finance

    German Business Activity Surges to Two-Year-Plus High in October, PMI Shows

    Published by Global Banking & Finance Review®

    Posted on October 24, 2025

    2 min read

    Last updated: January 21, 2026

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    Tags:GDPSurveyeconomic growthemployment opportunitiesfinancial markets

    Quick Summary

    Germany's business activity hit a two-year high in October, driven by services growth, though manufacturing remains in contraction, according to PMI data.

    German Business Activity Hits Two-Year High in October PMI Report

    Overview of German Business Activity

    BERLIN (Reuters) -Germany's private sector recorded its strongest growth in nearly two-and-a-half years in October, buoyed by a robust rise in services activity, a survey showed on Friday.

    The HCOB preliminary German flash composite Purchasing Managers' Index, compiled by S&P Global, rose to 53.8 in October from 52.0 in September, marking the fastest growth since May 2023 and surpassing analysts' expectations of 51.5.

    October marks the fifth month in a row that the composite index, which tracks the services and manufacturing sectors that together account for more than two-thirds of the euro zone's largest economy, was above the 50 mark indicating growth.

    Services Sector Performance

    Services led the charge with the sharpest increase in business activity in more than two years, with the corresponding index climbing to 54.5 in October from 51.5 in September. 

    Manufacturing Sector Insights

    "This is an unexpectedly good start to the final quarter," said Hamburg Commercial Bank chief economist Cyrus de la Rubia, also indicating that manufacturing output rose for the eighth consecutive month, albeit at a slower pace than in September.

    The manufacturing PMI, however, remained in contraction territory even though it improved slightly to 49.6 in October from 49.5, beating expectations for it to remain stable. 

    "These are good conditions for growth in the fourth quarter," he said. 

    "However, the fact that the outlook for the future is more cautious than in the previous month, both among service providers and in industry, shows that the economic situation remains fragile," added de la Rubia.  

    Economic Outlook and Challenges

    Business expectations for the year ahead have softened, with concerns over domestic economic weakness, geopolitical tensions and high costs clouding the outlook, according to the survey.

    Employment Trends in the Private Sector

    Employment in the private sector continued to decline, albeit at a slower rate, with October marking the 17th month of cuts, the longest stretch since the 2008-10 financial crisis.

    (Reporting by Miranda Murray; Editing by Toby Chopra)

    Table of Contents

    • Overview of German Business Activity
    • Services Sector Performance
    • Manufacturing Sector Insights
    • Economic Outlook and Challenges
    • Employment Trends in the Private Sector

    Key Takeaways

    • •German private sector sees strongest growth in over two years.
    • •Services sector leads with significant activity increase.
    • •Manufacturing output rises but remains in contraction.
    • •Economic outlook remains cautious amid challenges.
    • •Private sector employment continues to decline.

    Frequently Asked Questions about German business activity surges to two-year-plus high in October, PMI shows

    1What is manufacturing output?

    Manufacturing output is the total production of goods by the manufacturing sector within a specific timeframe. It is a key indicator of industrial activity and economic performance.

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